HKU POP SITE releases findings on the popularity of CE and SARGBack
| Press Release on August 26, 2003 |
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The Public Opinion Programme (POP) at the University of Hong Kong today releases on schedule via the "HKU POP SITE" (http://hkupop.pori.hk) the latest figures on the popularity of CE Tung Chee-hwa, and people's appraisal of the performance of the HKSAR Government. Because these indicators follow different cycles, their recent readings are summarized as follows: |
| Date of survey | 14-16/7 | 1/8^ | 4-5/8^ | 1-5/8 | 18-20/8 |
| Sample base | 1,073 | 348 | 664 | 1,012 | 1,032 |
| Response rate | 69.2% | 68.4% | 68.5% | 68.5% | 70.3% |
| Sampling error of ratings (at 95% confidence level)* | +/- 1.4 | +/- 2.6 | +/- 1.8 | +/- 1.4 | +/- 1.4 |
| Sampling error of percentages (at 95% confidence level)* | +/- 3% | +/- 5% | +/- 4% | +/- 3% | +/- 3% |
| Support rating of CH Tung | 38.1 | 40.3 | 44.4 | 43.0 | 43.4 |
| Vote of confidence in CH Tung | 12% | 17% | 18% | 18% | 16% |
| Vote of no confidence in CH Tung | 72% | 68% | 62% | 64% | 66% |
| Satisfaction rate of Tung's policy direction** | 9% | -- | -- | -- | 12% |
| Dissatisfaction rate of Tung's policy direction** | 63% | -- | -- | -- | 51% |
| Satisfaction rate of SARG performance** | 11% | -- | -- | -- | 15% |
| Dissatisfaction rate of SARG performance** | 68% | -- | -- | -- | 54% |
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* "95% confidence level" means that if we were to repeat a certain survey 100 times, using the same questions each time but with different random samples, we would expect 95 times getting a figure within the error margins specified
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Results showed that the latest rating of CE Tung Chee-hwa as registered in mid-August was 43.4 marks. If a general election of the Chief Executive were to be held the following day, 66% of the respondents would not vote for Tung Chee-hwa, only 16% would support him. On the other hand, 51% were dissatisfied with Tung's policy direction, and 12% were satisfied. As for people's appraisal of the performance of the HKSAR Government, the latest findings revealed that 54% were dissatisfied, whereas 15% were satisfied. |
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Robert Ting-Yiu Chung, Director of Public Opinion Programme, made the following analysis: "The popularity of CE Tung Chee-hwa is more or less the same as that of early August, still below the credibility crisis mark of 45. After the appointment of the new principal officials, his popularity has significantly rebounded. It has now dropped back a bit, meaning that the positive effect brought by such appointments has been digested, and Tung has still to handle the other demands of the people. As for people's satisfaction with the SAR Government, the figure has more or less gone back to the level registered before the 'July 1 Demonstration'". |
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POP's normal practice is to release the results of our regular surveys every Tuesday at 2 pm via our POP Site, except during public holidays, each time with a forecast of the items to be released in the forthcoming week. We will review and adjust this operation regularly. According to this schedule, the date and time of our next release will be September 2, 2003, Tuesday, at 2 pm, the latest results of people's trust in the HKSAR and Beijing Central Governments, their confidence in Hong Kong's future, China's future and "one country, two systems", as well as the latest ratings of the most well-known political groups will be released. |
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Shall anyone have any question regarding the research design of the surveys published in the POP Site, members of the POP Team will be happy to answer them, but we will not further comment on the findings. Shall any person or journalist have any other questions, please email them to us at <[email protected]>. The Director of Public Opinion Programme would answer them as soon as possible. We will keep such an arrangement under constant review, suggestions most welcome. Please note that everything carried in the POP Site does not represent the stand of the University of Hong Kong. Dr Robert Ting-Yiu Chung, Director of Public Opinion Programme, is responsible for everything posted herewith, except for column articles which represent the stand of their authors. |
