二零一一年十一月六日區議會票站調查返回
| 由香港大學民意研究計劃獨立進行的「2011年11月6日區議會選舉票站調查」,部分經費由有線電視、NOW寬頻電視、亞洲電視聯合贊助。調查結束後,部分數據首先由贊助機構發表,然後稍後提供給研究選舉的本地學者使用。各界人士在轉載或引用有關數據時,懇請註明出處。 | ||||||||
| | 調查方法 | 樣本資料 | | ||||||||
| 綜合各票站調查結果 | ||||||||
| 選區票站調查結果 | ||||||||
| 山頂 | 觀龍 | 大坑 | 麗閣 | |||||
| 黃埔東 | 龍上 | 樂翠 | 富恩 | |||||
| 第一城 | 荔華 | |||||||
| 綜合各票站調查結果 |
| 下列數據之總樣本基數為2,147,取自10個票站。 調查由有線電視、NOW寬頻電視、亞洲電視聯合贊助。 |
Q1 - 請問你今次點解黎投票呢?
| 百分比 | 誤差 | |
| 盡公民責任 | 63% |
+/-2% |
| 改善社會、社區、民生 | 11% |
+/-1% |
| 促進民主發展/支持直選 | 1% |
+/-<1% |
| 親友、鄰居、朋友呼籲 | 1% |
+/-1% |
| 響應政府呼籲 | 1% |
+/-<1% |
| 響應某些團體呼籲 | 1% |
+/-<1% |
| 要支持某某候選人 | 6% |
+/-1% |
| 要支持某某政治團體/派別 | 1% |
+/-1% |
| 慣性、次次都投票 | 12% |
+/-1% |
| 順應潮流、趁熱鬧、沒有其他事做 | 1% |
+/-<1% |
| 其他 | 2% |
+/-1% |
| 合計 | 100% |
Q2 - 請問你有冇試過係各級議會中投票?
| 百分比 | 誤差 | |
| 有 | 77% |
+/-2% |
| 冇 | 22% |
+/-2% |
| 唔記得 | 1% |
+/-<1% |
| 合計 | 100% |
Q3 - 你登記左做選民幾耐?
| 百分比 | 誤差 | |
| 半年內 | 3% |
+/-1% |
| 未夠一年 | 3% |
+/-1% |
| 未夠二年 | 2% |
+/-1% |
| 未夠三年 | 2% |
+/-1% |
| 未夠四年 | 3% |
+/-1% |
| 四年或以上 | 83% |
+/-2% |
| 唔記得 | 2% |
+/-1% |
| 合計 | 100% |
Q5 - 你既選擇主要係基於支持個別候選人既個人背景定係佢既政黨背景呢?
| 百分比 | 誤差 | |
| 候選人個人背景 | 58% |
+/-2% |
| 候選人政黨背景(跳至Q7) | 33% |
+/-2% |
| 好難講(跳至Q7) | 9% |
+/-1% |
| 合計 | 100% |
Q6 - (只問於Q5 答「1. 候選人個人背景」的被訪者)候選人有乜野吸引你? 請舉出最主要原因。
| 百分比 | 誤差 | |
| 過往表現/政績 | 67% |
+/-3% |
| 政黨/政治背景 | 4% |
+/-1% |
| 政綱、政見 | 11% |
+/-2% |
| 性格、人品 | 7% |
+/-1% |
| 外表 | <1% |
<1%+/-<1% |
| 職業/教育背景 | 1% |
+/-1% |
| 親戚、朋友支持 | <1% |
<1%+/-<1% |
| 獨立人士 | 1% |
+/-1% |
| 知名度 | 1% |
+/-<1% |
| 宣傳品吸引/競選活動表現 | <1% |
<1%+/-<1% |
| 同住一區/街坊 | 2% |
+/-1% |
| 沒有其他更佳選擇 | 4% |
+/-1% |
| 其他原因 | 3% |
+/-1% |
| 合計 | 100% |
Q7 - 你既選擇主要係基於候選人既政治取態定係經濟民生政策?
| 百分比 | 誤差 | |
| 政治取態 | 25% |
+/-2% |
| 民生政策 | 62% |
+/-2% |
| 唔知/難講 | 12% |
+/-1% |
| 合計 | 100% |
Q8 - 你從乜野途徑識呢個候選人?
| 百分比 | 誤差 | |
| 競選宣傳品/出席選舉論壇 | 36% |
+/-2% |
| 與候選人親自接觸 | 16% |
+/-2% |
| 與助選團接觸 | 1% |
+/-<1% |
| 選舉家訪 | 1% |
+/-<1% |
| 報章、刊物 | 10% |
+/-1% |
| 電台 | 1% |
+/-<1% |
| 電視 | 12% |
+/-1% |
| 互聯網 | 1% |
+/-<1% |
| 互委會推介 | <1% |
<1%+/-<1% |
| 工會、公司推介 | 1% |
+/-1% |
| 親友介紹 | 2% |
+/-1% |
| 以前做過議員 | 10% |
+/-1% |
| 其他 | 7% |
+/-1% |
| 合計 | 100% |
Q9 - 你幾耐之前決定左選呢個候選人?
| 百分比 | 誤差 | |
| 今日 | 10% |
+/-1% |
| 兩日前 | 4% |
+/-1% |
| 四日前 | 5% |
+/-1% |
| 未夠一星期 | 6% |
+/-1% |
| 未夠兩星期 | 10% |
+/-1% |
| 截止提名之後,即2011年9月28日之後 | 16% |
+/-2% |
| 開始提名之後,即2011年9月15日之後 | 15% |
+/-2% |
| 候選人考慮參選開始,或更早 | 34% |
+/-2% |
| 合計 | 100% |
Q12 - 今屆當選既區議員有機會參選明年立法會新增功能組別議席 (俗稱超級區議員) 。
請問呢個因素對你今日既投票取向有冇影響?
