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| Date of survey |
17-19/1/05 |
18-21/4/05 |
18-20/7/05 |
25-29/10/05 |
17-21/2/06 |
Latest Change |
| Sample base |
1,022 |
1,012 |
1,008 |
1,017 |
1,017 |
--- |
| Overall response rate |
64.8% |
66.7% |
62.6% |
63.5% |
60.9% |
--- |
| Sampling error of indicators(at 95% confidence level)* |
+/- 0.14 |
+/- 0.12 |
+/- 0.12 |
+/- 0.12 |
+/- 0.12 |
--- |
| Sampling error of personal rating(at 95% confidence level)* |
+/- 1.6 |
+/- 1.4 |
+/- 1.4 |
+/- 1.2 |
+/- 1.2 |
--- |
| Degree of freedom |
7.54 |
7.44 |
7.40 |
7.52 |
7.52 |
-- |
| Degree of civilization |
7.24 |
7.32 |
7.14 |
7.37 |
7.30 |
-0.07 |
| Degree of public order |
7.18 |
7.18 |
6.99 |
7.16 |
7.22 |
+0.06 |
| Degree of stability |
6.79 |
6.94 |
6.94 |
7.15 |
7.14 |
-0.01 |
| Degree of corruption-free practices |
7.07 |
7.15 |
6.80 |
7.09 |
7.08 |
-0.01 |
| Degree of prosperity |
6.60 |
6.74 |
6.77 |
6.80 |
6.94 |
+0.14 |
| Degree of efficiency |
6.73 |
6.93 |
6.72 |
6.92 |
6.83 |
-0.09 |
| Degree of social welfare sufficiency |
6.31 |
6.48 |
6.18 |
6.32 |
6.34 |
+0.02 |
| Degree of equality |
6.15 |
6.47 |
6.10 |
6.46 |
6.33 |
-0.13 |
| Degree of democracy |
6.08 |
6.27 |
6.14 |
6.29 |
6.29 |
-- |
| Degree of fairness |
5.52 |
6.29 |
5.90 |
6.15 |
6.09 |
-0.06 |
| Impartiality of the courts |
7.05 |
7.04 |
6.82 |
7.06 |
6.90 |
-0.16 |
| Compliance with the rule of law |
6.73 |
6.70 |
6.70 |
6.88 |
6.89 |
+0.01 |
| Fairness of the judicial system |
6.72 |
6.75 |
6.68 |
6.81 |
6.66 |
-0.15 |
| Support rating of Andrew Li |
62.0 |
62.7 |
62.9 |
64.4 |
62.2 |
-2.2 |
* 「95% confidence level」 means that if we were to repeat a certain survey 100 times, using the same questions each time but with different random samples, we would expect 95 times getting a figure within the error margins specified.
Regarding the social indicators, results obtained in late February showed that, on a scale of 0-10, Hong Kong's degree of 「freedom」 scored the highest rating with 7.52 marks. 「Civilization」, 「public order」 and 「stability」 followed behind, with respective scores of 7.30, 7.22 and 7.14 marks. 「Corruption-free practices」, 「prosperity」 and 「efficiency」 formed the next tier, scoring 7.08, 6.94 and 6.83 marks respectively. Meanwhile, the ratings of 「social welfare sufficiency」, 「equality」 and 「democracy」 were 6.34, 6.33 and 6.29 marks correspondingly. Last of all, 「fairness」 scored 6.09 marks.
As for the legal indicators, people's latest appraisal of the impartiality of the courts scored 6.90 marks, that of the compliance with the rule of law was 6.89 marks, while the rating of the fairness of the judicial system scored 6.66 marks. Meanwhile, the latest popularity rating of Chief Justice Andrew Li Kwok-nang, a representative figure of the judicial system, was 62.2 marks, on a scale of 0-100.
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Commentary
Robert Ting-Yiu Chung, Director of Public Opinion Programme, observed, 「Generally speaking, the readings of all subjective social indicators have not changed much over the past 4 months. "Prosperity" continues to climb a bit, while "equality" drops a little, otherwise all variations are not statistically significant. Regarding the legal indicators, "impartiality of the courts", "fairness of the judicial system" and the popularity rating of Chief Justice Andrew Li have all dropped a little after reaching record high last time, but the overall "rule of law" indicator has not changed much. In terms of ranking, "freedom" and "civilization" are still topping the list, while "fairness" and "democracy" are still at the bottom. "Prosperity" has gradually recovered to the middle of the ladder after dropping to the bottom in mid-2003. Starting from July last year, the 4 bottom indicators, namely, "social welfare", "equality", "democracy" and "fairness", have kept a constant distance from the rest of the indicators. This is something which deserves more attention.」
News about POP
POP's normal practice is to release the results of our regular surveys every Tuesday afternoon via our POP Site, except during public holidays, each time with a forecast of the items to be released in the next 7 days. According to schedule, our next release of regular survey findings will be March 14, 2006, Tuesday, between 1pm to 2 pm., the latest popularity figures of CE Donald Tsang and Principal Officials under the accountability system will be released.
Our general practice is to answer all questions on the research design of the surveys published in the POP Site as soon as we receive them, but we will not further comment on the findings. We welcome questions for follow-up purpose, please email them to us at <[email protected]>. We will keep such an arrangement under constant review, suggestions most welcome. Please note that everything carried in the POP Site does not represent the stand of the University of Hong Kong. Dr Robert Ting-Yiu Chung, Director of POP, is responsible for everything posted herewith, except for column articles which represent the stand of their authors.
Starting this year, we have included a small educational section in our regular press release for the purpose of general civic education, the content of which was based on previous questions and comments we have received from the public. The subject of our education section today is 「FAQs of Opinion Research」.
FAQs of Opinion Research
Q: Can we divide various 「social indicators」 into different levels?
A: Yes, we can. In our POP Site, under the 「social indicators」 sub-page, we have listed 12 indicators, namely, 「democracy」, 「freedom, 「prosperity」, 「stability」, 「fairness」, 「civilization」, 「corruption-free」, 「equality」, 「efficiency」, 「social welfare」, 「public order」 and 「rule of law」. Under our 「freedom indicators」 sub-page, we have listed 10 「sub-indicators」, namely, 「freedom of speech」, 「freedom of press」, 「freedom of publication」, 「freedom of procession and demonstration」, 「freedom of association」, 「freedom to strike」, 「freedom to enter or leave Hong Kong」, 「freedom to engage in academic research」, 「freedom to engage in artistic and literary creation」 and 「freedom of religious belief」. Under our 「rule of law indicator」, we have included 「fairness of the judicial system」 and 「impartiality of the courts」 as two 「sub-indicators」. In other words, up to now, HKUPOP has been mapping 12 「social indicators」 plus another 12 「social sub-indicators」 regularly.
Q: What is the difference between 「subjective indictors」 and 「objective indicators」?
A: Please refer to the answer given in our press release of January 17, 2006.
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