HKU POP SITE releases the survey results on the suitability of Principal Officials designatesBack


Press Release on July 5, 2007
 

| Background | Latest Figures | Commentary | News about POP
| Detailed Findings (The suitability of Principal Officials designates) |

Background
 

The former Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa introduced an accountability system of Principal Officials in 2002 and formulated 3 Departments as well as 11 Bureaux. On June 24, 2002, he announced the first term of Principal Officials under the accountability system. Shortly after the list announced, the Public Opinion Programme (POP) at the University of Hong Kong started a survey to gauge people's opinion towards the suitability of each Principal Official designates. The wordings used were, 「Chief Executive has appointed XXX as YYYYY. Do you think XXX is an ideal candidate?」 Survey findings were released on June 27, 2002. Please visit "HKU POP SITE" (http://hkupop.pori.hk) for details. On June 23, 2007, Chief Executive Donald Tsang announced the list of new term of Principal Officials, including 3 Secretaries of Departments and 12 Directors of Bureaux. POP immediately began an opinion survey by using the same mean to gauge people's view about the appropriateness of the Principal Official designates, and compared the figures with those of 5 years ago.

Latest Figures
 

POP today releases on schedule via the HKU POP SITE the latest survey results of the suitability of Principal Officials designates. All the figures have been weighted according to latest provisional figures obtained from the Census and Statistics Department regarding the gender-age distribution of the Hong Kong population. Herewith the contact information for the surveys:


Date of survey  Overall sample size  Response rate Sampling error of percentages/ratings*
 24-26/6/2002   1,067   68.1%   +/- 3% 
 25-30/6/2007   506   77.8%   +/- 4% 
* Calculated at 95% confidence level using full sample size. 「95% confidence level」 means that if we were to repeat a certain survey 100 times, using the same questions each time but with different random samples, we would expect 95 times getting a figure within the error margins specified. Questions using only sub-samples would have bigger sample error. Sampling errors of ratings are calculated according to the distribution of the scores collected.
 

The table below reveals the appropriateness of the Secretaries of Departments in 2002 and 2007 respectively:

 
  Date of survey  24-26/6/02 25-30/6/07
  Sample base  1,067  506
  Overall response rate  68.1%  77.8%
  Sampling error of percentages 
(at 95 % confidence level)*
 +/-3%   +/-4%
  Finding for each question/Sampling error/Recognition rate*  Finding^   Sampling error   Recognition Rate   Finding^   Sampling error   Recognition Rate 
    Donald Tsang asChief Secretary for Administration Henry Tang as Chief Secretary for Administration
  Appropriate  80%   +/-2%   97%   74%   +/-4%   98% 
  Inappropriate  9%   +/-2%   10%   +/-3% 
  Don't know  12%   +/-2%   16%   +/-3% 
    Antony Leung as Financial Secretary John Tsang as Financial Secretary 
  Appropriate  63%   +/-3%   97%   48%   +/-4%   85%
  Inappropriate  20%   +/-2%   14%   +/-3% 
  Don't know  17%   +/-2%   38%   +/-4% 
   Elsie Leung as Secretary for Justice Wong Yan-lung asSecretary for Justice
  Appropriate  40%   +/-3%   96%   85%   +/-3%   94% 
  Inappropriate  44%   +/-3%   2%   +/-1% 
  Don't know  16%   +/-2%   14%   +/-3% 
    appropriate  inappropriate  Don't know Recognition rate   appropriate  inappropriate  Don't know Recognition rate 
  Average percentages of Principal Official designates  61%   24%   15%   97%   69%   9%   22%   93% 
* "95% confidence level" means that if we were to repeat a certain survey 100 times, using the same questions each time but with different random samples, we would expect 95 times getting a figure within the error margins specified. Media can state 「sampling error of percentages not more than +/-4 at 95% confidence level」 when quoting the above figures.
^ Figures are estimated from the sub-sample after deducing those who claimed 「not familiar with XXX」, so direct comparison should not be made.
 

The survey revealed that 74% of the respondents regarded Henry Tang as an appropriate candidate for Chief Secretary for Administration, 10% disagreed. Meanwhile, 48% of the respondents considered John Tsang as Financial Secretary appropriate while 14% disagreed. As for Secretary for Justice, 85% believed Wong Yan-lung was suitable for the post and only 2% disagreed. Generally speaking, 69% considered them appropriate candidates for the three positions.