| 百分比 | 誤差 | |
| 有影響 | 27% |
+/-2% |
| 冇影響 | 69% |
+/-1% |
| 唔知/難講 | 4% |
+/-<1% |
| 合計 | 100% |
D1 - 選民性別因素
| 百分比 | 誤差 | |
| 男 | 54% |
+/-2% |
| 女 | 46% |
+/-2% |
| 合計 | 100% |
D2 - 選民年齡因素
| 百分比 | 誤差 | |
| 18 - 20 | 4% |
+/-1% |
| 21 - 29 | 11% |
+/-1% |
| 30 - 39 | 15% |
+/-2% |
| 40 - 49 | 21% |
+/-2% |
| 50 - 59 | 25% |
+/-2% |
| 60 或以上 | 23% |
+/-2% |
| 合計 | 100% |
D3 - 選民婚姻狀況因素
| 百分比 | 誤差 | |
| 未婚 | 27% |
+/-2% |
| 已婚 | 71% |
+/-2% |
| 分居 | <1% |
<1%+/-<1% |
| 離婚 | 1% |
+/-<1% |
| 喪偶 | 1% |
+/-<1% |
| 合計 | 100% |
D4 - 選民教育背景因素
| 百分比 | 誤差 | |
| 小學或以下 | 13% |
+/-1% |
| 中學 | 42% |
+/-2% |
| 大專或以上 | 45% |
+/-2% |
| 合計 | 100% |
D5 - 選民職業背景因素
| 百分比 | 誤差 | |
| 行政及專業人員 | 36% |
+/-2% |
| 文職及服務人員 | 18% |
+/-2% |
| 勞動工人 | 8% |
+/-1% |
| 學生 | 6% |
+/-1% |
| 全職主婦 | 10% |
+/-1% |
| 其他 | 22% |
+/-2% |
| 合計 | 100% |
D6 - 選民宗教背景因素
| 百分比 | 誤差 | |
| 沒有 | 69% |
+/-2% |
| 基督教 | 16% |
+/-2% |
| 天主教 | 6% |
+/-1% |
| 佛教 | 8% |
+/-1% |
| 道教 | 1% |
+/-<1% |
| 摩門教 | <1% |
<1%+/-<1% |
| 其他 | <1% |
<1%+/-<1% |
| 合計 | 100% |
D7 - 選民有冇參加過七一遊行
| 百分比 | 誤差 | |
| 有 | 25% |
+/-2% |
| 冇 | 75% |
+/-2% |
| 唔記得 | <1% |
<1%+/-<1% |
| 合計 | 100% |
| 山頂 - 票站調查結果 |
| 本部份調查由NOW寬頻電視贊助,數據已經根據實際結果作出調整。 |
| 樣本資料 | ||
| 成功樣本 | 173 | |
| 部份完成 | 8 | |
| 拒絕訪問 | 94 | |
| 回應比率 | 62.9% | |
投票取向分析:請問你今次點解黎投票呢?
| 1號公民黨陳淑莊 | 2號自由黨陳浩濂 | 合計 | |
| 盡公民責任 | 40% | 60% | 100% |
| 81% | 69% | 73% | |
| 改善社會、社區、民生 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 3% | 2% | |
| 促進民主發展/支持直選 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 4% | <1% | 1% | |
| 親友、鄰居、朋友呼籲 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 2% | <1% | 1% | |
| 響應政府呼籲 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 3% | 2% | |
| 響應某些團體呼籲 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | 1% | |
| 要支持某某候選人 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 10% | 7% | |
| 要支持某某政治團體/派別 | 60% | 40% | 100% |
| 4% | 1% | 2% | |
| 慣性、次次都投票 | 39% | 61% | 100% |
| 9% | 8% | 8% | |
| 其他 | 16% | 84% | 100% |
| 2% | 5% | 4% | |
| 合計 | 36% | 64% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:請問你有冇試過係各級議會中投票?
| 1號公民黨陳淑莊 | 2號自由黨陳浩濂 | 合計 | |
| 有 | 37% | 63% | 100% |
| 84% | 78% | 81% | |
| 冇 | 27% | 73% | 100% |
| 14% | 20% | 18% | |
| 唔記得 | 43% | 57% | 100% |
| 2% | 1% | 1% | |
| 合計 | 35% | 65% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你登記左做選民幾耐?
| 1號公民黨陳淑莊 | 2號自由黨陳浩濂 | 合計 | |
| 半年內 | 27% | 73% | 100% |
| 2% | 3% | 2% | |
| 未夠一年 | 16% | 84% | 100% |
| 2% | 5% | 4% | |
| 未夠兩年 | 27% | 73% | 100% |
| 2% | 3% | 2% | |
| 未夠三年 | 38% | 62% | 100% |
| 7% | 6% | 7% | |
| 未夠四年 | 36% | 64% | 100% |
| 86% | 82% | 84% | |
| 四年或以上 | 43% | 57% | 100% |
| 2% | 1% | 1% | |
| 合計 | 35% | 65% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你既選擇主要係基於支持個別候選人既個人背景定係佢既政黨背景呢?
| 1號公民黨陳淑莊 | 2號自由黨陳浩濂 | 合計 | |
| 候選人個人背景 | 26% | 74% | 100% |
| 32% | 48% | 42% | |
| 候選人政黨背景(跳至Q7) | 39% | 61% | 100% |
| 53% | 46% | 48% | |
| 好難講(跳至Q7) | 58% | 42% | 100% |
| 16% | 6% | 10% | |
| 合計 | 35% | 65% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:(只問於Q5 答「1. 候選人個人背景」的被訪者)候選人有乜野吸引你? 請舉出最主要原因。
| 1號公民黨陳淑莊 | 2號自由黨陳浩濂 | 合計 | |
| 過往表現/政績 | 24% | 76% | 100% |
| 47% | 50% | 49% | |
| 政黨/政治背景 | 33% | 67% | 100% |
| 12% | 8% | 9% | |
| 政綱、政見 | 56% | 44% | 100% |
| 29% | 8% | 13% | |
| 性格、人品 | 10% | 90% | 100% |
| 6% | 18% | 15% | |
| 親戚、朋友支持 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 3% | 2% | |
| 沒有其他更佳選擇 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 11% | 8% | |
| 其他原因 | 43% | 57% | 100% |
| 6% | 3% | 3% | |
| 合計 | 25% | 75% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你既選擇主要係基於候選人既政治取態定係經濟民生政策?
| 1號公民黨陳淑莊 | 2號自由黨陳浩濂 | 合計 | |
| 政治取態 | 59% | 41% | 100% |
| 61% | 23% | 36% | |
| 經濟民生政策 | 20% | 80% | 100% |
| 28% | 61% | 49% | |
| 唔知/難講 | 26% | 74% | 100% |
| 11% | 16% | 14% | |
| 合計 | 35% | 65% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你從乜野途徑認識呢個候選人?
| 1號公民黨陳淑莊 | 2號自由黨陳浩濂 | 合計 | |
| 競選宣傳品/出席選舉論壇 | 21% | 79% | 100% |
| 34% | 69% | 57% | |
| 與候選人親自接觸 | 30% | 70% | 100% |
| 7% | 9% | 8% | |
| 與助選團接觸 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 2% | <1% | 1% | |
| 報章、刊物 | 56% | 44% | 100% |
| 27% | 12% | 17% | |
| 電台 | 43% | 57% | 100% |
| 2% | 1% | 1% | |
| 電視 | 69% | 31% | 100% |
| 11% | 3% | 5% | |
| 親友介紹 | 27% | 73% | 100% |
| 2% | 3% | 2% | |
| 以前做過議員 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 7% | <1% | 3% | |
| 其他 | 56% | 44% | 100% |
| 9% | 4% | 6% | |
| 合計 | 35% | 65% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你幾耐之前決定左選呢個候選人?
