Ming Pao sponsored “Survey on CE Election and Occupy Central Campaign” (fifth round)Back
Released on 26/5/2014 by Ming Pao; online from 26/5/2014; updated on 9/6/2014
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| Research Background | Research team members | Contact Information | Frequency tables | Crosstab analysis| Related news report | Related surveys | |
Research Background It is the fifth time that Ming Pao commissioned the Public Opinion Programme at the University of Hong Kong to conduct this survey since April, July and October 2013 and January 2014 aiming at gauging citizens’ opinions on the Chief Executive Election in 2017 and the “Occupy Central with Love and Peace” movement. The survey questionnaire mostly follows the one used in the previous four rounds, all fieldwork operations, data collection and analysis were carried out independently by POP, in other words, POP has full independence in the survey design and operation and would take full responsibility for all the findings reported herewith. |
Research team members
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First round survey
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Second round survey
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* In order to increase the representation of the results, the survey figures have been weighted according to provisional figures obtained from the Census and Statistics Department regarding the gender-age distribution of the Hong Kong population in 2012 year-end. Figures in the report are prevailed according to the “weighted” sample.
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Third round survey
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* In order to increase the representation of the results, the survey figures have been weighted according to provisional figures obtained from the Census and Statistics Department regarding the gender-age distribution of the Hong Kong population in 2013 mid-year. Figures in the report are prevailed according to the “weighted” sample.
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Fourth round surveys
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* In order to increase the representation of the results, the survey figures have been rim-weighted according to provisional figures obtained from the Census and Statistics Department regarding the gender-age distribution of the Hong Kong population in 2013 mid-year and the educational attainment (highest level attended) distribution collected in the 2011 Census. Figures in the report are prevailed according to the “weighted” sample.
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Fifith round survey
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* In order to increase the representation of the results, the survey figures have been rim-weighted according to provisional figures obtained from the Census and Statistics Department regarding the gender-age distribution of the Hong Kong population in 2013 year-end and the educational attainment (highest level attended) distribution collected in the 2011 Census. Figures in the report are prevailed according to the “weighted” sample.
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Q1 With regards to the Chief Executive election in 2017, it is proposed that the candidates should be first chosen by the nomination committee in order to make sure that they will not act against the Central Government, and then let Hong Kong citizens practice universal suffrage in electing the Chief Executive. To what extent do you agree or disagree with this proposal? |
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|
April 2013 |
July 2013 |
October 2013 |
January 2014 |
May 2014 |
Changes |
|||||||||||||
|
|
Percentage |
Percentage |
Freq |
Percentage |
Freq |
Percentage |
Freq |
Percentage |
Percentage |
||||||||||
Very much agree |
)Agree |
19 |
) 44 |
19 |
) 43 |
211 |
)488 |
21 |
) 48 |
212 |
) 503 |
21 |
) 49 |
238 |
) 510 |
24 |
) 51 |
+3 |
+2 |
|
Quite agree |
25 |
23 |
277 |
27 |
292 |
29 |
273 |
27 |
-2 |
|||||||||||
Half-half |
|
15 |
|
11 |
|
81 |
|
8 |
|
125 |
|
12 |
|
116 |
|
12 |
|
-- |
|
|
Quite disagree |
) Disagree |
13 |
) 35 |
