特首選舉辯論跟進調查2007&nbsp Follow-up Poll of the Chief Executive Election Debate 2007Back

| 頻數表 Frequency Tables: Q1,Q2– 候選人表現 Candidates' performance ; Q3 – 候選人支持率 Support for candidates |
| Q4 , Q5– 辯論後改變對候選人支持程度Changes of candidates' support rate after debate |
| Q6– 辯論前候選人支持率 Support for candidates before debate |
| Q7,Q8 – 關於辯論安排 Arrangement of debate | Q9 – 其他意見 Other opinion |
| Q10 – 被訪者政治取向 Political alignment of respondents |

| 深入分析 Further Analysis: 人口變項分析數表 Tables of demographic analyses |
| 缺席辯論的12名人士的缺席原因和一般意見 Reason for absence and general comments from 12 absentees of the debate |

調查日期 Date of survey : 16-21/3/2007

[Q1]係尋晚舉行既辯論入面，你認為邊位侯選人既表現比較好?
[Q1]Which one do you think performed better in last night's debate?

	頻數 Frequency	百份比 Percentage
曾蔭權 Donald Tsang	25	28.4
梁家傑 Alan Leong	50	56.8
唔知/難講 Don't know/hard to say	13	14.8
合計 Total	88	100.0

[Q2]請你對XXX是否適合出任下一屆特首作出評分，0分代表絕對不適合出任特首，100分代表絕對適合,50分代表一半半，你會比幾多分XXX呢? [XXX 由電腦隨機抽樣]
[Q2]Please use a scale of 0-100 to rate XXX, with 0 indicating absolutely unsuitable for the post of Chief Executive, 100 indicating absolutely suitable and 50 indicating half-half. How would you rate XXX? [XXX was to be randomly listed by computer]

	評分 Rating	標準誤差 Standard Error	樣本人數 Total Sample	評分人數 No. of Raters	認知率 Recognition Rate
曾蔭權 Donald Tsang	70.4	+/- 3.4	88	88	100.0%
梁家傑 Alan Leong	56.8	+/- 3.8	88	87	98.9%

[Q3] 如果聽日俾你投票選特首，而參選者只有XXX同YYY，你會選邊個？[XXX 同 YYY 由電腦隨機抽樣]
[Q3] If you had the right to vote in the Chief Executive election which was held tomorrow, while there were only two candidates, XXX and YYY, which one would you vote for? [XXX and YYY were to be randomly listed by computer]

	頻數 Frequency	百份比 Percentage
曾蔭權 Donald Tsang	56	63.6
梁家傑 Alan Leong	28	31.8
空白票／棄權／兩個都唔選 Blank vote／abstention／neither of them	4	4.5
合計 Total	88	100.0

[Q4] 尋晚舉行既辯論有冇改變你對曾蔭權既支持程度?
[Q4] Has last night's debate affected your support for Donald Tsang?

	頻數 Frequency	百份比 Percentage
增加對曾蔭權的支持 Support for Donald Tsang increased	12	13.6
減少對曾蔭權的支持 Support for Donald Tsang reduced	9	10.2
沒有改變 No change	65	73.9
唔知/難講 Don't know/hard to say	2	2.3
合計 Total	88	100.0

[Q5] 尋晚舉行既辯論有冇改變你對梁家傑既支持程度?
[Q5] Has last night's debate affected your support for Alan Leong?

	頻數 Frequency	百份比 Percentage
增加對梁家傑的支持 Support for Alan Leong increased	32	36.4
減少對梁家傑的支持 Support for Alan Leong reduced	4	4.5
沒有改變 No change	47	53.4
唔知/難講 Don't know/hard to say	5	5.7
合計 Total	88	100.0

[Q6] 咁係你未去辯論之前，你傾向支持邊個做特首?
[Q6] Before attending the debate, which one were you inclined to support?

	頻數 Frequency	百份比 Percentage
曾蔭權 Donald Tsang	57	66.3
梁家傑 Alan Leong	19	22.1
兩個都支持 Both of them	8	9.3
兩個都唔支持 Neither of them	2	2.3
合計 Total	86	100.0
缺數 Missing	2

[Q7] 你認為尋晚辯論既安排對兩個候選人公唔公平?
[Q7] Do you find the arrangement of last night's debate fair to the two candidates?