| 1號公民黨陳淑莊 | 2號自由黨陳浩濂 | 合計 | |
| 今日 | 65% | 35% | 100% |
| 9% | 3% | 5% | |
| 兩日前 | 43% | 57% | 100% |
| 4% | 3% | 3% | |
| 四日前 | 23% | 77% | 100% |
| 4% | 6% | 5% | |
| 未夠一星期 | 9% | 91% | 100% |
| 4% | 21% | 15% | |
| 未夠兩星期 | 33% | 67% | 100% |
| 11% | 12% | 11% | |
| 截止提名之後,即2011年9月28日之後 | 12% | 88% | 100% |
| 6% | 21% | 15% | |
| 開始提名之後,即2011年9月15日之後 | 18% | 82% | 100% |
| 4% | 9% | 7% | |
| 候選人考慮參選開始,或更早 | 54% | 46% | 100% |
| 59% | 27% | 38% | |
| 合計 | 34% | 66% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你係2007年區議會選舉山頂選區中選邊個?
| 1號公民黨陳淑莊 | 2號自由黨陳浩濂 | 合計 | |
| 1號自由黨林文傑 | 5% | 95% | 100% |
| 2% | 17% | 11% | |
| 2號獨立候選人梁永安 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 5% | 3% | |
| 3號公民黨陳淑莊 | 60% | 40% | 100% |
| 77% | 29% | 46% | |
| 上次沒有投票(包括未登記) | 20% | 80% | 100% |
| 12% | 27% | 22% | |
| 上次不是在本區投票 | 69% | 31% | 100% |
| 5% | 1% | 3% | |
| 唔記得 | 9% | 91% | 100% |
| 4% | 21% | 15% | |
| 合計 | 36% | 64% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你係2008年立法會直選中選邊張名單?
| 1號公民黨陳淑莊 | 2號自由黨陳浩濂 | 合計 | |
| 1號自由黨既林翠蓮團隊 | 43% | 57% | 100% |
| 2% | 1% | 1% | |
| 2號公民起動既何秀蘭 | 86% | 14% | 100% |
| 14% | 1% | 6% | |
| 3號民主黨既甘乃威團隊 | 53% | 47% | 100% |
| 5% | 3% | 4% | |
| 5號民建聯既曾鈺成團隊 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 12% | 8% | |
| 7號獨立候選人勞永樂 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | 1% | |
| 8號公民黨既陳淑莊團隊 | 75% | 25% | 100% |
| 57% | 11% | 27% | |
| 9號匯賢智庫既葉劉淑儀團隊 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 16% | 10% | |
| 上次沒有投票(包括未登記) | 26% | 74% | 100% |
| 14% | 23% | 20% | |
| 上次不是在本區投票 | 43% | 57% | 100% |
| 4% | 3% | 3% | |
| 唔記得 | 6% | 94% | 100% |
| 4% | 29% | 20% | |
| 合計 | 36% | 64% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:今屆當選既區議員有機會參選明年立法會新增功能組別議席 (俗稱超級區議員) 。請問呢個因素對你今日既投票取向有冇影響?
| 1號公民黨陳淑莊 | 2號自由黨陳浩濂 | 合計 | |
| 有影響 | 49% | 51% | 100% |
| 32% | 18% | 23% | |
| 冇影響 | 32% | 68% | 100% |
| 68% | 81% | 77% | |
| 唔知/難講 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | 1% | |
| 合計 | 35% | 65% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民性別因素
| 1號公民黨陳淑莊 | 2號自由黨陳浩濂 | 合計 | |
| 男 | 38% | 62% | 100% |
| 54% | 48% | 50% | |
| 女 | 32% | 68% | 100% |
| 46% | 52% | 50% | |
| 合計 | 35% | 65% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民年齡因素
| 1號公民黨陳淑莊 | 2號自由黨陳浩濂 | 合計 | |
| 18 - 20 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 2% | <1% | 1% | |
| 21 - 29 | 50% | 50% | 100% |
| 15% | 9% | 11% | |
| 30 - 39 | 45% | 55% | 100% |
| 22% | 16% | 18% | |
| 40 - 49 | 34% | 66% | 100% |
| 20% | 23% | 22% | |
| 50 - 59 | 26% | 74% | 100% |
| 20% | 34% | 29% | |
| 60 或以上 | 41% | 59% | 100% |
| 22% | 19% | 20% | |
| 合計 | 37% | 63% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民婚姻狀況因素
| 1號公民黨陳淑莊 | 2號自由黨陳浩濂 | 合計 | |
| 未婚 | 43% | 57% | 100% |
| 23% | 17% | 19% | |
| 已婚 | 33% | 67% | 100% |
| 77% | 83% | 81% | |
| 合計 | 35% | 65% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民教育背景因素
| 1號公民黨陳淑莊 | 2號自由黨陳浩濂 | 合計 | |
| 小學或以下 | 43% | 57% | 100% |
| 2% | 1% | 1% | |
| 中學 | 7% | 93% | 100% |
| 2% | 13% | 9% | |
| 大專或以上 | 38% | 62% | 100% |
| 96% | 86% | 90% | |
| 合計 | 36% | 64% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民職業背景因素
| 1號公民黨陳淑莊 | 2號自由黨陳浩濂 | 合計 | |
| 行政及專業人員 | 32% | 68% | 100% |
| 64% | 75% | 71% | |
| 文職及服務人員 | 60% | 40% | 100% |
| 4% | 1% | 2% | |
| 學生 | 69% | 31% | 100% |
| 5% | 1% | 3% | |
| 家庭主婦 | 33% | 67% | 100% |
| 11% | 12% | 11% | |
| 其他 | 46% | 54% | 100% |
| 16% | 10% | 12% | |
| 合計 | 35% | 65% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民宗教信仰因素
| 1號公民黨陳淑莊 | 2號自由黨陳浩濂 | 合計 | |
| 沒有 | 30% | 70% | 100% |
| 55% | 69% | 64% | |
| 基督教 | 49% | 51% | 100% |
| 27% | 15% | 19% | |
| 天主教 | 32% | 68% | 100% |
| 13% | 14% | 14% | |
| 佛教 | 60% | 40% | 100% |
| 4% | 1% | 2% | |
| 其他 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 2% | <1% | 1% | |
| 合計 | 35% | 65% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民有冇參加過七一遊行
| 1號公民黨陳淑莊 | 2號自由黨陳浩濂 | 合計 | |
| 有 | 72% | 28% | 100% |
| 67% | 14% | 33% | |
| 冇 | 17% | 83% | 100% |
| 33% | 86% | 67% | |
| 合計 | 35% | 65% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 各票站調查之推算結果 - 發放時間: 晚上十時正 |
| 山頂 |
| 候選人 | 推算結果 |
| 1號公民黨 - 陳淑莊 | 機會均等 |
| 2號自由黨 - 陳浩濂 | 機會均等 |
| 各票站調查之推算結果 - 發放時間: 晚上十一時三十分 |
| 山頂 |
| 候選人 | 推算結果 |
| 1號公民黨 - 陳淑莊 | 機會均等 |
| 2號自由黨 - 陳浩濂 | 機會均等 |
註: 根據過住經驗, 由於區議會選舉票站調查的取樣人數不多, 得票比率的統計數字誤差頗大, 因此, 票站調查的預測結果只會以文字描述.
