HKU POP SITE releases the survey on people's feeling towards different governments and peoplesBack
Press Release on November 18, 2008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Abstract | Latest Figures | Opinion Daily | Commentary | News about POP | | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Abstract The Public Opinion Programme at the University of Hong Kong conducted a double stage survey on Hong Kong citizens' feeling towards different governments and peoples this month, by means of random telephone interviews conducted by real interviewers. The survey finds that Hong Kong people's positive feeling towards fellow Hong Kong people is 19 percentage points higher than that towards the Hong Kong SAR Government and their positive feeling towards the Taiwan people is 8 percentage points higher than that of the Taiwan government. However, their positive feeling towards Mainland Chinese people is 8 percentage points lower than that of the Mainland Chinese government while their positive feeling towards Macau people is 5 percentage points lower than that of the Macau SAR Government. As for regions and countries beyond the cross-strait region, Hong Kong people's positive feelings towards the people of Japan is 26 percentage points higher than that of the Japanese government, that towards the people of Thailand is 23 percentage points higher than that of the Thai government, that towards the people of the United States is 21 percentage points higher than that of the American government, and that towards the people of South Korea is 13 percentage points higher than that of the South Korean government. In terms of absolute percentages, Hong Kong people seem to dislike the governments of the United States, Thailand, Taiwan, Japan and Russia, whereas they seem to like all peoples rather than dislike them. This finding is worth studying by various governments. Moreover, also worth noting is that compared to half a year ago, Hong Kong people's positive feeling towards the Hong Kong SAR Government has plunged 18 percentage points, their negative feeling towards the Thai government has risen 18 percentage points, their positive feeling towards Taiwan people has dropped 17 percentage points, their positive feeling towards fellow Hong Kong people has dropped 14 percentage points, but their negative feeling towards the French government has dropped 12 percentage points. The sampling error of all percentages is between +/-1 to 4 percentage points at 95% confidence level while the response rate of the second stage opinion survey is 69%. Points to note: * The address of the "HKU POP SITE" is http://hkupop.pori.hk, journalists can check out the details of the survey there. * The sample size of the first stage naming survey is 1,003 successful interviews, not 1,003 x 67.9% response rate, while the sample size of the second stage rating survey is 1,012 successful interviews, not 1,012 x 69.1% response rate. In the past, many media made this mistake. * "95% confidence level" means that if we were to repeat a certain survey 100 times, using the same questions each time but with different random samples, we would expect 95 times getting a figure within the error margins specified. When quoting these figures, journalists can state "sampling error of various percentages not more than +/-4% at 95% confidence level". * When quoting percentages of this survey, journalists should refrain from reporting decimal places in order to match the precision level of the figures. * The data of this survey is collected by means of random telephone interviews conducted by real interviewers, not by any interactive voice system (IVS). If a research organization uses "computerized random telephone survey" to camouflage its IVS operation, it should be considered unprofessional. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Latest Figures POP today releases on schedule via the "POP SITE" the survey findings on Hong Kong people's feeling towards different governments and peoples. These surveys on governments are conducted at least once a year since 1997, while the surveys on peoples only began in 2007, this being the third time. As a general practice, all figures released today have been weighted according to provisional figures obtained from the Census and Statistics Department regarding the gender-age distribution of the Hong Kong population in mid-2008. Herewith the contact information for the latest survey:
The research design of our survey on "people's feeling towards different governments and peoples" has been explained in detail under "Survey Method" in our corresponding web page. For many years, POP have selected 15 regions and countries that are best known to Hong Kong people, and conducted surveys to measure people's feeling towards the governments of these places. Our primary objective was to map Hong Kong people's cosmopolitan view over time. In 2007, we improved our research design. Our mid-2007 survey was divided into two stages, namely, a naming survey and an opinion survey. In the 2007 year-end survey, we further added the people module to the survey. In specific terms, in our naming survey, other than Hong Kong, Mainland China, Taiwan and Macau, respondents can name, unaided, up to ten regions or countries which they know best. The four cross-strait regions together with 12 other regions and countries most frequently mentioned in the naming stage were then shortlisted into the second stage, with their governments and peoples rated by respondents as "very positive", "quite positive", "half-half", "quite negative" or "very negative". In our first stage survey conducted on November 5-7, the United States, the United Kingdom, Japan, France and Australia were mentioned most frequently. Please refer to the relevant table in our website for the rest of the list. Our second stage survey was conducted on November 11-14. The following table summarizes the findings of Hong Kong people's feeling towards the governments and peoples of the four cross-strait regions.