	頻數 Frequency	百份比 Percentage
公平 Fair	82	93.2
一半半 Half Half	4	4.5
唔公平 Unfair	2	2.3
合計 Total	88	100.0

[Q8] 你對尋晚辯論既安排滿唔滿意?
[Q8] Are you satisfied with the arrangement of last night's debate?

	頻數 Frequency	百份比 Percentage
滿意 Satisfied	75	85.2
一半半 Half Half	11	12.5
唔滿意 Dissatisfied	2	2.3
合計 Total	88	100.0

[Q9] 其他意見
[Q9] Other opinion?

	頻數 Frequency	百份比 Percentage
有 Yes	48	55.2
冇 No	39	44.8
合計 Total	87	100.0
缺數 Missing	1

[Q9] 「其他意見」表列
[Q9] Listing of "Other opinion"

	頻數 Frequency
現場觀眾發問時間短/少。	7
侯選人發言/答辯的時間短/少。	5
讓更多市民出席辯論。	5
抽籤安排不公平。	2
增加提問方式/途徑。	2
整個辯論時間短。	2
離場安排未夠妥善。	2
F區座位被攝影機阻礙了視線。	1
不讓支持者拍手的措施可以減去。	1
可容納更多觀眾。	1
市民不太合作。派問卷的staff不是太有禮貌。	1
同情自食其力的低下階層。	1
早在車上就應講解辯論裡面的發問情況。	1
兩個候選人答問題有時答非所問。	1
到發問問題時先即時公佈邊個觀眾可以問,冇足夠時間及心理準備。	1
欣賞曾任權以捱打姿態都參加辯論，他其實要付出很大的勇氣。	1
建議未開show前便派食物，因on show時實在太餓。建議問題紙仔可以當場放進箱內，以視公正。	1
座位不太舒適。	1
特首候選人均沒有實際承諾。開題應多著重中港之間關係，昨天的問題可能不夠貼題。	1
將現場觀眾問剩的問題交給兩位候選人。	1
曾生不回答南區交通問題是正確的，因為辯論係針對全香港的問題，而不是某地區問題，而梁生雖作回答，其實只是草草了事。受訪者指出現今香港透明度比以往高，政治架構亦成熟了。	1
對觀眾規條太多。	1
寫問題的時間太急了。	1
職員及主持的安排做得很好，大家亦很合作。	1
覺得曾任權真的，相信他能理解民情，香港正是需要這樣的人。大會安排幾好。小姐本人支持設立 tax payment。	1
辯論著重討論教育問題，而忽略了經濟、社會失業、低學歷等問題。	1
合計 Total	60

*48 個被訪者提供 60個答案 48 respondents provided 60 answers.

[Q10] 你認為自己既政治取向，係傾向認同邊一個派別呢?
[Q10] Which of the following political camps are you more inclined to align with?

	頻數 Frequency	百份比 Percentage
民主派 Pro-democracy	27	31.0
親中派 Pro-China	3	3.4
中間派 Pro-China	36	41.4
其他 Other	1	1.1
冇政治傾向/唔屬於任何派別 No preference	17	19.5
唔知/難講 Don't know/hard to say	3	3.4
合計 Total	87	100.0
缺數 Missing	1

深入分析 Further Analysis: 人口變項分析數表 Tables of demographic analyses

[Q1]係尋晚舉行既辯論入面，你認為邊位侯選人既表現比較好?
[Q1]Which one do you think performed better in last night's debate?