| 觀龍 - 票站調查結果 |
| 數據已經根據實際結果作出調整。 |
| 樣本資料 | ||
| 成功樣本 | 82 |
|
| 部份完成 | 9 |
|
| 拒絕訪問 | 88 |
|
| 回應比率 | 45.8% |
|
投票取向分析:請問你今次點解黎投票呢?
| 1號民建聯葉國謙 | 2號社民連梁國雄(長毛) | 合計 | |
| 盡公民責任 | 70% | 30% | 100% |
| 75% | 90% | 79% | |
| 改善社會、社區、民生 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 3% | <1% | 2% | |
| 響應某些團體呼籲 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 3% | <1% | 2% | |
| 要支持某某候選人 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 13% | <1% | 9% | |
| 慣性、次次都投票 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 3% | <1% | 2% | |
| 其他 | 47% | 53% | 100% |
| 3% | 10% | 5% | |
| 合計 | 74% | 26% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:請問你有冇試過係各級議會中投票?
| 1號民建聯葉國謙 | 2號社民連梁國雄(長毛) | 合計 | |
| 有 | 75% | 25% | 100% |
| 80% | 75% | 79% | |
| 冇 | 72% | 28% | 100% |
| 18% | 19% | 18% | |
| 唔記得 | 47% | 53% | 100% |
| 2% | 6% | 3% | |
| 合計 | 74% | 26% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你登記左做選民幾耐?
| 1號民建聯葉國謙 | 2號社民連梁國雄(長毛) | 合計 | |
| 半年內 | 64% | 36% | 100% |
| 4% | 6% | 5% | |
| 未夠一年 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 2% | <1% | 1% | |
| 未夠四年 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 2% | <1% | 1% | |
| 四年或以上 | 73% | 27% | 100% |
| 92% | 94% | 93% | |
| 合計 | 74% | 26% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你既選擇主要係基於支持個別候選人既個人背景定係佢既政黨背景呢?
| 1號民建聯葉國謙 | 2號社民連梁國雄(長毛) | 合計 | |
| 候選人個人背景 | 81% | 19% | 100% |
| 70% | 44% | 63% | |
| 候選人政黨背景(跳至Q7) | 52% | 48% | 100% |
| 10% | 25% | 14% | |
| 好難講(跳至Q7) | 64% | 36% | 100% |
| 20% | 31% | 23% | |
| 合計 | 73% | 27% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:(只問於Q5 答「1. 候選人個人背景」的被訪者)候選人有乜野吸引你? 請舉出最主要原因。
| 1號民建聯葉國謙 | 2號社民連梁國雄(長毛) | 合計 | |
| 過往表現/政績 | 96% | 4% | 100% |
| 88% | 20% | 78% | |
| 政黨/政治背景 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 20% | 3% | |
| 政綱、政見 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 40% | 6% | |
| 性格、人品 | 64% | 36% | 100% |
| 6% | 20% | 8% | |
| 沒有其他更佳選擇 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 3% | <1% | 3% | |
| 其他原因 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 3% | <1% | 3% | |
| 合計 | 85% | 15% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你既選擇主要係基於候選人既政治取態定係經濟民生政策?
| 1號民建聯葉國謙 | 2號社民連梁國雄(長毛) | 合計 | |
| 政治取態 | 18% | 82% | 100% |
| 4% | 53% | 18% | |
| 經濟民生政策 | 91% | 9% | 100% |
| 74% | 20% | 59% | |
| 唔知/難講 | 69% | 31% | 100% |
| 22% | 27% | 23% | |
| 合計 | 73% | 27% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你從乜野途徑認識呢個候選人?
| 1號民建聯葉國謙 | 2號社民連梁國雄(長毛) | 合計 | |
| 競選宣傳品/出席選舉論壇 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 10% | <1% | 7% | |
| 與候選人親自接觸 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 23% | <1% | 17% | |
| 與助選團接觸 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 10% | <1% | 7% | |
| 報章、刊物 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 3% | <1% | 2% | |
| 電台 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 11% | 3% | |
| 電視 | 13% | 87% | 100% |
| 3% | 67% | 19% | |
| 親友介紹 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 3% | <1% | 2% | |
| 以前做過議員 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 39% | <1% | 29% | |
| 其他 | 57% | 43% | 100% |
| 10% | 22% | 13% | |
| 合計 | 75% | 25% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你幾耐之前決定左選呢個候選人?
| 1號民建聯葉國謙 | 2號社民連梁國雄(長毛) | 合計 | |
| 今日 | 64% | 36% | 100% |
| 4% | 6% | 5% | |
| 未夠一星期 | 64% | 36% | 100% |
| 4% | 6% | 5% | |
| 未夠兩星期 | 78% | 22% | 100% |
| 8% | 6% | 7% | |
| 截止提名之後,即2011年9月28日之後 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 2% | <1% | 1% | |
| 開始提名之後,即2011年9月15日之後 | 72% | 28% | 100% |
| 24% | 25% | 24% | |
| 候選人考慮參選開始,或更早 | 75% | 25% | 100% |
| 59% | 56% | 58% | |
| 合計 | 74% | 26% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你係2007年區議會選舉觀龍選區中選邊個?