** Collapsed from a 5-point scale. ^ These questions only uses sub-samples of the tracking surveys concerned, the sample size for each question also varies. ^^ Comparison made with survey findings of 14-16/5/08. # Such changes have gone beyond the sampling errors at the 95% confidence level, meaning that they are statistically significant prima facie. However, whether numerical differences are statistically significant or not is not the same as whether they are practically useful or meaningful. Herewith the findings of Hong Kong people's feelings towards the governments and peoples of 12 regions and countries other than the four cross-strait regions. They are ranked according to Hong Kong people's positive feelings towards their people.
** Collapsed from a 5-point scale. ^ These questions only uses sub-samples of the tracking surveys concerned, the sample size for each question also varies. ^^ Comparison made with survey findings of 14-16/5/08. # Such changes have gone beyond the sampling errors at the 95% confidence level, meaning that they are statistically significant prima facie. However, whether numerical differences are statistically significant or not is not the same as whether they are practically useful or meaningful. Findings obtained in mid-November showed that, regarding the results of people's feeling towards different governments, 24% felt positive towards the HKSAR government while 23% felt negative. For the other cross-strait governments, the corresponding positive figures for the Mainland, Taiwan and Macau SAR governments were 45%, 23% and 50%, while the corresponding negative figures were 13%, 35% and 7%. As for other governments, the positive figures for Singapore, Australia and Canada were 51%, 42% and 41% respectively, while those for the United Kingdom, South Korea, Germany, Japan, France, Italy, Russia and the United States were 39%, 25%, 25%, 21%, 20%, 19%, 17% and 15% correspondingly. Lastly, only 13% expressed positive feelings towards the government of Thailand. As regards the results of people's feeling towards different peoples, latest survey showed that 43% felt positive towards the HKSAR people while 7% felt negative. For the other cross-strait regions, the corresponding positive figures for the Mainland, Taiwan and Macau SAR peoples were 37%, 31% and 45%, while the corresponding negative figures were 20%, 20% and 2%. As for the peoples of other regions and countries, the positive figures for Singapore, Japan and Canada were highest, with 52%, 47% and 47% respectively, while those for Australia, the United Kingdom, South Korea, Thailand, the United States, Germany, France and Russia were 44%, 41%, 38%, 36%, 36%, 31%, 29% and 25% correspondingly. Lastly, only 24% expressed positive feelings towards the people of Italy. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opinion Daily In January 2007, POP opened a feature page called "Opinion Daily" at the "POP Site", to record significant events and selected polling figures on a day-to-day basis. Our purpose is to provide readers with accurate information so that they can judge by themselves the reasons for the ups and downs of different opinion figures. When "Opinion Daily" began to operate on January 17, 2007, it only contained significant events and popularity figures of the Chief Executive over the past few months. As of today, it contains a chronology of events starting from May 1, 2006, and many poll figures registered since January 1, 2006. Readers can now check on the results of 9 different polling items compiled by POP, including the popularity of the Chief Executive, the HKSAR government, and the Secretaries of Departments under the accountability system. In near future, the content of "Opinion Daily" will continue to expand, in order to promote the science of opinion polling. In July 2007, POP collaborated with Wisers Information Limited whereby Wisers supplies to POP since July 24 each day a record of significant events of that day, according to the research method designed by POP. These daily entries would be uploaded to the "Opinion Daily" feature page as soon as they are verified by POP, in order to provide readers with swifter and more accurate information. In August 2007, POP began to include in its regular press releases a list of significant events which happened in between two surveys, so that readers can make their own judgment on whether these events have any effect on the ups and downs of the polling figures. This press release is no exception. For the polling items covered in this press release, the previous survey was conducted from May 14 to 16, 2008 while this survey was conducted from November 11 to 14, 2008. In between these two surveys, herewith the significant events selected from counting newspaper headlines and commentaries on a daily basis and covered by at least 25% of the local newspaper articles. Readers can make their own judgment if these significant events have any impacts to different polling figures.
