HKU POP SITE releases the latest popularity figures of CE, HKSARG and LC membersBack
| Press Release on February 3, 2004 |
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The Public Opinion Programme (POP) at the University of Hong Kong today releases on schedule via the "HKU POP SITE" (http://hkupop.pori.hk) the latest results of the popularity of CE Tung Chee-hwa, people's appraisal of the performance of the Hong Kong SAR Government and members of the Legislative Council in general. Recent figures on the popularity of Tung are summarized as follows: |
| Date of survey | 20-23/12/03 | 2-4/1/04 | 7/1/04 | 14-16/1/04 | 26-29/1/04 | Latest Change |
| Sample base | 1,022 | 1,005 | 1,040 | 1,000 | 1,056 | -- |
| Overall response rate | 66.0% | 67.5% | 67.5% | 63.2% | 65.4% | -- |
| Sampling error of ratings(at 95% confidence level)* | +/- 1.4 | +/- 1.4 | +/- 1.4 | +/- 1.4 | +/- 1.4 | -- |
| Sampling error of percentages (at 95% confidence level)* | +/- 3% | +/- 3% | +/- 3% | +/- 3% | +/- 3% | -- |
| Support rating of CH Tung | 43.8 | 42.9 | 44.6 | 43.5 | 43.8 | +0.3 |
| Vote of confidence in CH Tung | 15% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 16% | +2% |
| Vote of no confidence in CH Tung | 65% | 68% | 64% | 69% | 63% | -6% |
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* "95% confidence level" means that if we were to repeat a certain survey 100 times, using the same questions each time but with different random samples, we would expect 95 times getting a figure within the error margins specified. |
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Results obtained in late-January showed that, the rating of CE Tung Chee-hwa was 43.8 marks. Meanwhile, 63% of the respondents did not support Tung as the Chief Executive, whereas 16% did. Recent figures on people's appraisal of the performance of the HKSAR Government and members of the Legislative Council in general are summarized as follows: |
| Date of survey | 19-22/10/03 | 15-18/11/03 | 20-23/12/03 | 26-29/1/04 | Latest Change |
| Sample base | 1,017 | 1,030 | 1,022 | 1,056 | -- |
| Overall response rate | 60.0% | 64.1% | 66.0% | 65.4% | -- |
| Sampling error of percentages(at 95% confidence level)* | +/- 3% | +/- 3% | +/- 3% | +/- 3% | -- |
| Satisfaction rate of SARG performance** | 17% | 13% | 17% | 13% | -4% |
| Dissatisfaction rate of SARG performance** | 48% | 56% | 51% | 46% | -5% |
| Improving people's livelihood: Satisfaction rate ** | 17% | -- | -- | 18% | +1% |
| Improving people's livelihood: Dissatisfaction rate ** | 53% | -- | -- | 48% | -5% |
| Pace of democratic development: Satisfaction rate ** | 22% | -- | -- | 20% | -2% |
| Pace of democratic development: Dissatisfaction rate ** | 42% | -- | -- | 47% | +5% |
| Maintaining economic prosperity: Satisfaction rate ** | 19% | -- | -- | 19% | -- |
| Maintaining economic prosperity: Dissatisfaction rate** | 53% | -- | -- | 45% | -8% |
| Protecting human rights and freedom: Satisfaction rate ** | 30% | -- | -- | 27% | -3% |
| Protecting human rights and freedom: Dissatisfaction rate ** | 36% | -- | -- | 38% | +2% |
| Relation with the Central Government: Satisfaction rate ** | 52% | -- | -- | 42% | -10% |
| Relation with the Central Government: Dissatisfaction rate ** | 16% | -- | -- | 20% | +4% |
| Overall performance of LegCo members: Satisfaction rate ** | 15% | -- | -- | 14% | -1% |
| Overall performance of LegCo members: Dissatisfaction rate ** | 34% | -- | -- | 31% | -3% |
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* "95% confidence level" means that if we were to repeat a certain survey 100 times, using the same questions each time but with different random samples, we would expect 95 times getting a figure within the error margins specified. |
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Regarding people's appraisal of the overall performance of the HKSAR Government, the latest figures revealed that 46% were dissatisfied, whereas 13% were satisfied. Of the 5 specific indicators, almost half of the respondents were dissatisfied with the government's performance in improving people's livelihood, developing democracy, and maintaining economic prosperity, with corresponding dissatisfaction rates of 48%, 47% and 45%. On the protection of human rights and freedom, 38% were dissatisfied. People remained to be most satisfied with the government's handling of its relation with the Central Government, as 42% were satisfied, and 20% were dissatisfied. It was the only item with more people satisfied than dissatisfied. Finally, 31% were dissatisfied with the overall performance of the LegCo members, while 14% were satisfied. |
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Robert Ting-Yiu Chung, Director of Public Opinion Programme, analyzed: "The popularity of CH Tung recovered a bit after the Chinese New Year, as his disapproval rate dropped back to 63%, which is still a very high figure. On the other hand, people's dissatisfaction with the SAR Government has also continued to recede. However, in the areas of developing democracy and protecting human rights and freedom, dissatisfaction was on the rise again. One important point to note is that SARG's usual strength in handling its relation with the Central Government seems to have declined, even though it is still at a fairly positive level, probably due to factors related to constitutional review." |
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POP's normal practice is to release the results of our regular surveys every Tuesday at 2 pm via our POP Site, except during public holidays, each time with a forecast of the items to be released in the forthcoming week. We will review and adjust this operation regularly. According to this schedule, the date and time of our next release of regular survey findings will be February 10, 2004, Tuesday, at 2 pm, the latest figures on the popularity of CE Tung Chee-hwa and Principal Officials under the accountability system will be released. |
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Shall anyone have any question regarding the research design of the surveys published in the POP Site, members of the POP Team will be happy to answer them, but we will not further comment on the findings. Shall any person or journalist have any other questions, please email them to us at <[email protected]>. The Director of Public Opinion Programme would answer them as soon as possible. We will keep such an arrangement under constant review, suggestions most welcome. Please note that everything carried in the POP Site does not represent the stand of the University of Hong Kong. Dr Robert Ting-Yiu Chung, Director of Public Opinion Programme, is responsible for everything posted herewith, except for column articles which represent the stand of their authors. |
