HKU POP SITE releases the fourth round of Legislative Council by-election rolling survey results for public consumptionBack

Press Release on November 30, 2007

| Detailed Findings (Fourth set of feature analyses of Legislative Council by-election rolling survey result 2007) |
| Detailed Findings (Fourth round of Legislative Council by-election rolling survey result 2007) |

Sponsored by a number of media organizations, the Public Opinion Programme (POP) at the University of Hong Kong began its rolling poll on the Legislative Council by-election for the Hong Kong Island Geographical Constituency immediately after the close of nominations on October 31. The methodology is the same as its previous rolling polls conducted every day. According to sponsorship terms, findings are first released immediately to sponsors for exclusive use, and then uploaded onto the "HKU POP SITE" (http://hkupop.pori.hk) for public consumption after no less than 48 hours. The first three rounds' rolling poll frequency and cross-tabulation analyses were already uploaded online on November 9, 10,15 and 23 respectively.

POP today releases via the POP Site the results of the fourth wave of rolling polls conducted between November 19 and 24. The release includes frequency analyses of candidate strength and voters' propensity to vote, and cross-tabulation analyses of candidate support rates by voters' political alignment, propensity to vote, gender, age, education level, occupation and family class.

To read the figures, one can go to http://hkupop.pori.hk, click on the picture icon for "2007 LegCo By-election" or the relevant link under "Special Features", and then choose "Fourth round of Legislative Council by-election rolling survey result 2007" for simple frequency and cross-tabulation analyses or "Fourth set of feature analyses of Legislative Council by-election rolling survey result 2007" for in-depth analyses with aggregate figures and feature cross-tabulations, where appropriate.

For theoretical discussions of rolling surveys, readers can refer to the following three articles under "POP Column" in POP Site: "The Basics of Rolling Polls", "Rolling Surveys on the United States Presidential Election", and "Rolling Surveys on the British Election".