| Survey results |
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Follow-up Survey on the
Legislative Council By-election (Survey conducted:11-14/12/2007；Release
on:21/12/2007；On-line from:21/12/2007)
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Exit Poll of
2007 Legislative Council By-election (Survey conducted:2/12/2007；Release on:21/12/2007；On-line from:21/12/2007)
(Chinese Only)
The exit poll data of the Legislative Council By-election is provided for
free by the Public Opinion Programme at the University of Hong Kong, which
serves as part of POP's community services. Please acknowledge the source
when re-printing or citing these figures.
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Final set of feature analyses of Legislative Council by-election rolling survey result 2007
(Survey conducted:25-30/11/2007；Release on:6/12/2007；On-line from:6/12/2007)
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Final round of Legislative Council
by-election rolling survey result
2007
(Survey conducted:25-30/11/2007；Release on:6/12/2007；On-line from:6/12/2007)
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Fourth set of feature analyses of Legislative Council by-election rolling survey result 2007
(Survey conducted:19-24/11/2007；Release on:30/11/2007；On-line
from:30/11/2007)
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Fourth round of Legislative Council
by-election rolling survey result
2007
(Survey conducted:19-24/11/2007；Release on:30/11/2007；On-line
from:30/11/2007)
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Third set of feature analyses of Legislative Council by-election rolling survey result 2007
(Survey conducted:13-18/11/2007；Release on:23/11/2007；On-line
from:23/11/2007)
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Third round of Legislative Council
by-election rolling survey result
2007
(Survey conducted:13-18/11/2007；Release on:23/11/2007；On-line
from:23/11/2007)
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Second set of feature analyses of Legislative Council by-election rolling survey result 2007
(Survey conducted:7-12/11/2007；Release on:15/11/2007；On-line
from:15/11/2007)
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Second round of Legislative Council
by-election rolling survey result
2007
(Survey conducted:7-12/11/2007；Release on:15/11/2007；On-line
from:15/11/2007)
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First set of feature analyses of Legislative Council by-election rolling survey result 2007
(Survey conducted:31/10-6/11/2007；Release on:10/11/2007；On-line
from:10/11/2007)
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First round of Legislative Council
by-election rolling survey result
2007
(Survey conducted:31/10-6/11/2007；Release on:9/11/2007；On-line from:9/11/2007)
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| Research reports |
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Random Opinion Survey of Hong Kong Island Residents for Pan-Democrats' Primary Election for the Hong Kong Island Legislative Council By-election 2007 (conducted on 25-27/9/2007; released on 30/9/2007; on-line from 30/9/2007) (Chinese only)
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| Articles |
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"LC By-election Rolling Survey Article Series No.3: Feature studies riding on rolling surveys" Robert
Ting-Yiu Chung (Director of Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong)
(1/12/2007)
This is the third article in a series of articles on 「Legislative Council By-election Rolling Survey」. Using feature questions riding on the Legislative Council by-election rolling survey, it explained the other functions of rolling surveys, on top of monitoring the support rates of candidates and the projection of election results.
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"LC By-election Rolling Survey Article Series No.2: Political Alignment and Rolling Period" Robert
Ting-Yiu Chung (Director of Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong)
(30/11/2007)
This is the second article in a series of articles on
"Legislative Council By-election Rolling Survey". Based on findings obtained from the Legislative Council by-election rolling survey, in relation to
voters' political alignment, the article addresses the issues of daily sample size and the length of rolling
period.
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"LC By-election Rolling Survey Article Series No.1: Weighted Analysis and Election Forum Effect" Robert Ting-Yiu Chung (Director of Public Opinion
Programme, the University of Hong Kong) (29/11/2007)
This is the first article in a series of articles on
"Legislative Council By-election Rolling Survey". Other than mentioning some common misunderstandings about rolling surveys, it also revealed two interesting finding of the rolling survey, namely, the difference between using raw and weighted data, and findings on election forum effects based on ad hoc questions which rode on the rolling survey.
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"The Basics of Rolling Polls" Robert Ting-Yiu Chung (Director of Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong) (11/9/2004)
The article mainly addressed some common misunderstandings surrounding rolling polls, by introducing some basic statistical knowledge of social surveys, as well as some fundamental concepts of rolling surveys. The Chinese version of the article was published concurrently by the Hong Kong Economic Journal on 11 September 2004.
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"Rolling Surveys on the United States Presidential Election" Robert Ting-Yiu Chung (Director of Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong) (1/11/2004)
While the United States presidential election is drawing near, Hong Kong's media is giving more coverage on the pre-election surveys conducted in the Unites States. This article mainly analyzed how Hong Kong's media reported these surveys, and explained in details the operation of rolling surveys by authoritative media bodies such as Reuters/Zogby, Washington Post/ABC News and Fox News. The Chinese version of the article was published by the Hong Kong Economic Journal on 1 November 2004.
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"Rolling Surveys on the British Election" Robert Ting-Yiu Chung (Director of Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong) (17/5/2005)
This article mainly introduced the pre-election surveys and exit polls conducted by the six major pollsters during the British parliamentary election and discussed their random sampling and weighting methods. The article also examined the rolling surveys' operation and how popular they were in this election. The Chinese version of this article was published by Hong Kong Economic Journal on May 16, 2005.
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| Press releases |
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HKU POP SITE releases findings of the follow-up surveys on District Council Election and Legislative Council By-election (21/12/2007)
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HKU POP SITE releases the
final round of Legislative Council by-election rolling survey results for public consumption
(6/12/2007)
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HKU POP SITE releases the
fourth round of Legislative Council by-election rolling survey results for public consumption
(30/11/2007)
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HKU POP SITE releases the
third round of Legislative Council by-election rolling survey results for public consumption
(23/11/2007)
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HKU POP SITE releases the
second round of Legislative Council by-election rolling survey results for public consumption
(15/11/2007)
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HKU POP SITE releases the feature analyses of the first round LC by-election rolling survey for public consumption
(10/11/2007)
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HKU POP SITE releases the first round of Legislative Council by-election rolling survey results for public consumption (9/11/2007)
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