| 1號民建聯葉國謙 | 2號社民連梁國雄(長毛) | 合計 | |
| 1號獨立候選人何來 | 31% | 69% | 100% |
| 2% | 13% | 5% | |
| 2號民建聯葉國謙 | 97% | 3% | 100% |
| 76% | 7% | 58% | |
| 3號獨立候選人梁劍琴 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 7% | 2% | |
| 空白票 | 47% | 53% | 100% |
| 6% | 20% | 10% | |
| 上次沒有投票(包括未登記) | 47% | 53% | 100% |
| 6% | 20% | 10% | |
| 上次不是在本區投票 | 37% | 63% | 100% |
| 4% | 20% | 8% | |
| 唔記得 | 57% | 43% | 100% |
| 6% | 13% | 8% | |
| 合計 | 74% | 26% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你係2008年立法會直選中選邊張名單?
| 1號民建聯葉國謙 | 2號社民連梁國雄(長毛) | 合計 | |
| 2號公民起動既何秀蘭 | 41% | 59% | 100% |
| 8% | 31% | 14% | |
| 3號民主黨既甘乃威團隊 | 23% | 77% | 100% |
| 2% | 19% | 6% | |
| 5號民建聯既曾鈺成團隊 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 42% | <1% | 31% | |
| 7號獨立候選人勞永樂 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 4% | <1% | 3% | |
| 8號公民黨既陳淑莊團隊 | 47% | 53% | 100% |
| 2% | 6% | 3% | |
| 9號匯賢智庫既葉劉淑儀團隊 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 4% | <1% | 3% | |
| 空白票 | 84% | 16% | 100% |
| 12% | 6% | 10% | |
| 上次沒有投票(包括未登記) | 64% | 36% | 100% |
| 4% | 6% | 5% | |
| 上次不是在本區投票 | 47% | 53% | 100% |
| 4% | 13% | 6% | |
| 唔記得 | 72% | 28% | 100% |
| 18% | 19% | 18% | |
| 合計 | 73% | 27% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:今屆當選既區議員有機會參選明年立法會新增功能組別議席 (俗稱超級區議員) 。請問呢個因素對你今日既投票取向有冇影響?
| 1號民建聯葉國謙 | 2號社民連梁國雄(長毛) | 合計 | |
| 有影響 | 36% | 64% | 100% |
| 14% | 69% | 28% | |
| 冇影響 | 88% | 12% | 100% |
| 82% | 31% | 69% | |
| 唔知/難講 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 4% | <1% | 3% | |
| 合計 | 74% | 26% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民性別因素
| 1號民建聯葉國謙 | 2號社民連梁國雄(長毛) | 合計 | |
| 男 | 75% | 25% | 100% |
| 55% | 50% | 54% | |
| 女 | 72% | 28% | 100% |
| 45% | 50% | 46% | |
| 合計 | 74% | 26% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民年齡因素
| 1號民建聯葉國謙 | 2號社民連梁國雄(長毛) | 合計 | |
| 21 - 29 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 10% | <1% | 7% | |
| 30 - 39 | 61% | 39% | 100% |
| 14% | 25% | 17% | |
| 40 - 49 | 75% | 25% | 100% |
| 20% | 19% | 20% | |
| 50 - 59 | 70% | 30% | 100% |
| 26% | 31% | 27% | |
| 60 或以上 | 77% | 23% | 100% |
| 30% | 25% | 29% | |
| 合計 | 73% | 27% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民婚姻狀況因素
| 1號民建聯葉國謙 | 2號社民連梁國雄(長毛) | 合計 | |
| 未婚 | 74% | 26% | 100% |
| 25% | 25% | 25% | |
| 已婚 | 75% | 25% | 100% |
| 73% | 69% | 72% | |
| 離婚 | 47% | 53% | 100% |
| 2% | 6% | 3% | |
| 合計 | 74% | 26% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民教育背景因素
| 1號民建聯葉國謙 | 2號社民連梁國雄(長毛) | 合計 | |
| 小學或以下 | 83% | 17% | 100% |
| 22% | 13% | 19% | |
| 中學 | 75% | 25% | 100% |
| 55% | 50% | 54% | |
| 大專或以上 | 64% | 36% | 100% |
| 24% | 38% | 27% | |
| 合計 | 74% | 26% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民職業背景因素
| 1號民建聯葉國謙 | 2號社民連梁國雄(長毛) | 合計 | |
| 行政及專業人員 | 71% | 29% | 100% |
| 33% | 38% | 34% | |
| 文職及服務人員 | 72% | 28% | 100% |
| 24% | 25% | 24% | |
| 學生 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 4% | <1% | 3% | |
| 家庭主婦 | 47% | 53% | 100% |
| 8% | 25% | 12% | |
| 其他 | 88% | 12% | 100% |
| 31% | 13% | 26% | |
| 合計 | 74% | 26% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民宗教信仰因素
| 1號民建聯葉國謙 | 2號社民連梁國雄(長毛) | 合計 | |
| 沒有 | 75% | 25% | 100% |
| 67% | 63% | 66% | |
| 基督教 | 64% | 36% | 100% |
| 8% | 13% | 9% | |
| 天主教 | 64% | 36% | 100% |
| 12% | 19% | 14% | |
| 佛教 | 86% | 14% | 100% |
| 14% | 6% | 12% | |
| 合計 | 74% | 26% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民有冇參加過七一遊行
| 1號民建聯葉國謙 | 2號社民連梁國雄(長毛) | 合計 | |
| 有 | 50% | 50% | 100% |
| 18% | 50% | 26% | |
| 冇 | 82% | 18% | 100% |
| 82% | 50% | 74% | |
| 合計 | 74% | 26% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 各票站調查之推算結果 - 發放時間: 晚上十時正 |
| 觀龍 |
| 候選人 | 推算結果 |
| 1號民建聯 - 葉國謙 | 勝算極高 |
| 2號社民連 - 梁國雄(長毛) | 沒有機會 |
| 各票站調查之推算結果 - 發放時間: 晚上十一時三十分 |
| 觀龍 |
| 候選人 | 推算結果 |
| 1號民建聯 - 葉國謙 | 勝算極高 |
| 2號社民連 - 梁國雄(長毛) | 沒有機會 |
註: 根據過住經驗, 由於區議會選舉票站調查的取樣人數不多, 得票比率的統計數字誤差頗大, 因此, 票站調查的預測結果只會以文字描述.
| 大坑 - 票站調查結果 |
本部份調查由NOW寬頻電視贊助,數據已經根據實際結果作出調整。 |
| 樣本資料 | ||
| 成功樣本 | 212 |
|
| 部份完成 | 2 |
|
| 拒絕訪問 | 171 |
|
| 回應比率 | 55.1% |
|
投票取向分析:請問你今次點解黎投票呢?
