HKU POP SITE releases the latest results of subjective freedom indicatorsBack


Press Release on July 24, 2007
 

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| Detailed Findings (Subjective Freedom Indicators) |

Latest Figures
 

The Public Opinion Programme (POP) at the University of Hong Kong today releases on schedule via the "HKU POP SITE" (http://hkupop.pori.hk) the latest results of subjective freedom indicators. All the figures have been weighted according to provisional figures obtained from the Census and Statistics Department regarding the gender-age distribution of the Hong Kong population at the end of 2006. Herewith the contact information for the latest survey: 


 Date of survey  Overall sample size   Response rate  Sampling error of ratings*
 3-6/7/2007   1,015   63.4%   +/- 0.14 
* Calculated at 95% confidence level using full sample size. "95% confidence level" means that if we were to repeat a certain survey 100 times, using the same questions each time but with different random samples, we would expect 95 times getting a figure within the error margins specified. Questions using only sub-samples would have bigger sample error. Sampling errors of ratings are calculated according to the distribution of the scores collected.
 

Recent trends of these indicators are summarized as follows:

 
  Date of survey  17-21/10/05   3-6/1/06   4-7/7/06   9-12/1/07   3-6/7/07   Latest change 
  Sample base  1,009   1,018   1,015   1,009   1,015   -- 
  Overall response rate  65.6%   63.5%   55.9%   62.7%   63.4%   -- 
  Maximum sampling error of ratings (at 95 % confidence level)*  +/- 0.16   +/- 0.14   +/- 0.16   +/-0.14   +/-0.14   -- 
  Finding for each question/Sampling error*  Finding   Finding   Finding   Finding   Finding   Sampling error   -- 
  Freedom to enter or leave Hong Kong  8.51   8.54   8.67   8.56   8.62   +/-0.10   +0.06 
  Freedom of religious belief  8.61   8.66   8.69   8.64   8.59   +/-0.10   -0.05 
  Freedom to engage in artistic and literary creation  7.99   8.00   8.03   8.00   7.86   +/-0.12   -0.14 
  Freedom to engage in academic research  8.14   8.09   8.25   8.08   7.76   +/-0.12   -0.32 
  Freedom of speech  7.26   7.68   7.94   7.46   7.48   +/-0.12   +0.02 
  Freedom of procession and demonstration  7.33   7.71   7.67   7.48   7.38   +/-0.12   -0.10 
  Freedom of press  7.18   7.63   7.54   7.40   7.34   +/-0.12   -0.06 
  Freedom of publication  7.31   7.66   7.61   7.46   7.33   +/-0.12   -0.13 
  Freedom of association  7.09   7.41   7.47   7.21   7.23   +/-0.12   +0.02 
  Freedom to strike  6.72   6.83   6.80   6.92   6.91   +/-0.14   -0.01 
* "95% confidence level" means that if we were to repeat a certain survey 100 times, using the same questions each time but with different random samples, we would expect 95 times getting a figure within the error margins specified. Media can state "sampling error of various ratings not more than +/-0.14 at 95% confidence level" when quoting the above figures.
 

The survey conducted in early July revealed that, on a scale of 0-10, the freedoms of "entering or leaving Hong Kong" and "religious belief" scored the highest ratings with 8.62 and 8.59 marks, followed by freedoms to engage in "artistic and literary creation" and "academic research", attaining 7.86 and 7.76 marks correspondingly. Freedoms of "speech", "procession and demonstration", "press" and "publication" formed the next tier, with respective scores of 7.48, 7.38, 7.34 and 7.33 marks. Finally, the freedoms of "association" and to "strike" attained 7.23 and 6.91 marks correspondingly.


Commentary

Robert Ting-Yiu Chung, Director of Public Opinion Programme, observed, "Compared to 6 months ago, our latest survey shows that of the 10 subjective freedom indicators covered in the survey, 3 have gone up while 7 have gone down, including 3 which have dropped beyond sampling error, namely, 'academic research freedom', 'artistic and literary creation freedom' and 'publication freedom'. Among the three, 'academic research freedom' registered the biggest drop, to record low since October 2002, probably due to the HKIEd Incident. In terms of relative ranking, the freedoms of 'entering or leaving Hong Kong' and 'religious belief' continue to cluster at the top, with over 8.5 marks. The freedoms to engage in 'artistic and literary creation' and 'academic research' form the second tier, usually near or above 8.0 marks, but now getting close to the lower tier. The freedoms of 'speech', 'procession and demonstration', 'press', 'publication' and 'association' cluster to form the third tier, approaching 7.5 marks. The freedom to 'strike' continues to form a group of its own at the bottom of the list, with less than 7.0 marks."

News about POP

POP's normal practice is to release the results of our regular surveys every Tuesday afternoon via our POP Site, except during public holidays, each time with a forecast of the items to be released in the next 7 days. According to schedule, our next release of regular survey findings will be July 31, 2007, Tuesday, between 1pm to 2pm, when the latest popularity figures of CE Donald Tsang and HKSAR Government will be released.

Our general practice is to answer all questions on the research design of the surveys published in the POP Site as soon as we receive them, but we will not further comment on the findings. We welcome questions for follow-up purpose, please email them to us at <[email protected]>. We will keep such an arrangement under constant review, suggestions most welcome. Please note that everything carried in the POP Site does not represent the stand of the University of Hong Kong. Dr Robert Ting-Yiu Chung, Director of POP, is responsible for everything posted herewith, except for column articles which represent the stand of their authors.

For the whole of last year, we have included in our regular press releases a small educational section for the purpose of sharing our research experience with the readers and the general public, and the subject of our education section today is "About HKUPOP". In the near future, we will keep on stepping up our effort in promoting general civic education to enhance our POP Site accordingly.

About HKUPOP

Subjective "freedom indicators" surveys

Social indicator survey is an important way for the general public to monitor a society's development. HKUPOP first conducted such surveys around the handover of Hong Kong in 1997, in order to monitor the new development of Hong Kong society. In our research domain, "freedom indicators" comprises 10 main indicators, namely, "freedom of speech", "freedom of press", "freedom of publication", "freedom of procession and demonstration", "freedom of association", "freedom to strike", "freedom to enter or leave Hong Kong", "freedom to engage in academic research", "freedom to engage in artistic and literary creation" and "freedom of religious belief". We have explained the development of the surveys in our press release of January 23, 2007. Today, we post it again, so that readers can refresh such development.

  • Between August and November 1997, our surveys on freedom indicators were conducted once a month. It was reduced to once every two months after that. In October 2000, it was further reduced to once every three months. Starting from January 2006, "freedom indicators" are surveyed once every six months to cope with the changing social conditions.

  • For the "freedom indicators" surveys, the question wordings used in the questionnaire are "Please use 0 - 10 to evaluate the extent of the freedom of XX in Hong Kong. 10 indicates absolute freedom, 0 indicates absolute lack of freedom, 5 indicates half-half. What do you think?"

  • Regarding the sample size, between August 1997 and March 2000, the sample size of all surveys was set at slightly over 500. Since May 2000, it was increased to at least 1,000.

  • The findings of our early "freedom indicators" surveys conducted between August 1997 and August 1999 were published in our newsletter POP Express. After our HKU POP Site was established in June 2000, such findings were released online since February 2002 while all previous findings published in our POP Express were also uploaded online in various formats.

| Latest Figures | Commentary | News about POP | About HKUPOP |
| Detailed Findings (Subjective Freedom Indicators) |