HKUPOP releases an international survey on WTOBack


Press Release on December 15, 2005
 

Riding on the International Conference on "Public Opinion: East Meets West" organized jointly with the World Association for Public Opinion Research (WAPOR), the Public Opinion Programme (POP) at the University of Hong Kong initiated an international opinion survey on "WTO from the perspective of international public opinion" across 10 different countries and areas. While the results of the surveys have already been presented at the International Conference, POP today re-issues these findings to the press. The names of the participating organizations in different countries and areas, as well as their research methods, are listed as follows:

 
  Country/area  Organization   Method   Sample 
  Czech Republic  Charles University   face-to-face survey   1,071 
  Congo  Bureau d'Etudes, de Recherches et de Consulting International (BERCI)   face-to-face survey*   1,000 
  Hong Kong  Public Opinion Programme (POP),the University of Hong Kong   telephone survey   1,003 
  India  Cvoter Foundation   face-to-face survey   1,414 
  Macau  Public Opinion Programme (POP),the University of Hong Kong   telephone survey   1,005 
  Mexico  Grupo Reforma   telephone survey   850 
  Philippines  Social Weather Stations   face-to-face survey   1,200 
  Russia  Levada Analytic Center   face-to-face survey   1,600 
  Sri Lanka  Social Indicator -Centre for Policy Alternatives   face-to-face survey   1,047 
  USA  Program on International Policy Attitudes (PIPA), Maryland University   online panel   808 

* Not telephone survey as previously described.

 

The standard core opinion questions used in the international survey are:

  1. Do you know whether [your country] is a member of the WTO, that is, World Trade Organization?
  2. [For countries already joined WTO] Do you think joining the WTO have made [your country] better or worse in terms of economic development? [For countries not yet joined] Do you think joining the WTO would make [your country] better or worse in terms of economic development?
  3. Some people divide the world into developed and developing countries or areas. Would you say WTO has brought more good or harm to developed countries or areas in the world?
  4. Would you say WTO has brought more good or harm to developing countries in the world?
  5. Would you say WTO has brought more good or harm to the world on the whole?
 

The preliminary figures from the 10 participating countries and areas are listed below. The final figures are still being collated and analysed by the participating organizations:

 

Knowledge that one's country/area is or is not a member of the WTO (%)

 
    Correct answer   Wrong answers   Don't know / Hard to say 
  Philippines  25   14   61* 
  Congo  29   9   63 
  Sri Lanka  32   68   0 
  Czech Republic  33   4   63 
  Macau  41   18   41 
  Russia  45   18   37 
  Mexico  47   9   44 
  India  53   20   27 
  Hong Kong  69   11   20 
  USA  85   8   6 

* Philippines' figure refers to those respondents who said they did not know anything about WTO.


Net effect on the economic development of one's country/area in joining the WTO (%)
 
    Better   Worse   No change   Don't know   Better/(Better + Worse)   Worse/(Better + Worse) 
  Philippines  13   4   5   77*   76   24 
  Congo  15   5   29   51   76   24 
  Czech Republic  21   8   28   42   72   28 
  Sri Lanka  35   8   10   47   81   19 
  Russia  41   22   7   30   66   34 
  India  40   26   10   24   61   39 
  Mexico  47   24   16   13   66   34 
  USA  62   38   0   0   62   38 
  Hong Kong  66   7   14   14   91   9 
  Macau  71   3   8   18   96   4 
* Philippines' figure includes 75% of respondents not required to answer this question because they did not know anything about WTO.

Net effect of WTO on developed countries/areas (%)
 
    More good   More harm   Half-half   Don't know   More good / (More good + more harm)   More harm / (More good + more harm) 
  Philippines  14   2   6   78*   85   15 
  Congo  21   5   13   60   80   20 
  Czech Republic  21   7   28   44   75   25 
  USA  35   14   52   0   72   28 
  Sri Lanka  32   3   11   54   91   9 
  India  32   17   23   28   65   35 
  Russia  51   10   11   29   84   16 
  Mexico  61   21   4   14   75   25 
  Macau  65   3   12   20   95   5 
  Hong Kong  67   10   11   12   87   13 
* Philippines' figure includes 75% of respondents not required to answer this question because they did not know anything about WTO.

Net effect of WTO on developing countries/areas (%)

    More good   More harm   Half-half   Don't know   More good / (More good + more harm)   More harm / (More good + more harm) 
  Philippines  13   3   6   78   79   21 
  Congo  14   12   15   59   54   46 
  Czech Republic  24   10   21   46   71   29 
  India  28   23   22   27   54   46 
  Sri Lanka  29   6   13   51   82   18 
  Russia  35   22   12   31   62   38 
  USA  39   13   49   0   75   25 
  Mexico  45   35   6   15   56   44 
  Hong Kong  54   25   10   11   69   31 
  Macau  63   5   10   22   92   8 
* Philippines' figure includes 75% of respondents not required to answer this question because they did not know anything about WTO.

Net effect of WTO on the whole world (%) 

    More good   More harm   Half-half   Don't know   More good / (More good + more harm)   More harm / (More good + more harm) 
  Philippines  13   3   6   78   81   19 
  Congo  15   6   15   63   72   29 
  Czech Republic  22   7   25   46   76   24 
  India  25   15   32   28   62   38 
  Sri Lanka  29   4   17   49   87   13 
  USA  33   14   53   0   70   30 
  Russia  37   12   16   35   76   24 
  Mexico  49   26   10   15   66   34 
  Hong Kong  59   12   16   13   83   17 
  Macau  65   3   10   21   95   5 
* Philippines' figure includes 75% of respondents not required to answer this question because they did not know anything about WTO.
 

Findings from our international opinion survey shows that, among the 10 participating countries and areas spanning over Europe, America, Asia, Africa and Latin America, people in USA and Hong Kong seem to be most knowledgeable about WTO. People across all 10 countries and areas consider it an advantage for their own country or area to join the WTO, which they think has done more good than harm to the world. Nevertheless, other than the people of USA, all think WTO has brought less advantages to developing countries than to developed countries. This opinion is particularly vivid in Congo, Russia, Mexico, Hong Kong and India.

 

Robert Ting-Yiu Chung, Director of Public Opinion Programme, observed, "Hong Kong people seem relatively knowledgeable about WTO, probably because of the ongoing MC6 meeting in town. While Hong Kong was preparing for the meeting, public opinion was quite favourable to WTO, as nearly 70% thought joining WTO has brought positive advantages to Hong Kong's economic development. Likewise, 67%, 54% and 59% respectively thought that WTO has brought more good than harm to developed countries, developing countries, and the world as a whole. It would be interesting to know what Hong Kong people think of WTO after the MC6 meeting, POP will conduct a follow-up survey to gauge the effect of the meeting on Hong Kong people's perception of WTO."

 

Regarding the mass demonstrations during the MC6 meeting, Robert Chung observed, "Because Hong Kong people have perceived WTO rather positively, they may not endorse the demonstrations if they turn violent. On the contrary, if the protesters use mild and peaceful means to show their demands, like what Hong Kong people used to do, plus perhaps more ethnic favours and rational discussions, they may well win the heart of the Hong Kong people. They may even be able to persuade Hong Kong people to re-think the role of WTO and the prevailing world economic order."

 

Shall anyone have any question regarding the research design of the international survey, members of the POP Team will be happy to answer them, but we will not further comment on the findings. Because the participating research organizations are still analyzing the data, we will not upload the findings onto our HKU POP Site for the time being. Members of the press and the general public are welcome to obtain the entire preliminary report of the international survey from our POP Office, free of charge, but please call our Miss Chau at 2859-2988 first.