		曾蔭權 Donald Tsang Yam-kuen		梁家傑 Alan Leong Kah-kit		唔知/難講 Don't know/hard to say
	樣本人數 Total Sample	頻數 Frequency	百份比 Percentage	頻數 Frequency	百份比 Percentage	頻數 Frequency	百份比 Percentage
有被訪者 All respondents	88	25	28.4%	50	56.8%	13	14.8%
政治取向 Political inclination
民主派 pro-democracy camp	27	3	11.1%	23	85.2%	1	3.7%
親中派 pro-China camp	3	1	33.3%	1	33.3%	1	33.3%
中間派 Moderate camp	36	13	36.1%	17	47.2%	6	16.7%
冇政治傾向/唔屬於任何派別 No preference	17	8	47.1%	5	29.4%	4	23.5%
唔知/難講 Don't know/hard to say	3	0	0.0%	2	66.7%	1	33.3%
性別 Gender
男 Male	47	15	31.9%	30	63.8%	2	4.3%
女 Female	41	10	24.4%	20	48.8%	11	26.8%
年齡 Age
18-29	14	3	21.4%	9	64.3%	2	14.3%
30-49	34	8	23.5%	21	61.8%	5	14.7%
50或以上 50 or above	40	14	35.0%	20	50.0%	6	15.0%
教育程度 Education attainment
小學或以下 Primary or below	18	7	38.9%	9	50.0%	2	11.1%
中學 Secondary	44	15	34.1%	25	56.8%	4	9.1%
大專或以上 Tertiary or above	26	3	11.5%	16	61.5%	7	26.9%
職業 Occupation
行政及專業人員 Executives and professionals	25	4	16.0%	19	76.0%	2	8.0%
文職及服務人員 Clerical and service workers	4	1	25.0%	1	25.0%	2	50.0%
勞動工人 Production workers	16	7	43.8%	7	43.8%	2	12.5%
學生 Students	12	3	25.0%	7	58.3%	2	16.7%
全職主婦 Housewives	14	3	21.4%	8	57.1%	3	21.4%
其他 Others	17	7	41.2%	8	47.1%	2	11.8%
家庭所屬階級 Family class
自稱中層或中上層 Claimed to be middle or upper-middle levels	34	6	17.6%	25	73.5%	3	8.8%
自稱基層或中下層 Claimed to be lower-middle or grassroot levels	52	19	36.5%	23	44.2%	10	19.2%

		曾蔭權 Donald Tsang Yam-kuen			梁家傑 Alan Leong Kah-kit
	樣本人數 Total Sample	評分 Rating	標準誤差 Standard Error	評分人數 No. of Raters	評分 Rating	標準誤差 Standard Error	評分人數 No. of Raters
有被訪者 All respondents	88	70.4	+/- 3.4	88	56.8	+/- 3.8	87
政治取向 Political inclination
民主派 pro-democracy camp	27	64.7	+/- 5.8	27	69.8	+/- 7.0	26
親中派 pro-China camp	3	61.0	+/- 11.2	3	56.0	+/- 6.2	3
中間派 Moderate camp	36	70.9	+- 5.2	36	51.2	+/- 4.6	36
冇政治傾向/唔屬於任何派別 No preference	17	76.5	+- 8.6	17	49.3	+/- 9.0	17
唔知/難講 Don't know/hard to say	3	86.7	+/- 13.2	3	53.3	+/- 17.6	3
性別 Gender
男 Male	47	69.2	+/- 4.8	47	59.2	+/- 4.8	47
女 Female	41	71.8	+/- 4.8	41	54.0	+/- 6.0	40
年齡 Age
18-29	14	67.5	+/- 6.0	14	54.6	+/- 7.0	14
30-49	34	69.5	+/- 5.8	34	55.7	+/- 6.0	34
50或以上 50 or above	40	72.2	+/- 5.4	40	58.6	+/- 6.4	39
教育程度 Education attainment
小學或以下 Primary or below	18	72.7	+/- 9.0	18	66.6	+/- 8.8	18
中學 Secondary	44	69.8	+/- 4.6	44	52.0	+/- 5.0	44
大專或以上 Tertiary or above	26	69.8	+/- 6.2	26	58.4	+/- 6.6	25
職業 Occupation
行政及專業人員 Executives and professionals	25	68.7	+/- 7.2	25	52.6	+/- 6.8	25
文職及服務人員 Clerical and service workers	4	78.8	+/- 2.6	4	57.5	+/- 9.6	4
勞動工人 Production workers	16	68.9	+/- 9.0	16	56.1	+/- 8.0	16
學生 Students	12	70.4	+/- 5.4	12	55.8	+/- 8.0	12
全職主婦 Housewives	14	65.0	+/- 9.0	14	56.9	+/- 10.4	13
其他 Others	17	76.6	+/- 7.2	17	64.2	+/- 11.2	17
家庭所屬階級 Family class
自稱中層或中上層 Claimed to be middle or upper-middle levels	34	73.2	+/- 5.4	34	54.4	+/- 5.6	34
自稱基層或中下層 Claimed to be lower-middle or grassroot levels	52	68.9	+/- 4.6	52	57.2	+/- 5.0	51

