HKU POP SITE releases the latest popularity figures of CE, HKSARG and LC membersBack
| Press Release on April 27, 2004 |
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The Public Opinion Programme (POP) at the University of Hong Kong today releases on schedule via the "HKU POP SITE" (http://hkupop.pori.hk) the latest results of the popularity of CE Tung Chee-hwa, people's appraisal of the performance of the Hong Kong SAR Government and members of the Legislative Council in general. Recent figures on the popularity of Tung are summarized as follows: |
| Date of survey | 1-3/3 | 10/3 | 22-24/3 | 1-3/4 | 19-22/4 | Latest change |
| Sample base | 1,031 | 1,023 | 1,015 | 1,022 | 1,029 | -- |
| Overall response rate | 63.7% | 64.7% | 67.8% | 64.1% | 61.1% | -- |
| Sampling error of ratings (at 95% conf. level)* | +/- 1.4 | +/- 1.2 | +/- 1.4 | +/- 1.4 | +/- 1.4 | -- |
| Sampling error of percentages (at 95% conf. level)* | +/- 3% | +/- 3% | +/- 3% | +/- 3% | +/- 3% | -- |
| Support rating of CH Tung | 45.6 | 45.0 | 46.2 | 43.0 | 44.2 | +1.2 |
| Vote of no confidence in CH Tung | 62% | 68% | 63% | 67% | 66% | -1% |
| Vote of confidence in CH Tung | 19% | 13% | 18% | 15% | 16% | +1% |
| Dissatisfaction rate of Tung's policy direction** | -- | -- | -- | -- | 47% | +8% |
| Satisfaction rate of Tung's policy direction** | -- | -- | -- | -- | 14% | +1% |
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* "95% confidence level" means that if we were to repeat a certain survey 100 times, using the same questions each time but with different random samples, we would expect 95 times getting a figure within the error margins specified. |
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Results obtained in late-April showed that, the rating of CE Tung Chee-hwa was 44.2 marks. Meanwhile, 66% of the respondents did not support Tung as the Chief Executive, whereas 16% did. Besides, 47% were dissatisfied with Tung's policy direction, while 14% were satisfied. Recent figures on people's appraisal of the performance of the HKSAR Government and members of the Legislative Council in general are summarized as follows: |
| Date of survey | 26-29/1 | 20-23/2 | 22-24/3 | 19-22/4 | Latest Change |
| Sample base | 1,056 | 1,045 | 1,015 | 1,029 | -- |
| Overall response rate | 65.4% | 65.3% | 67.8% | 61.1% | -- |
| Sampling error of percentages(at 95% confidence level)* | +/- 3% | +/- 3% | +/- 3% | +/- 3% | -- |
| Dissatisfaction rate of SARG performance** | 46% | 45% | 44% | 49% | +5% |
| Satisfaction rate of SARG performance** | 13% | 16% | 15% | 16% | +1% |
| Pace of democratic development: Dissatisfaction rate ** | 47% | -- | -- | 52% | +5% |
| Pace of democratic development: Satisfaction rate ** | 20% | -- | -- | 22% | +2% |
| Improving people's livelihood: Dissatisfaction rate ** | 48% | -- | -- | 51% | +3% |
| Improving people's livelihood: Satisfaction rate ** | 18% | -- | -- | 19% | +1% |
| Protecting human rights and freedom: Dissatisfaction rate ** | 38% | -- | -- | 48% | +10% |
| Protecting human rights and freedom: Satisfaction rate ** | 27% | -- | -- | 26% | -1% |
| Maintaining economic prosperity: Dissatisfaction rate** | 45% | -- | -- | 46% | +1% |
| Maintaining economic prosperity: Satisfaction rate ** | 19% | -- | -- | 23% | +4% |
| Relation with the Central Government: Dissatisfaction rate ** | 20% | -- | -- | 32% | +12% |
| Relation with the Central Government: Satisfaction rate ** | 42% | -- | -- | 38% | -4% |
| Overall performance of LegCo members: Dissatisfaction rate ** | 31% | -- | -- | 39% | +8% |
| Overall performance of LegCo members: Satisfaction rate ** | 14% | -- | -- | 15% | +1% |
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* "95% confidence level" means that if we were to repeat a certain survey 100 times, using the same questions each time but with different random samples, we would expect 95 times getting a figure within the error margins specified. |
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Regarding people's appraisal of the overall performance of the HKSAR Government, the latest figures revealed that 49% were dissatisfied, whereas 16% were satisfied. Of the 5 specific indicators, more than half of the respondents were dissatisfied with the government's performance in developing democracy and improving people's livelihood, with corresponding dissatisfaction rates of 52% and 51%. On the protection of human rights and freedom as well as maintaining economic prosperity, 48% and 46% were dissatisfied respectively. People remained to be most satisfied with the government's handling of its relation with the Central Government, as 38% were satisfied, and 32% were dissatisfied. It was the only item with more people satisfied than dissatisfied. Finally, 39% were dissatisfied with the overall performance of the LegCo members, while 15% were satisfied. |
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Robert Ting-Yiu Chung, Director of Public Opinion Programme, analyzed: "The survey was conducted after NPC interpreted the Basic Law, but before it vetoed universal suffrage in 2007/08. The popularity of CH Tung has rebounded a bit, but would certainly face pressure again after NPC's new ruling. After NPC's interpretation, people's dissatisfaction with the SAR Government has gone up again, reversing the positive trend which started last December. Among the 5 specific performance indicators, people were most dissatisfied with the government's performance in developing democracy. As for SARG's usual strength, that is, in handling its relation with the Central Government, dissatisfaction has gone to a historical high, which is noteworthy." |
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POP's normal practice is to release the results of our regular surveys every Tuesday at 2 pm via our POP Site, except during public holidays, each time with a forecast of the items to be released in the forthcoming week. We will review and adjust this operation regularly. According to this schedule, the date and time of our next release of regular survey findings will be May 4, 2004, Tuesday, at 2 pm, the latest figures on subjective social and legal indicators will be released. |
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Shall anyone have any question regarding the research design of the surveys published in the POP Site, members of the POP Team will be happy to answer them, but we will not further comment on the findings. Shall any person or journalist have any other questions, please email them to us at <[email protected]>. The Director of Public Opinion Programme would answer them as soon as possible. We will keep such an arrangement under constant review, suggestions most welcome. Please note that everything carried in the POP Site does not represent the stand of the University of Hong Kong. Dr Robert Ting-Yiu Chung, Director of Public Opinion Programme, is responsible for everything posted herewith, except for column articles which represent the stand of their authors. |
