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* "95% confidence level" means that if we were to repeat a certain survey 100 times, using the same questions each time but with different random samples, we would expect 95 times getting a figure within the error margins specified.
** Collapsed from a 5-point scale.
^ Expressed in one-decimal place, satisfaction rate of HKPF last time was 81.6%, compared to this time's 81.9%.
Results of survey conducted in mid-June revealed that 25% of the respondents were satisfied with the overall performance of the Legco members, and 30% were dissatisfied. As for the performance of the HKPF, 82% were satisfied while 4% were dissatisfied. Besides, 57% were satisfied with the performance of the PLA stationed in Hong Kong, whereas only 2% were dissatisfied.
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Commentary
Robert Ting-Yiu Chung, Director of Public Opinion Programme, observed, "Compared to three months ago, the findings of all three survey items have not changed much. People's satisfaction with Legco members in general has slightly dropped, while dissatisfaction slightly increased. The current situation can be considered as equally split both ways. As for the two disciplinary forces, people's satisfaction with the PLA's Hong Kong Garrison has slightly dropped, but dissatisfaction rate continues to be near absolute zero. On the other hand, people's satisfaction with the Hong Kong Police Force continues to stay at record high. If we count decimal places as well, people's satisfaction with HKPF is at record high since this survey item started in July 1997."
News about POP
POP's normal practice is to release the results of our regular surveys every Tuesday afternoon via our POP Site, except during public holidays, each time with a forecast of the items to be released in the next 7 days. According to schedule, our next release of regular survey findings will be July 6, 2006, Thursday, between 1pm to 2pm, when the latest figures of people's appraisal of society's current conditions will be released. Then on July 11, 2006, Tuesday, between 1pm to 2pm, we will release the latest popularity figures of CE Donald Tsang and Principal Officials under the accountability system.
Our general practice is to answer all questions on the research design of the surveys published in the POP Site as soon as we receive them, but we will not further comment on the findings. We welcome questions for follow-up purpose, please email them to us at . We will keep such an arrangement under constant review, suggestions most welcome. Please note that everything carried in the POP Site does not represent the stand of the University of Hong Kong. Dr Robert Ting-Yiu Chung, Director of POP, is responsible for everything posted herewith, except for column articles which represent the stand of their authors.
Starting from January 2006, we have included in our regular press releases a small educational section for the purpose of general civic education, so that we can share our experience with the general public. The subject of our education section today is "About HKUPOP".
About HKUPOP
When did HKUPOP start to conduct July 1 rally onsite surveys?|
Since the first July 1 Rally in 2003, POP began to conduct onsite surveys of rally participants of age 15 or above, in order to understand the background and appeals of the protestors. From 2003 to 2005, all onsite questionnaires were jointly designed by Joseph Man Chan, Professor at the School of Journalism and Communication at the Chinese University of Hong Kong, and Robert Ting-Yiu Chung, Director of Public Opinion Programme at the University of Hong Kong. POP was responsible for designing the sampling method and conducting the onsite interviews, whereas Francis Lee, Assistant Professor at the Department of English and Communication at the City University of Hong Kong also joined the statistical analyses and article writing. This year, 2006, because we did not anticipate any breakthrough both in terms of the number of rally participants and their mode of mobilization, the length of the onsite questionnaire has been shortened. POP was fully responsible for the whole research design and operation, but the data collected would also be given to Joseph Chan and Francis Lee for follow-up analyses. Preliminary findings are released to the public via the "POP SITE".
When did HKUPOP start to conduct July 1 rally onsite surveys?
Since the first July 1 Rally in 2003, POP has been conducting onsite surveys of rally participants of age 15 or above to fill in an online questionnaire by clicking on a specific link in the "POP SITE". Leaflets with unique passwords are distributed to rally participants on the spot. Several days later, we would separate the responses received into categories such as valid, dubious and repeated, for further analyses. The difference between online and onsite questionnaire is that the online questionnaire is longer and the questions are more in-depth. It also allows the respondents to freely express their opinions. Online surveys can therefore provide supplementary information to the onsite surveys. Nonetheless, because the representativeness of online surveys is somehow limited, we can only take the findings as supplementary references. From 2003 to 2005, the invitation leaflets of the online surveys were jointly distributed under the name of Joseph Man Chan, Professor at the School of Journalism and Communication at the Chinese University of Hong Kong, and Robert Ting-Yiu Chung, Director of Public Opinion Programme at the University of Hong Kong. In 2006, it was distributed under than name of HKUPOP. POP was fully responsible for the research operation and statistical analyses of all online surveys, and all findings have been released for public consumption via the "POP SITE".
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