| 1號獨立候選人沈四海 | 2號新民黨黃楚峰 | 3號人民力量/選民力量劉嘉鴻 | 4號民主黨單仲偕 | 合計 | |
| 盡公民責任 | 2% | 46% | 6% | 46% | 100% |
| 100% | 63% | 73% | 82% | 72% | |
| 改善社會、社區、民生 | <1% | 86% | <1% | 14% | 100% |
| <1% | 11% | <1% | 2% | 7% | |
| 促進民主發展/支持直選 | <1% | 57% | <1% | 43% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | |
| 要支持某某候選人 | <1% | 73% | <1% | 27% | 100% |
| <1% | 7% | <1% | 4% | 5% | |
| 要支持某某政治團體/派別 | <1% | 73% | <1% | 27% | 100% |
| <1% | 2% | <1% | 1% | 2% | |
| 慣性、次次都投票 | <1% | 54% | 15% | 32% | 100% |
| <1% | 11% | 27% | 9% | 11% | |
| 其他 | <1% | 80% | <1% | 20% | 100% |
| <1% | 4% | <1% | 1% | 2% | |
| 合計 | 2% | 52% | 6% | 40% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:請問你有冇試過係各級議會中投票?
| 1號獨立候選人沈四海 | 2號新民黨黃楚峰 | 3號人民力量/選民力量劉嘉鴻 | 4號民主黨單仲偕 | 合計 | |
| 有 | <1% | 54% | 6% | 40% | 100% |
| <1% | 86% | 91% | 84% | 84% | |
| 冇 | 11% | 45% | 3% | 40% | 100% |
| 100% | 14% | 9% | 16% | 16% | |
| 合計 | 2% | 52% | 6% | 40% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你登記左做選民幾耐?
| 1號獨立候選人沈四海 | 2號新民黨黃楚峰 | 3號人民力量/選民力量劉嘉鴻 | 4號民主黨單仲偕 | 合計 | |
| 半年內 | <1% | 47% | <1% | 53% | 100% |
| <1% | 2% | <1% | 4% | 3% | |
| 未夠一年 | <1% | 47% | <1% | 53% | 100% |
| <1% | 2% | <1% | 4% | 3% | |
| 未夠兩年 | 100% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| 100% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | |
| 未夠三年 | <1% | 40% | <1% | 60% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | <1% | 2% | 2% | |
| 未夠四年 | <1% | 56% | 15% | 28% | 100% |
| <1% | 4% | 9% | 2% | 3% | |
| 四年或以上 | <1% | 55% | 6% | 38% | 100% |
| <1% | 90% | 91% | 82% | 85% | |
| 唔記得 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 2% | |
| 合計 | 2% | 52% | 6% | 40% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你既選擇主要係基於支持個別候選人既個人背景定係佢既政黨背景呢?
| 1號獨立候選人沈四海 | 2號新民黨黃楚峰 | 3號人民力量/選民力量劉嘉鴻 | 4號民主黨單仲偕 | 合計 | |
| 候選人個人背景 | 4% | 75% | 2% | 19% | 100% |
| 100% | 65% | 18% | 23% | 46% | |
| 候選人政黨背景(跳至Q7) | <1% | 34% | 9% | 56% | 100% |
| <1% | 33% | 82% | 74% | 52% | |
| 好難講(跳至Q7) | <1% | <1% | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 1% | |
| 合計 | 2% | 53% | 6% | 39% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:(只問於Q5 答「1. 候選人個人背景」的被訪者)候選人有乜野吸引你? 請舉出最主要原因。
| 1號獨立候選人沈四海 | 2號新民黨黃楚峰 | 3號人民力量/選民力量劉嘉鴻 | 4號民主黨單仲偕 | 合計 | |
| 過往表現/政績 | <1% | 87% | <1% | 13% | 100% |
| <1% | 66% | <1% | 39% | 57% | |
| 政黨/政治背景 | <1% | 57% | <1% | 43% | 100% |
| <1% | 2% | <1% | 6% | 2% | |
| 政綱、政見 | 15% | 48% | 9% | 28% | 100% |
| 100% | 17% | 100% | 39% | 26% | |
| 知名度 | <1% | 57% | <1% | 43% | 100% |
| <1% | 2% | <1% | 6% | 2% | |
| 宣傳品吸引/競選活動表現 | <1% | 100% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 同住一區/街坊 | <1% | 100% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 6% | <1% | <1% | 4% | |
| 沒有其他更佳選擇 | <1% | 57% | <1% | 43% | 100% |
| <1% | 2% | <1% | 6% | 2% | |
| 其他原因 | <1% | 73% | <1% | 27% | 100% |
| <1% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 4% | |
| 合計 | 4% | 75% | 2% | 19% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你既選擇主要係基於候選人既政治取態定係經濟民生政策?
| 1號獨立候選人沈四海 | 2號新民黨黃楚峰 | 3號人民力量/選民力量劉嘉鴻 | 4號民主黨單仲偕 | 合計 | |
| 政治取態 | <1% | 20% | 13% | 67% | 100% |
| <1% | 12% | 73% | 56% | 33% | |
| 經濟民生政策 | 3% | 70% | 2% | 25% | 100% |
| 100% | 83% | 18% | 40% | 62% | |
| 唔知/難講 | <1% | 51% | 10% | 38% | 100% |
| <1% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 5% | |
| 合計 | 2% | 53% | 6% | 40% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你從乜野途徑認識呢個候選人?
| 1號獨立候選人沈四海 | 2號新民黨黃楚峰 | 3號人民力量/選民力量劉嘉鴻 | 4號民主黨單仲偕 | 合計 | |
| 競選宣傳品/出席選舉論壇 | 6% | 56% | 7% | 31% | 100% |
| 100% | 33% | 36% | 24% | 31% | |
| 與候選人親自接觸 | <1% | 74% | <1% | 26% | 100% |
| <1% | 16% | <1% | 7% | 11% | |
| 與助選團接觸 | <1% | <1% | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | 9% | <1% | 1% | |
| 選舉家訪 | <1% | 100% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | 3% | |
| 報章、刊物 | <1% | 42% | <1% | 58% | 100% |
| <1% | 9% | <1% | 16% | 11% | |
| 電台 | <1% | 57% | <1% | 43% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | |
| 電視 | <1% | 9% | <1% | 91% | 100% |
| <1% | 2% | <1% | 32% | 14% | |
| 互聯網 | <1% | <1% | 59% | 41% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | 36% | 4% | 4% | |
| 工會、公司推介 | <1% | 100% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 親友介紹 | <1% | 100% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 4% | <1% | <1% | 2% | |
| 以前做過議員 | <1% | 74% | <1% | 26% | 100% |
| <1% | 23% | <1% | 11% | 17% | |
| 其他 | <1% | 46% | 19% | 35% | 100% |
| <1% | 5% | 18% | 5% | 6% | |
| 合計 | 2% | 52% | 6% | 40% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你幾耐之前決定左選呢個候選人?