It can be seen that in terms of events covered by at least 25% of the local newspaper in the form of headline stories in any particular day, there were very few headline stories related to events outside Hong Kong and Mainland China, between the two surveys, mainly about the cross-strait contacts and the United States presidential election. Therefore, exactly how Hong Kong people form their attitude towards different governments and peoples is definitely worth studying. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Commentary Robert Ting-Yiu Chung, Director of Public Opinion Programme, observed, "We started our survey on Hong Kong people's feeling towards different governments in 1997, in order to study Hong Kong people's international perspective. Our surveys show that Hong Kong people feel much more positively about other peoples than their governments, with the exception of Mainland China and Macau. For the cross-strait region, Hong Kong people's positive feeling towards fellow Hong Kong people is 19 percentage points higher than that towards the Hong Kong SAR Government and their positive feeling towards the Taiwan people is 8 percentage points higher than that of the Taiwan government. However, their positive feeling towards Mainland Chinese people is 8 percentage points lower than that of the Mainland Chinese government while their positive feeling towards Macau people is 5 percentage points lower than that of the Macau SAR Government. As for regions and countries beyond the cross-strait region, Hong Kong people's positive feelings towards the people of Japan is 26 percentage points higher than that of the Japanese government, that towards the people of Thailand is 23 percentage points higher than that of the Thai government, that towards the people of the United States is 21 percentage points higher than that of the American government, and that towards the people of South Korea is 13 percentage points higher than that of the South Korean government. In terms of absolute percentages, Hong Kong people seem to dislike the governments of the United States, Thailand, Taiwan, Japan and Russia, whereas they seem to like all peoples rather than dislike them. This finding is worth studying by various governments. Moreover, also worth noting is that compared to half a year ago, Hong Kong people's positive feeling towards the Hong Kong SAR Government has plunged 18 percentage points, their negative feeling towards the Thai government has risen 18 percentage points, their positive feeling towards Taiwan people has dropped 17 percentage points, their positive feeling towards fellow Hong Kong people has dropped 14 percentage points, but their negative feeling towards the French government has dropped 12 percentage points. It should be noted, however, that our survey only covers regions and countries best known to Hong Kong people. Hong Kong people may well like or dislike other places much more, but because they are not the most well-known places, they do not appear on the list by design." | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
News about POP POP's normal practice is to release the results of our regular surveys every Tuesday afternoon via our POP Site, except during public holidays, each time with a forecast of the items to be released in the next 7 days. According to schedule, our next release of regular survey findings will be November 25, 2008, Tuesday, between 1pm and 2pm, when the latest popularity figures of CE Donald Tsang and the HKSAR Government will be released. POP will also follow the rhythm of the WorldPublicOpinion.org (WPO) to globally release the Chinese versions of WPO's press releases regularly, via our "World Public Opinion Platform" accessible through our POP Site and the "Hong Kong People's Opinion Platform" at http://www.hkpop.hk. Our general practice is to answer all questions on the research design of the surveys published in the POP Site as soon as we receive them, but we will not further comment on the findings. We welcome questions for follow-up purpose, please email them to us at <[email protected]>. We will keep such an arrangement under constant review, suggestions most welcome. Please note that everything carried in the POP Site does not represent the stand of the University of Hong Kong. Dr Robert Ting-Yiu Chung, Director of POP, is responsible for everything posted herewith, except for column articles which represent the stand of their authors. Starting from January 2006, we have included in our regular press releases a small educational section for the purpose of general civic education, so that we can share our experience with the general public. The subject of our education section today is "About HKUPOP". | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
About HKUPOP Mapping people's feelings towards different governments and peoples As the world progresses, Hong Kong people need to know and care more about the world, on top of their concern for local matters. Around the time of Hong Kong's handover, we at HKUPOP began to measure Hong Kong people's global views, while at the same time stepping up our surveys on national issues. We explained the development of this polling series twice in our press release dated on 31 December, 2007 and 20 May, 2008. Today, we release it again, so that readers can refresh such development.
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