		曾蔭權 Donald Tsang Yam-kuen		梁家傑 Alan Leong Kah-kit		唔知/難講 Don't know/hard to say
	樣本人數 Total Sample	頻數 Frequency	百份比 Percentage	頻數 Frequency	百份比 Percentage	頻數 Frequency	百份比 Percentage
有被訪者 All respondents	88	56	63.6%	28	31.8%	4	4.5%
政治取向 Political inclination
民主派 pro-democracy camp	27	11	40.7%	15	55.6%	1	3.7%
親中派 pro-China camp	3	2	66.7%	0	0.0%	1	33.3%
中間派 Moderate camp	36	23	63.9%	11	30.6%	2	5.6%
冇政治傾向/唔屬於任何派別 No preference	17	15	88.2%	2	11.8%	0	0.0%
唔知/難講 Don't know/hard to say	3	3	100.0%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%
性別 Gender
男 Male	47	27	57.4%	18	38.3%	2	4.3%
女 Female	41	29	70.7%	10	24.4%	2	4.9%
年齡 Age
18-29	14	9	64.3%	4	28.6%	1	7.1%
30-49	34	21	61.8%	13	38.2%	0	0.0%
50或以上 50 or above	40	26	65.0%	11	27.5%	3	7.5%
教育程度 Education attainment
小學或以下 Primary or below	18	11	61.1%	6	33.3%	1	5.6%
中學 Secondary	44	29	65.9%	13	29.5%	2	4.5%
大專或以上 Tertiary or above	26	16	61.5%	9	34.6%	1	3.8%
職業 Occupation
行政及專業人員 Executives and professionals	25	14	56.0%	9	36.0%	2	8.0%
文職及服務人員 Clerical and service workers	4	2	50.0%	2	50.0%	0	0.0%
勞動工人 Production workers	16	11	68.8%	5	31.3%	0	0.0%
學生 Students	12	9	75.0%	2	16.7%	1	8.3%
全職主婦 Housewives	14	10	71.4%	4	28.6%	0	0.0%
其他 Others	17	10	58.8%	6	35.3%	1	5.9%
家庭所屬階級 Family class
自稱中層或中上層 Claimed to be middle or upper-middle levels	34	23	67.6%	10	29.4%	1	2.9%
自稱基層或中下層 Claimed to be lower-middle or grassroot levels	52	33	63.5%	16	30.8%	3	5.8%

缺席辯論的12名人士的缺席原因和一般意見
Reason for absence and general comments from 12 absentees of the debate

編號 Code	性別 Gender	教育程度 Education attainment	Q1. 點解無去? Q1. Why not go?	Q2. 有無其他意見? Q2. Do you have any other opinion?
1	男 Male	中學 Secondary	咁個日有工程趕緊, 所以去唔到. 想去的, 但唔得閒.	覺得曾生都係幫有錢人.
2	女 Female	小學 Primary	去佐大陸趕唔切返.	無意見
3	女 Female	大專 Tertiary	Meeting in the evening at 8pm	good to have this kind of debate
4	男 Male	中學 Secondary	佢做服務性行業係開舖頭, 咁有幾個客人係度行唔開, 其實係好有意思想去的.	都算幾好, 不過講開話有50蚊交通津貼佢D客人就覺得50蚊少佐D.
5	男 Male	大專 Tertiary	話同事無通知佢地址〔編者註：與民研計劃記錄不符〕
6	男 Male	中學 Secondary	當日已打佐俾我地同事, 話趕唔切去	無意見
7	女 Female	中學 Secondary	個日個仔考報分試, 去唔到	無意見
8	女 Female	大專 Tertiary	Working	no comment
9	女 Female	中學 Secondary	要考試, 趕唔到	接送專車時間較早
10	男 Male	小學 Primary	寫錯集合時間, 5點寫左6點	搞得幾好
11	男 Male	小學 Primary	腳痛	整體上都幾好
12	男 Male	小學 Primary	臨時有事去唔到	無意見