| 1號獨立候選人沈四海 | 2號新民黨黃楚峰 | 3號人民力量/選民力量劉嘉鴻 | 4號民主黨單仲偕 | 合計 | |
| 今日 | 22% | 24% | 13% | 42% | 100% |
| 100% | 4% | 18% | 9% | 8% | |
| 兩日前 | <1% | 73% | <1% | 27% | 100% |
| <1% | 5% | <1% | 2% | 4% | |
| 四日前 | <1% | 30% | 25% | 45% | 100% |
| <1% | 2% | 18% | 5% | 4% | |
| 未夠一星期 | <1% | 74% | 6% | 20% | 100% |
| <1% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 10% | |
| 未夠兩星期 | <1% | 53% | 7% | 40% | 100% |
| <1% | 16% | 18% | 16% | 16% | |
| 截止提名之後,即2011年9月28日之後 | <1% | 37% | 8% | 56% | 100% |
| <1% | 10% | 18% | 20% | 14% | |
| 開始提名之後,即2011年9月15日之後 | <1% | 57% | <1% | 43% | 100% |
| <1% | 17% | <1% | 17% | 16% | |
| 候選人考慮參選開始,或更早 | <1% | 59% | 4% | 37% | 100% |
| <1% | 32% | 18% | 27% | 29% | |
| 合計 | 2% | 52% | 6% | 40% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你係2007年區議會選舉大坑選區中選邊個?
| 1號獨立候選人沈四海 | 2號新民黨黃楚峰 | 3號人民力量/選民力量劉嘉鴻 | 4號民主黨單仲偕 | 合計 | |
| 1號獨立候選人黃楚峰 | <1% | 81% | 3% | 16% | 100% |
| <1% | 48% | 18% | 12% | 31% | |
| 2號民主黨李慶偉 | <1% | 16% | 5% | 79% | 100% |
| <1% | 6% | 18% | 42% | 21% | |
| 上次沒有投票(包括未登記) | 9% | 44% | 6% | 41% | 100% |
| 100% | 16% | 18% | 20% | 19% | |
| 上次不是在本區投票 | <1% | 41% | 15% | 44% | 100% |
| <1% | 11% | 36% | 16% | 14% | |
| 唔記得 | <1% | 69% | 4% | 28% | 100% |
| <1% | 19% | 9% | 10% | 14% | |
| 合計 | 2% | 53% | 6% | 40% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你係2008年立法會直選中選邊張名單?
| 1號獨立候選人沈四海 | 2號新民黨黃楚峰 | 3號人民力量/選民力量劉嘉鴻 | 4號民主黨單仲偕 | 合計 | |
| 2號公民起動既何秀蘭 | <1% | 39% | 16% | 44% | 100% |
| <1% | 5% | 18% | 8% | 7% | |
| 3號民主黨既甘乃威團隊 | <1% | 6% | <1% | 94% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | <1% | 27% | 11% | |
| 4號社會民主連線既曾健成(阿牛) | <1% | 38% | 62% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | 18% | <1% | 2% | |
| 5號民建聯既曾鈺成團隊 | <1% | 80% | <1% | 20% | 100% |
| <1% | 7% | <1% | 3% | 5% | |
| 7號獨立候選人勞永樂 | <1% | 100% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 8號公民黨既陳淑莊團隊 | <1% | 25% | 8% | 67% | 100% |
| <1% | 6% | 18% | 23% | 13% | |
| 9號匯賢智庫既葉劉淑儀團隊 | <1% | 83% | <1% | 17% | 100% |
| <1% | 14% | <1% | 4% | 9% | |
| 上次沒有投票(包括未登記) | 10% | 51% | 3% | 36% | 100% |
| 100% | 17% | 9% | 16% | 18% | |
| 上次不是在本區投票 | <1% | 39% | 21% | 39% | 100% |
| <1% | 4% | 18% | 5% | 5% | |
| 唔記得 | <1% | 77% | 4% | 20% | 100% |
| <1% | 43% | 18% | 15% | 30% | |
| 合計 | 2% | 53% | 6% | 39% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:今屆當選既區議員有機會參選明年立法會新增功能組別議席 (俗稱超級區議員) 。請問呢個因素對你今日既投票取向有冇影響?
| 1號獨立候選人沈四海 | 2號新民黨黃楚峰 | 3號人民力量/選民力量劉嘉鴻 | 4號民主黨單仲偕 | 合計 | |
| 有影響 | 4% | 33% | 6% | 56% | 100% |
| 100% | 27% | 45% | 60% | 43% | |
| 冇影響 | <1% | 65% | 6% | 29% | 100% |
| <1% | 68% | 55% | 39% | 54% | |
| 唔知/難講 | <1% | 84% | <1% | 16% | 100% |
| <1% | 5% | <1% | 1% | 3% | |
| 合計 | 2% | 52% | 6% | 40% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民性別因素
| 1號獨立候選人沈四海 | 2號新民黨黃楚峰 | 3號人民力量/選民力量劉嘉鴻 | 4號民主黨單仲偕 | 合計 | |
| 男 | 3% | 52% | 6% | 38% | 100% |
| 100% | 53% | 55% | 51% | 53% | |
| 女 | <1% | 53% | 6% | 42% | 100% |
| <1% | 47% | 45% | 49% | 47% | |
| 合計 | 2% | 52% | 6% | 40% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民年齡因素
| 1號獨立候選人沈四海 | 2號新民黨黃楚峰 | 3號人民力量/選民力量劉嘉鴻 | 4號民主黨單仲偕 | 合計 | |
| 18 - 20 | <1% | 53% | <1% | 47% | 100% |
| <1% | 6% | <1% | 8% | 6% | |
| 21 - 29 | 18% | 40% | 22% | 20% | 100% |
| 100% | 7% | 36% | 5% | 10% | |
| 30 - 39 | <1% | 54% | 3% | 43% | 100% |
| <1% | 20% | 9% | 21% | 19% | |
| 40 - 49 | <1% | 40% | 7% | 53% | 100% |
| <1% | 17% | 27% | 31% | 23% | |
| 50 - 59 | <1% | 63% | 7% | 29% | 100% |
| <1% | 26% | 27% | 16% | 22% | |
| 60 或以上 | <1% | 63% | <1% | 37% | 100% |
| <1% | 23% | <1% | 19% | 20% | |
| 合計 | 2% | 53% | 6% | 39% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民婚姻狀況因素
| 1號獨立候選人沈四海 | 2號新民黨黃楚峰 | 3號人民力量/選民力量劉嘉鴻 | 4號民主黨單仲偕 | 合計 | |
| 未婚 | 5% | 46% | 8% | 41% | 100% |
| 100% | 28% | 45% | 33% | 32% | |
| 已婚 | <1% | 57% | 5% | 38% | 100% |
