HKU POP SITE releases the latest popularity figures of CE, people's appraisal of the performance of the HKSAR Government and LC members in generalBack
| Press Release on August 3, 2004 |
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The Public Opinion Programme (POP) at the University of Hong Kong today releases on schedule via the "HKU POP SITE" (http://hkupop.pori.hk) the latest popularity of CE Tung Chee-Hwa, people's appraisal of the performance of the HKSAR Government and members of the Legislative Council in general. Recent figures on the popularity of CE Tung Chee-hwa are summarized as follows: |
| Date of survey | 18-20/5 | 1-3/6/04 | 21-24/6 | 2-5/7/04 | 26-29/7 | Latest change |
| Sample base | 1,039 | 1,025 | 1,023 | 1,026 | 1,005 | -- |
| Overall response rate | 62.3% | 62.1% | 63.9% | 63.0% | 60.6% | -- |
| Sampling error of ratings (at 95% conf. level)* | +/- 1.4 | +/- 1.4 | +/- 1.4 | +/- 1.4 | +/- 1.4 | -- |
| Sampling error of percentages (at 95% conf. level)* | +/- 3% | +/- 3% | +/- 3% | +/- 3% | +/- 3% | -- |
| Support rating of CH Tung | 42.0 | 43.9 | 45.7 | 44.4 | 48.3 | +3.9 |
| Vote of no confidence in CH Tung | 65% | 64% | 59% | 66% | 62% | -4% |
| Vote of confidence in CH Tung | 16% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 20% | +4% |
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* "95% confidence level" means that if we were to repeat a certain survey 100 times, using the same questions each time but with different random samples, we would expect 95 times getting a figure within the error margins specified. |
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Results of surveys conducted in late July revealed that the latest rating of CE Tung Chee-hwa was 48.3 marks. Meanwhile, 62% of the respondents did not support Tung as the Chief Executive, whereas 20% did. Recent figures on people's appraisal of the performance of the HKSAR Government and members of the Legislative Council in general are summarized as follows: |
| Date of survey | 19-22/4 | 18-20/5 | 21-24/6 | 26-29/7 | Latest change |
| Sample base | 1,029 | 1,039 | 1,023 | 1,005 | -- |
| Overall response rate | 61.1% | 62.3% | 63.9% | 60.6% | -- |
| Sampling error of percentages (at 95% conf. level)* | +/- 3% | +/- 3% | +/- 3% | +/- 3% | -- |
| Dissatisfaction rate of SARG performance** | 49% | 58% | 49% | 47% | -2% |
| Satisfaction rate of SARG performance** | 16% | 13% | 17% | 18% | +1% |
| Improving people's livelihood: Dissatisfaction rate** | 51% | -- | -- | 49% | -2% |
| Improving people's livelihood: Satisfaction rate ** | 19% | -- | -- | 19% | -- |
| Pace of democratic development: Dissatisfaction rate ** | 52% | -- | -- | 48% | -4% |
| Pace of democratic development: Satisfaction rate ** | 22% | -- | -- | 22% | -- |
| Maintaining economic prosperity: Dissatisfaction rate ** | 46% | -- | -- | 46% | -- |
| Maintaining economic prosperity: Satisfaction rate ** | 23% | -- | -- | 23% | -- |
| Protecting human rights and freedom: Dissatisfaction rate ** | 48% | -- | -- | 44% | -4% |
| Protecting human rights and freedom: Satisfaction rate** | 26% | -- | -- | 26% | -- |
| Relation with the Central Government: Dissatisfaction rate** | 32% | -- | -- | 30% | -2% |
| Relation with the Central Government: Satisfaction rate ** | 38% | -- | -- | 38% | -- |
| Overall performance of LegCo members: Dissatisfaction rate** | 39% | -- | -- | 35% | -4% |
| Overall performance of LegCo members: Satisfaction rate** | 15% | -- | -- | 16% | +1% |
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* "95% confidence level" means that if we were to repeat a certain survey 100 times, using the same questions each time but with different random samples, we would expect 95 times getting a figure within the error margins specified. |
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Regarding people's appraisal of the overall performance of the HKSAR Government, the latest figures revealed that 47% were dissatisfied, whereas 18% were satisfied. Of the 5 specific indicators, over 40% of the respondents were dissatisfied with the government's performance in improving people's livelihood, developing democracy, maintaining economic prosperity, and protecting human rights and freedom, with corresponding dissatisfaction rates of 49%, 48%, 46% and 44%. People remained to be most satisfied with the government's handling of its relation with the Central Government, as 38% were satisfied, and 30% were dissatisfied. It was the only item with more people satisfied than dissatisfied. Finally, 35% were dissatisfied with the overall performance of the LegCo members, while 16% were satisfied. |
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Robert Ting-Yiu Chung, Director of Public Opinion Programme, observed: "The survey shows that Tung Chee-hwa's popularity has gone back to its upward trend again, which began in mid-May but suffered a short break after the July 1 Rally. His latest rating is 48.3 marks, which is the highest since mid-October 2002. Tung is obviously benefiting from the more relaxed political atmosphere, as well as the positive effect due to the resignation of a senior official under the accountability system. However, Tung's popularity is still on the low side, as only 20% gave him a vote of confidence. The popularity of the SAR Government and the Legco members on the whole, has also slightly improved. Although their satisfaction rates are still on the down side, various dissatisfaction rates have subsided." |
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POP's normal practice is to release the results of our regular surveys every Tuesday at 2 pm via our POP Site, except during public holidays, each time with a forecast of the items to be released in the forthcoming week. We will review and adjust this operation regularly. According to this schedule, the date and time of our next release of regular survey findings will be August 10, 2004, Tuesday, at 2 pm, the latest popularity ratings of CE Tung Chee-Hwa and other members of the Executive Council will be released. |
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Shall anyone have any question regarding the research design of the surveys published in the POP Site, members of the POP Team will be happy to answer them, but we will not further comment on the findings. Shall any person or journalist have any other questions, please email them to us at <[email protected]. The Director of Public Opinion Programme would answer them as soon as possible. We will keep such an arrangement under constant review, suggestions most welcome. Please note that everything carried in the POP Site does not represent the stand of the University of Hong Kong. Dr Robert Ting-Yiu Chung, Director of Public Opinion Programme, is responsible for everything posted herewith, except for column articles which represent the stand of their authors. |
