HKU POP SITE releases the latest findings on the popularity of CE and SARGBack
| Press Release on September 23, 2003 |
|
The Public Opinion Programme (POP) at the University of Hong Kong today releases on schedule via the "HKU POP SITE" (http://hkupop.pori.hk) the latest figures on the popularity of CE Tung Chee-hwa, and people's appraisal of the performance of the HKSAR Government. Recent figures are summarized as follows: |
| Date of survey | 14-16/7 | 1-5/8 | 18-20/8 | 1-3/9 | 15-17/9 |
| Sample base | 1,073 | 1,012 | 1,032 | 1,059 | 1,030 |
| Response rate | 69.2% | 68.5% | 70.3% | 69.3% | 70.1% |
| Sampling error of ratings (at 95% confidence level)* | +/- 1.4 | +/- 1.4 | +/- 1.4 | +/-1.2 | +/- 1.4 |
| Sampling error of percentages (at 95% confidence level)* | +/- 3% | +/- 3% | +/- 3% | +/- 3% | +/- 3% |
| Support rating of CH Tung | 38.1 | 43.0 | 43.4 | 44.9 | 45.4 |
| Vote of confidence in CH Tung | 12% | 18% | 16% | 18% | 18% |
| Vote of no confidence in CH Tung | 72% | 64% | 66% | 64% | 62% |
| Satisfaction rate of SARG performance** | 11% | -- | 15% | -- | 14% |
| Dissatisfaction rate of SARG performance** | 68% | -- | 54% | -- | 53% |
|
* "95% confidence level" means that if we were to repeat a certain survey 100 times, using the same questions each time but with different random samples, we would expect 95 times getting a figure within the error margins specified
|
|
Results showed that the latest rating of CE Tung Chee-hwa registered in mid-September was 45.4 marks. Meanwhile, 62% of the respondents did not support Tung as the Chief Executive, whereas only 18% did. As for people's appraisal of the performance of the HKSAR Government, the latest findings revealed that 53% were dissatisfied, whilst 14% were satisfied. |
|
Robert Ting-Yiu Chung, Director of Public Opinion Programme, made the following analysis: "The popularity of CE Tung Chee-hwa has made a steady return. With the withdrawal of the National Security Bill, Tung's popularity rating has surpassed the 45-mark credibility crisis level, and returned to where he was before Antony Leung's 'car purchase incident' and the outbreak of SARS. Meanwhile, the popularity of the SAR Government is also near the mid-February level. Although the popularity of CE and SARG are still at a low level, the governance crisis of the half-year past is now over." |
|
POP's normal practice is to release the results of our regular surveys every Tuesday at 2 pm via our POP Site, except during public holidays, each time with a forecast of the items to be released in the forthcoming week. We will review and adjust this operation regularly. According to this schedule, the date and time of our next release will be September 30, 2003, Tuesday, at 2 pm, the latest ratings of the top 10 political figures in Mainland China and Taiwan will be released. |
|
Shall anyone have any question regarding the research design of the surveys published in the POP Site, members of the POP Team will be happy to answer them, but we will not further comment on the findings. Shall any person or journalist have any other questions, please email them to us at <[email protected]>. The Director of Public Opinion Programme would answer them as soon as possible. We will keep such an arrangement under constant review, suggestions most welcome. Please note that everything carried in the POP Site does not represent the stand of the University of Hong Kong. Dr Robert Ting-Yiu Chung, Director of Public Opinion Programme, is responsible for everything posted herewith, except for column articles which represent the stand of their authors. |