16 |
) 38 |
165 |
)363 |
16 |
) 36 |
146 |
) 325 |
14 |
) 32 |
121 |
) 285 |
12 |
) 28 |
-2 |
-4 |
|
Very much disagree |
22 |
22 |
198 |
20 |
179 |
18 |
164 |
16 |
-2 |
|||||||||||
Don’t know/ Hard to say |
|
6 |
|
8 |
|
75 |
|
7 |
|
64 |
|
6 |
|
94 |
|
9 |
|
+3 |
|
|
Total |
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
1016 |
|
100 |
|
1017 |
|
100 |
|
1005 |
|
100 |
|
|
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Q2 [new question] To what extend do you agree or disagree with “love country, love Hong Kong” as a rule of the nomination committee to select the CE candidates? |
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May 2014 |
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Freq |
Percentage |
||
Very much agree |
) Agree |
239 |
) 499 |
24 |
) 49 |
Quite agree |
260 |
26 |
|||
Half-half |
|
143 |
|
14 |
|
Quite disagree |
) Disagree |
131 |
) 259 |
13 |
) 26 |
Very much disagree |
128 |
13 |
|||
Don’t know/ Hard to say |
|
108 |
|
11 |
|
Total |
|
1010 |
|
100 |
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Q3 [new question] In 2017 CE election, if the ultimate political reform proposal from the Central and SAR governments allows one-person-one-vote in CE election, but rejects the pan-democrats from participation, would you: (read out first two options in randomized order) |
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May 2014 |
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|
Freq |
Percentage |
Accept the proposal in order to allow one-person-one-vote in CE election |
566 |
57 |
Oppose the proposal in order to keep status quo in political system |
279 |
28 |
Don’t know/ Hard to say |
156 |
16 |
Total |
1002 |
100 |
Q4 There have been suggestions to fight for the implementation of universal suffrage for the Chief Executive election in 2017 in Hong Kong via the “Occupy Central with Love and Peace” movement. To what extent do you agree or disagree with this suggestion? |
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|
April 2013 |
July 2013 |
October 2013 |
January 2014 |
May 2014 |
Changes |
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|
|
Percentage |
Percentage |
Freq |
Percentage |
Freq |
Percentage |
Freq |
Percentage |
Percentage |
||||||||||
Very much agree |
)Agree |
9 |
) 25 |
15 |
) 32 |
119 |
) 253 |
12 |
) 25 |
105 |
) 254 |
10 |
) 25 |
89 |
) 245 |
9 |
) 24 |
-1 |
-1 |
|
Quite agree |
16 |
17 |
134 |
13 |
148 |
15 |
156 |
15 |
-- |
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Half-half |
|
18 |
|
13 |
|
114 |
|
11 |
|
120 |
|
12 |
|
113 |
|
11 |
|
-1 |
|
|
Quite disagree |
) Disagree |
21 |
) 51 |
21 |
) 46 |
224 |
) 552 |
22 |
) 55 |
253 |
) 584 |
25 |
) 57 |
208 |
) 567 |
21 |
) 56 |
-4 |
-1 |
|
Very much disagree |
30 |
25 |
328 |
33 |
332 |
33 |
359 |
36 |
+3 |
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Don’t know/ Hard to say |
|
7 |
|
9 |
|
86 |
|
9 |
|
59 |
|
6 |
|
84 |
|
8 |
|
+2 |
|
|
Total |
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
1016 |
|
100 |
|
1017 |
|
100 |
|
1008 |
|
100 |
|
|
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Q5 [new question] To what extent do you agree or disagree that some Hong Kong politicians demand for foreign powers from Europe or the USA in order to fight for universal suffrage in Hong Kong? |
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May 2014 |
|||
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Freq |
Percentage |
||
Very much agree |
) Agree |
78 |
) 206 |
8 |
) 20 |
Quite agree |
129 |
13 |
|||
Half-half |
|
120 |
|
12 |
|
Quite disagree |
) Disagree |
246 |
) 572 |
24 |
) 57 |
Very much disagree |
326 |
32 |
|||
Don’t know/ Hard to say |
|
110 |
|
11 |
|
Total |
|
1008 |
|
100 |
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![chart](mp20140526.gif)
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Related news report of Ming Pao on 26 May 2014 |
Related news report of Ming Pao on 3 June 2014 |
Related news report of Ming Pao on 3 June 2014 (2) |
Related news report of Ming Pao on 9 June 2014 |
| Research Background | Research team members | Contact Information | Frequency tables | Crosstab analysis| Related news report | Related surveys | |