Opinion Survey on Constitutional Reform of Hong Kong December 2005 - Second Survey CommentaryBack


Date of Release: December 19, 2005
 
Robert Ting-Yiu Chung
(Director of Public Opinion Programme, the University of Hong Kong)
 
In anticipation of the government's expected concession to fade out appointed district council seats in order to bargain for more support for its constitutional reform package, our latest poll shows that public opinion is equally divided on whether Legco should pass the bill if such a concession would be made, but still without a timetable for universal suffrage. The percentages of respondents for and against the bill now stands at a statistically tie of 38% versus 35%. Given that 44% believed that democratic development would be dragged down if the bill could not be passed, it means that a number of respondents are prepared to accept the negative consequence of Legco not passing the bill.
 
Opinion is also divided on whether Donald Tsang should be blamed for the current standoff, since about one-third both ways give credits and discredits to Tsang in regard to his ability to lead Hong Kong's democratic development after the timetable controversy.
 
Opinion is more uniform on whether people have faith in the Commission on Strategic Development, as 46% said the Commission would not have the ability to produce a timetable for universal suffrage, only 33% said it could.