Suitability of the 12 Directors of Bureaux in 2002 and 2007 are tabulated as follows:

 
  Date of survey  24-26/6/02  25-30/6/07  
  Sample base  1,067  506
  Overall response rate  68.1%  77.8%
  Sampling error of percentages 
(at 95 % confidence level)*
 +/-3%  +/-4% 
  Finding for each question/Sampling error/Recognition rate* Finding^   Sampling error   Recognition Rate   Finding^   Sampling error   Recognition Rate 
    Regina Ip as Secretary for Security Ambrose Lee as Secretary for Security
  Appropriate  80%   +/-2%   93%   89%   +/-3%   95% 
  Inappropriate  11%   +/-2%   3%   +/-2% 
  Don't know  10%   +/-2%   8%   +/-2% 
    Stephen Ip as Secretary for Economic Development and Labour Matthew Cheung as Secretary for Labour and Welfare
  Appropriate  71%   +/-3%   72%  79%   +/-4%   70%
  Inappropriate  8%   +/-2%   6%   +/-2% 
  Don't know  21%   +/-2%   16%   +/-3% 
    Yeoh Eng-kiong as Secretary for Health, Welfare and Food York Chow as Secretary for Food and Health
  Appropriate  62%   +/-3%   66%   77%   +/-4%   95%
  Inappropriate  15%   +/-2%   13%   +/-3% 
  Don't know  24%   +/-3%   11%   +/-3% 
    Frederick Ma as Secretary for Financial Services and the Treasury Chan Kar-keung as Secretary for Financial Services and the Treasury
  Appropriate  54%   +/-3%   52%  70%   +/-4%   46%
  Inappropriate  15%   +/-2%   6%   +/-2% 
  Don't know  31%   +/-3%   24%   +/-4% 
    Joseph Wong as Secretary for the Civil Service  Denise Yue as Secretary for the Civil Service
  Appropriate  63%   +/-3%   72%  67%   +/-4%   82%
  Inappropriate  16%   +/-2%   4%   +/-2% 
  Don't know  22%   +/-3%   29%   +/-4% 
    Henry Tang as Secretary for Commerce, Industry and Technology Frederick Ma as Secretary for Commerce and Economic Development
  Appropriate  48%   +/-3%   77%   64%   +/-4%   95% 
  Inappropriate  21%   +/-2%   15%   +/-3% 
  Don't know  31%   +/-3%   21%   +/-4% 
    Stephen Lam as Secretary for Constitutional Affairs Stephen Lam as Secretary for Constitutional and Mainland Affairs
  Appropriate  48%   +/-3%   65%  61%   +/-4%   89%
  Inappropriate  26%   +/-3%   22%   +/-4% 
  Don't know  26%   +/-3%   17%   +/-3% 
    Michael Suen as Secretary for Housing, Planning and Lands Eva Cheng as Secretary for Transport and Housing
  Appropriate  54%   +/-3%   82%  57%   +/-4%   44% 
  Inappropriate  22%   +/-3%   14%   +/-3% 
  Don't know  24%   +/-3%   29%   +/-4% 
    Sarah Liao as Secretary for the Environment, Transport and Works Edward Yau as Secretary for the Environment
  Appropriate  49%   +/-3%   46%  56%   +/-4%   31%
  Inappropriate  13%   +/-2%   9%   +/-3% 
  Don't know  38%   +/-3%   36%   +/-4% 
    Patrick Ho as Secretary for Home Affairs Tsang Tak-sing as Secretary for Home Affairs
  Appropriate  36%   +/-3%   53%   52%   +/-4%   68%
  Inappropriate  32%   +/-3%   16%   +/-3% 
  Don't know  32%   +/-3%   32%   +/-4% 
    Arthur Li as Secretary for Education and Manpower Michael Suen as Secretary for Education 
  Appropriate  66%   +/-3%   70%  46%   +/-4%   97%
  Inappropriate  13%   +/-2%   35%   +/-4% 
  Don't know  21%   +/-2%   19%   +/-3% 
     Not applicable  Carrie Lam as Secretary for Development
  Appropriate  59%   +/-4%   85%
  Inappropriate  11%   +/-3% 
  Don't know  30%   +/-4% 
    appropriate  inappropriate  Don't know Recognition rate   appropriate  inappropriate  Don't know Recognition rate 
  Average percentages of Principal Official designates  57%   17%**   25%   68%   65%   13%   23%   75% 
* "95% confidence level" means that if we were to repeat a certain survey 100 times, using the same questions each time but with different random samples, we would expect 95 times getting a figure within the error margins specified. Media can state 「sampling error of percentages not more than +/-4 at 95% confidence level」 when quoting the above figures.
**Erratum: People's average appraisal of 11 Directors of Bureax, in term of appropriateness, was mistyped as 13%.
^ Figures are estimated from the sub-sample after deducing those who claimed 「not familiar with XXX」, so direct comparison should not be made.
 

