2008 Legislative Council Election Feature PageBack

Research Findings

	2008 Legislative Council Election exit poll (conducted on 7/9/2008; released on 30/9/2008; on-line from 30/9/2008) (Chinese only)

	Second survey of 2008 Legislative Council election (conducted on 18-23/8/2008；released on 28/8/2008；on-line from 28/8/2008)

	2008 Legislative Council election (conducted on 1-3/8/2008; released on 5/8/2008; on-line from 5/8/2008)

	2008 Legislative Council Election rolling survey (conducted on 1/8/2008-5/9/2008；released on 7/9/2008；on-line from 7/9/2008)

Information about Exit Poll on September 7

	POP has selected 120 stations plus 64 on reserve. POP's interviewers will conduct the interviews according to prescribed time segments and a random method. They will all wear a uniform with "HKU POP 港大民研" clearly marked. POP respects every citizen's right to accept or refuse such interviews. POP will not publish any projection figure before the close of poll, nor use any such data for election engineering.

	Listing of polling stations selected for POP's exit poll (including prime and reserved stations) (Chinese only)

	POP interviewer uniform

	POP exit poll questionnaire

	List of POP interviewers

	Enquiry For enquiry on POP's exit poll operation or reporting of suspicious cases, please contact us by: E-mail at [email protected] or Calling our hotline 3921-2700 (Mr. Lee) on election day

Articles

	"An Open Road for Public Opinion after the Election" Robert Ting-Yiu Chung (Director of Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong) (10/2004) The article mainly highlighted the important findings obtained from the surveys conducted by the author during the Legislative Council Election period, including the defeat of the democratic camp on Hong Kong Island, the success of the DAB's electoral strategy, and the victories of James Tien, "Long Hair" Leung Kwok-hung and Albert Cheng, etc. The author also briefly discussed the consensus reached among voters, as well as some problems arising from this election. The Chinese version of the article was published by the MingPao Monthly in October 2004.

	"Legislative Council Election Exit Poll Analysis Article Series No. 7, end of series - Exit Poll: Professional Ethics are Indispensable" (Director of Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong) (6/10/2004) As the last article of the "Legislative Council Election Exit Poll Analysis Article Series", apart from analyzing the human resources distribution of various organizations which have conducted exit polls, the importance of keeping the exit poll results confidential before the close of election was also emphasized. The Chinese version of the article was published by the Hong Kong Economic Journal on 6 October 2004.

	"Legislative Council Election Exit Poll Analysis Article Series No.6 - New Territories West Exit Poll Results" Robert Ting-Yiu Chung and Calvin Mo-Chun Lam (Members of Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong) (5/10/2004) As the sixth article of the "Legislative Council Election Exit Poll Analysis Article Series", it mainly discussed the party strength of various participating political parties, background of voters in support of different candidates, as well as the flow of votes among various lists in New Territories West. The Chinese version of the article was published by the Hong Kong Economic Journal on 5 October 2004.

	"Legislative Council Election Exit Poll Analysis Article Series No.5 - New Territories East Exit Poll Results" Robert Ting-Yiu Chung and Cliff Kwong-Pok Chow (Members of Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong) (4/10/2004) This is the fifth article of the "Legislative Council Election Exit Poll Analysis Article Series". The article mainly analyzed the voting results of New Territories East, including the reasons for the safe election of "Long Hair" Leung Kwok Hung, the failure of the "7.1 United Front", and the departure of senior legislator Andrew Wong. The Chinese version of the article was published by the Hong Kong Economic Journal on 4 October 2004.

	"Legislative Council Election Exit Poll Analysis Article Series No.4 - Kowloon West Exit Poll Results" Robert Ting-Yiu Chung and Tony Pui-Shing Tsoi (Members of Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong) (2/10/2004) Subsequent to the first 3 articles of the "Legislative Council Election Exit Poll Analysis Article Series", this article mainly discussed the flow of votes among various lists in Kowloon West, as well as analyzing the characteristics and background of voters in support of different candidates. The Chinese version of the article was published by the Hong Kong Economic Journal on 2 October 2004.

	"Legislative Council Election Exit Poll Analysis Article Series No.3 - Kowloon East Exit Poll Results" Robert Ting-Yiu Chung and Karie Ka-Lai Pang (Members of Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong) (30/9/2004) This is the third article of the "Legislative Council Election Exit Poll Analysis Article Series". The article mainly analyzed the flow of votes both among and within the two political camps in Kowloon East. It also discussed the characteristics of voters in support of different candidates, and the split vote strategies of the two camps. The Chinese version of the article was published by the Hong Kong Economic Journal on 30 September 2004.

	"Legislative Council Election Exit Poll Analysis Article Series No.2 - Hong Kong Island Exit Poll Results" Robert Ting-Yiu Chung and Carmen Ka-man Chan (Members of Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong) (28/9/2004) This is the second article of the "Legislative Council Election Exit Poll Analysis Article Series". The article mainly examined tactical voting among voters on Hong Kong Island. It also analyzed the characteristics of voters in support of different political camps, and how such support has changed in the past four years. The Chinese version of the article was published by the Hong Kong Economic Journal on 28 September 2004.

	"Legislative Council Election Exit Poll Analysis Article Series No.1 - Exit Polls: Finding A New Consensus" Robert Ting-Yiu Chung (Director of Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong) (27/9/2004) This is the first article of the "Legislative Council Election Exit Poll Analysis Article Series". Based on the exit polls conducted by the author on the Legislative Council election day, it analyzed the features and demands of voters from the democratic camp, the pro-China camp and the Liberal Party, so as to find a way to reach a consensus. The Chinese version of the article was published by the Hong Kong Economic Journal on 27 September 2004.

	"The Basics of Rolling Polls" Robert Ting-Yiu Chung (Director of Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong) (11/9/2004) The article mainly addressed some common misunderstandings surrounding rolling polls, by introducing some basic statistical knowledge of social surveys, as well as some fundamental concepts of rolling surveys. The Chinese version of the article was published concurrently by the Hong Kong Economic Journal on 11 September 2004.

	"Make Good Use of Public Opinion Survey; Develop Professional Media Ethics" Robert Ting-Yiu Chung (Director of Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong) (16/8/2004) The article mainly discussed how several popular public opinion surveys work, including snap polls, tracking polls, rolling polls and exit polls. It also suggested the development of a set of professional code of ethics in Hong Kong when the media reports the public opinion surveys. The slightly shortened Chinese version of the article was published by the Media Digest and Hong Kong Economic Journal (abridged version) on 16 August 2004.

	"Nomination Survey in the Legislative Council Election" Robert Ting-Yiu Chung (Director of Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong) (9/8/2004) The article mainly described the author's opinion survey work and method adopted prior to the election nomination period, with real figures and examples. Implications and limitations of the survey method were also discussed. The Chinese version of the article was published by the Hong Kong Economic Journal on 7 August 2004.

Press Releases

	HKU POP SITE releases Exit Poll Arrangements for Legislative Council Election of 2008 (5/9/2008)

	HKU POP SITE releases the second statement on 2008 Legistlative Council election exit poll. (3/9/2008) (Chinese only)

	HKU POP SITE releases the statement on 2008 Legistlative Council election exit poll. (2/9/2008) (Chinese only)

	HKU POP SITE releases results on Legislative Council election again (28/8/2008)

	HKU POP SITE releases survey findings on the Executive Councilors, Under Secretaries, Political Assistants, and Legislative Council election (5/8/2008)

Reference materials

	2007 Legislative Council By-election for HK Island Constituency Feature Page

	2004 Legislative Council Election Feature Page

	Media coverage