HKU POP SITE releases the feature analyses of the first round LC by-election rolling survey for public consumptionBack

| Detailed Findings ( First set of feature analyses of Legislative Council by-election rolling survey result 2007) |

Sponsored by a number of media organizations, the Public Opinion Programme (POP) at the University of Hong Kong began its rolling poll on the Legislative Council by-election for the Hong Kong Island Geographical Constituency immediately after the close of nominations on October 31. The methodology is the same as its previous rolling polls conducted every day. According to sponsorship terms, findings are first released immediately to sponsors for exclusive use, and then uploaded onto the "HKU POP SITE" (http://hkupop.pori.hk) for public consumption after no less than 48 hours. The simple frequency and cross-tabulation analyses of the first round rolling polls were already uploaded online yesterday.

POP today releases via the POP Site the feature analyses of the first wave of rolling polls conducted between October 31 and November 6. The release includes candidate strength and voters' propensity to vote with aggregate figures and feature cross-tabulations using the same dataset.

To read the figures, one can go to http://hkupop.pori.hk, click on the picture icon for 「2007 LegCo By-election」 or the relevant link under 「Special Features」, and then choose 「First round of Legislative Council by-election rolling survey result 2007」.

For theoretical discussions of rolling surveys, readers can refer to the following three articles under 「POP Column」 in POP Site: 「The Basics of Rolling Polls」, 「Rolling Surveys on the United States Presidential Election」, and 「Rolling Surveys on the British Election」.

Organizations wishing to join the sponsorship of these surveys are welcome to contact Miss Chau or Miss Pang at 3921-2700.

| Detailed Findings (First set of feature analyses of Legislative Council by-election rolling survey result 2007) |