Regarding Directors of the 12 Bureaux, 89% of the respondents considered the appointment of Ambrose Lee as Secretary for Security appropriate while 3% held the opposite view. 79% agreed that Matthew Cheung was appropriate Secretary for Labour and Welfare while 6% did not share the view. 77% of the respondents thought York Chow's appointment as Secretary for Food and Health fit while 13% considered it unfit. Concerning Chan Kar-keung's appointment as Secretary for Financial Services and the Treasury, 70% of the respondents thought it was suitable but 6% did not share the same view. 67% of the respondents agreed that Denise Yue was suitable as Secretary for the Civil Service while 4% disagreed. On the suitability of Frederick Ma as Secretary for Commerce and Economic Development, 64% regarded him as an appropriate candidate while 15% did not. Concerning Stephen Lam commencing as Secretary for Constitutional and Mainland Affairs, 61% agreed that he was suitable while 22% disagreed. On the appointment of Eva Cheng as Secretary for Transport and Housing, 57% of the respondents thought it was fit while 14% did not think so. 56% considered the appointment of Edward Yau as Secretary for the Environment suitable while 9% thought the opposite. On Tsang Tak-sing's commencement as Secretary for Home Affairs, 52% thought it was appropriate while 16% opposed. On the other hand, while 46% of the respondents regarded Michael Suen as appropriate Secretary for Education, 35% did not share the view. Finally, on the appointment of Carrie Lam as Secretary for Development, 59% thought it was appropriate while 11% did not think so. Overall speaking, 65% considered them appropriate candidates for the twelve positions.

With respect to the whole cabinet, 66% considered the 15 Principal Officials designates appropriate candidates for their positions, while 12% thought the opposite and 23% did not know. The average recognition rate was 78% As for the survey in 2002, 58% considered the 14 Principal Officials designates appropriate candidates for their positions, while 19% thought the opposite and 23% did not know. The average recognition rate was 74%.

 


Commentary

Robert Ting-Yiu Chung, Director of Public Opinion Programme, observed, "Other than three postings, people's initial appraisal of the new Cabinet led by Donald Tsang is higher than that of Tung Chee-hwa five years ago, both in terms of individual postings or overall evaluation. People's average appraisal of the 15 officials at their designate stage is a positive 66%, which is 8 percentage points higher than that of the 14 officials five years ago. Their average recognition rate is 78%, verses 74% before. This shows that people are more confident in the new Cabinet than five years ago. Nevertheless, it should be noted that people's appraisal of Donald Tsang as Chief Secretary for Administration five years ago is higher than that of Henry Tang this time, people's appraisal of Anthony Leung as Financial Secretary is higher than that of John Tsang this time, and people's appraisal of Arthur Li as Secretary for Education and Manpower is higher than that of Michael Suen. Because the Development Bureau is new, we cannot compare Carrie Lam to her predecessor. Of course, only time can tell whether people's initial appraisal is right or wrong, but as a starting point, people seem to be more optimistic than five years ago."

News about POP

POP's normal practice is to release the results of our regular surveys every Tuesday afternoon via our POP Site, except during public holidays, each time with a forecast of the items to be released in the next 7 days. According to schedule, our next release of regular survey findings will be July 10, 2007, Tuesday, between 1pm to 2pm, when the latest figures of people's satisfaction with Legco members in general, the Hong Kong Police Force and the PLA Hong Kong Garrison will be released. Then, on July 12, 2007, Thursday, between 1pm to 2pm, the latest findings of people's appraisal of society's current conditions will be released.

Our general practice is to answer all questions on the research design of the surveys published in the POP Site as soon as we receive them, but we will not further comment on the findings. We welcome questions for follow-up purpose, please email them to us at <[email protected]>. We will keep such an arrangement under constant review, suggestions most welcome. Please note that everything carried in the POP Site does not represent the stand of the University of Hong Kong. Dr Robert Ting-Yiu Chung, Director of POP, is responsible for everything posted herewith, except for column articles which represent the stand of their authors.


 

| Background | Latest Figures | Commentary | News about POP
| Detailed Findings (The suitability of Principal Officials designates) |