HKU POP SITE releases the latest popularity figures of Tung Chee-Hwa, Donald Tsang, Henry Tang and HKSARGBack
| Press Release on March 30, 2004 |
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The Public Opinion Programme (POP) at the University of Hong Kong today releases on schedule via the "HKU POP SITE" (http://hkupop.pori.hk) the latest popularity figures of CE Tung Chee-Hwa, CS Donald Tsang, FS Henry Tang and HKSARG. Recent figures are summarized as follows: |
| Date of survey | 2-4/2 | 20-23/2 | 1-3/3 | 10/3 | 22-24/3 | Latest change |
| Sample base | 1,031 | 1,045 | 1,031 | 1,023 | 1,015 | -- |
| Overall response rate | 63.5% | 65.3% | 63.7% | 64.7% | 67.8% | -- |
| Sampling error of ratings(at 95% conf. level)* | +/- 1.4 | +/- 1.4 | +/- 1.4 | +/- 1.2 | +/- 1.4 | -- |
| Sampling error of percentages (at 95% conf. level)* | +/- 3% | +/- 3% | +/- 3% | +/- 3% | +/- 3% | -- |
| Support rating of CH Tung | 45.4 | 44.9 | 45.6 | 45.0 | 46.2 | +1.2 |
| Vote of no confidence in CH Tung | 64% | 61% | 62% | 68% | 63% | -5% |
| Vote of confidence in CH Tung | 15% | 16% | 19% | 13% | 18% | +5% |
| Support rating of Donald Tsang | 64.9 | -- | 62.9 | 64.9 | 65.8 | +0.9 |
| Support rating of Henry Tang | 57.6 | -- | 57.4 | 59.9 | 59.9 | --- |
| Dissatisfaction rate of SARG performance** | -- | 45% | -- | -- | 44% | -1% |
| Satisfaction rate of SARG performance** | -- | 16% | -- | -- | 15% | -1% |
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* "95% confidence level" means that if we were to repeat a certain survey 100 times, using the same questions each time but with different random samples, we would expect 95 times getting a figure within the error margins specified. |
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Results obtained in late March revealed that the latest rating of Tung Chee-hwa was 46.2 marks. Meanwhile, 63% of the respondents did not support Tung as the Chief Executive, whereas 18% did. As for the 2 Secretaries, the ratings of Donald Tsang and Henry Tang were 65.8 and 59.9 marks respectively. On the other hand, 44% expressed dissatisfaction with the overall performance with the HKSAR Government, while 15% were satisfied. |
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Regarding the popularity figures, Robert Ting-Yiu Chung, Director of Public Opinion Programme, analyzed: "The survey was conducted right after the Taiwan presidential election, but before the Central Government announced its intention to interpret the Basic Law again. Findings show that CH Tung's rating has recovered to the 46-mark level, while his support rate has gone back to the time before he made his remarks during the annual sessions of the National People's Congress and the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference. The popularity of the SAR Government has also not changed much over the last month. However, the interpretation of the Basic Law by the NPC will no doubt affect the popularity of the Central and SAR Governments. Exactly how remains to be seen." |
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POP's normal practice is to release the results of our regular surveys every Tuesday at 2 pm via our POP Site, except during public holidays, each time with a forecast of the items to be released in the forthcoming week. We will review and adjust this operation regularly. According to this schedule, the date and time of our next release will be April 6, 2004, Tuesday, at 2 pm, the latest findings of the Budget follow-up survey will be released. |
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Shall anyone have any question regarding the research design of the surveys published in the POP Site, members of the POP Team will be happy to answer them, but we will not further comment on the findings. Shall any person or journalist have any other questions, please email them to us at <[email protected]>. The Director of Public Opinion Programme would answer them as soon as possible. We will keep such an arrangement under constant review, suggestions most welcome. Please note that everything carried in the POP Site does not represent the stand of the University of Hong Kong. Dr Robert Ting-Yiu Chung, Director of Public Opinion Programme, is responsible for everything posted herewith, except for column articles which represent the stand of their authors. |
