Pre-election poll for NTE by-election 2016Back

| Research Background | Research Team Members | Contact Information | Research Design |

| Demographic profile of respondents | Frequency Tables | Questionnaire| Related Releases |


Research Background

HK01 commissioned Public Opinion Programme at The University of Hong Kong (POP) in February 2016 to conduct this survey on 17 to 18 February 2016 with 500 HK citizens aged 18 or above. The goal is to gauge the public views on the 2016 Legislative Council New Territories East by-election.

The research instrument used in this study was designed entirely by the POP Team after consulting HK01. Fieldwork operations and data analysis were conducted independently by the POP Team, without interference from any outside party. In other words, POP was given full autonomy to design and conduct the survey, and POP would take full responsibility for all the findings reported herewith.


Research Team Members

Research Directors :
Project Manager :
Project Executive :
Data Analyst :

CHUNG Ting-Yiu Robert
and PANG Ka-Lai Karie

LEE Wing-Yi Winnie

CHAN Ka-Shu Kenneth

TAI Chit-Fai Edward

Survey date

:

17-18/2/2016

Survey method

:

Random telephone survey conducted by real interviewers

Target population

:

Cantonese-speaking Hong Kong citizens aged 18 or above

Sampling method

:

Telephone numbers are randomly generated using known prefixes assigned to telecommunication services providers under the Numbering Plan provided by the Office of the Communications Authority (OFCA). Invalid numbers are then eliminated according to computer and manual dialing records to produce the final sample. If more than one subject had been available, the one who had his/her birthday next was selected.

Sample size

:

500 successful cases

Response rate

:

65.0%

Standard error

:

Less than 2.2%  (i.e. at 95% confidence level, the maximum sampling error of all percentages should be no more than +/-4.5 percentage points)



Research Design

Telephone interviews were conducted by interviewers under close supervision. All data were collected by our interviewers using a Computer Assisted Telephone Interview (CATI) system invented by the research team which allowed real-time data capture and consolidation. To ensure data quality, on top of on-site supervision, voice recording, screen capturing and camera surveillance were used to monitor the interviewers' performance.

Telephone numbers are randomly generated using known prefixes assigned to telecommunication services providers under the Numbering Plan provided by the Office of the Communications Authority (OFCA). Invalid numbers are then eliminated according to computer and manual dialing records to produce the final sample.


The target population of this survey was Cantonese-speaking Hong Kong citizens aged 18 or above. If more than one eligible subject had been available, selection was made using the “next birthday rule” which selected the person who had his/her birthday next. The survey was conducted on 17 to 18 February 2016. A total of 500 eligible respondents were successfully interviewed. The response rate of this survey was 65.0%, and the standard sampling error for percentages based on this sample was less than 2.2 percentage points. In other words, the sampling error for all percentages using the total sample was less than plus/minus 4.5 percentage points at 95% confidence level.


To ensure representativeness of the findings, the raw data collected have been rim-weighted according to provisional figures obtained from the Census and Statistics Department regarding the gender-age distribution of the Hong Kong population in 2015 mid-year and the educational attainment (highest level attended) distribution collected in the 2011 Census. All figures are based on the weighted sample.



| Research Background | Research Team Members | Contact Information | Research Design |

| Demographic profile of respondents | Frequency Tables | In-depth Analysis | Related Releases |