| <1% | 69% | 55% | 61% | 64% | |
| 分居 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | |
| 離婚 | <1% | 40% | <1% | 60% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | <1% | 2% | 2% | |
| 喪偶 | <1% | 40% | <1% | 60% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | <1% | 2% | 2% | |
| 合計 | 2% | 52% | 6% | 40% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民教育背景因素
| 1號獨立候選人沈四海 | 2號新民黨黃楚峰 | 3號人民力量/選民力量劉嘉鴻 | 4號民主黨單仲偕 | 合計 | |
| 小學或以下 | <1% | 63% | 13% | 24% | 100% |
| <1% | 5% | 9% | 2% | 4% | |
| 中學 | <1% | 57% | 6% | 37% | 100% |
| <1% | 30% | 27% | 26% | 27% | |
| 大專或以上 | 3% | 50% | 5% | 42% | 100% |
| 100% | 65% | 64% | 72% | 69% | |
| 合計 | 2% | 52% | 6% | 40% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民職業背景因素
| 1號獨立候選人沈四海 | 2號新民黨黃楚峰 | 3號人民力量/選民力量劉嘉鴻 | 4號民主黨單仲偕 | 合計 | |
| 行政及專業人員 | <1% | 43% | 7% | 49% | 100% |
| <1% | 36% | 55% | 54% | 43% | |
| 文職及服務人員 | 11% | 56% | 7% | 27% | 100% |
| 100% | 17% | 18% | 11% | 16% | |
| 勞動工人 | <1% | 77% | <1% | 23% | 100% |
| <1% | 6% | <1% | 2% | 4% | |
| 學生 | <1% | 53% | 6% | 40% | 100% |
| <1% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | |
| 家庭主婦 | <1% | 73% | <1% | 27% | 100% |
| <1% | 10% | <1% | 5% | 7% | |
| 其他 | <1% | 57% | 5% | 38% | 100% |
| <1% | 22% | 18% | 20% | 21% | |
| 合計 | 2% | 52% | 6% | 40% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民宗教信仰因素
| 1號獨立候選人沈四海 | 2號新民黨黃楚峰 | 3號人民力量/選民力量劉嘉鴻 | 4號民主黨單仲偕 | 合計 | |
| 沒有 | 2% | 52% | 6% | 40% | 100% |
| 100% | 72% | 73% | 72% | 72% | |
| 基督教 | <1% | 46% | 8% | 46% | 100% |
| <1% | 11% | 18% | 15% | 13% | |
| 天主教 | <1% | 62% | 5% | 33% | 100% |
| <1% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 10% | |
| 佛教 | <1% | 50% | <1% | 50% | 100% |
| <1% | 4% | <1% | 5% | 4% | |
| 道教 | <1% | 100% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 合計 | 2% | 52% | 6% | 40% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民有冇參加過七一遊行
| 1號獨立候選人沈四海 | 2號新民黨黃楚峰 | 3號人民力量/選民力量劉嘉鴻 | 4號民主黨單仲偕 | 合計 | |
| 有 | 4% | 34% | 12% | 49% | 100% |
| 100% | 26% | 82% | 49% | 40% | |
| 冇 | <1% | 64% | 2% | 34% | 100% |
| <1% | 73% | 18% | 51% | 60% | |
| 唔記得 | <1% | 100% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 合計 | 2% | 52% | 6% | 40% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
各票站調查之推算結果 - 發放時間: 晚上十時正
| 大坑 |
| 候選人 | 推算結果 |
| 1號獨立候選人 - 沈四海 | 沒有機會 |
| 2號新民黨 - 黃楚峰 | 機會均等 |
| 3號人民力量 / 選民力量 - 劉嘉鴻 | 沒有機會 |
| 4號民主黨 - 單仲偕 | 機會均等 |
| 各票站調查之推算結果 - 發放時間: 晚上十一時三十分 |
| 大坑 |
| 候選人 | 推算結果 |
| 1號獨立候選人 - 沈四海 | 沒有機會 |
| 2號新民黨 - 黃楚峰 | 機會均等 |
| 3號人民力量 / 選民力量 - 劉嘉鴻 | 沒有機會 |
| 4號民主黨 - 單仲偕 | 機會均等 |
註: 根據過住經驗, 由於區議會選舉票站調查的取樣人數不多, 得票比率的統計數字誤差頗大, 因此, 票站調查的預測結果只會以文字描述.
| 麗閣 - 票站調查結果 |
本部份調查由有線電視、NOW寬頻電視聯合贊助,數據已經根據實際結果作出調整。 |
| 樣本資料 | ||
| 成功樣本 | 342 |
|
| 部份完成 | 21 |
|
| 拒絕訪問 | 180 |
|
| 回應比率 | 63.0% |
|
投票取向分析:請問你今次點解黎投票呢?
| 1號民協馮檢基 | 2號人民力量趙植東 | 3號獨立候選人鍾詠淵 | 4號工聯會/民建聯范國輝 | 合計 | |
| 盡公民責任 | 55% | 5% | 3% | 37% | 100% |
| 47% | 50% | 75% | 41% | 45% | |
| 改善社會、社區、民生 | 62% | <1% | <1% | 38% | 100% |
| 8% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 7% | |
| 促進民主發展/支持直選 | 30% | 26% | <1% | 44% | 100% |
| 1% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 1% | |
| 親友、鄰居、朋友呼籲 | 29% | <1% | <1% | 71% | 100% |
| 2% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 4% | |
| 響應政府呼籲 | 40% | <1% | <1% | 60% | 100% |
| 1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 2% | |
| 要支持某某候選人 | 53% | <1% | <1% | 47% | 100% |
| 10% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 10% | |
| 要支持某某政治團體/派別 | 34% | 15% | <1% | 51% | 100% |
| 1% | 6% | <1% | 2% | 2% | |
| 慣性、次次都投票 | 50% | 5% | <1% | 45% | 100% |
| 25% | 25% | <1% | 28% | 26% | |
| 順應潮流、趁熱鬧、沒有其他事做 | 54% | <1% | 20% | 26% | 100% |
| 2% | <1% | 25% | 1% | 2% | |
| 其他 | 63% | 37% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| 2% | 13% | <1% | <1% | 2% | |
| 合計 | 52% | 5% | 2% | 41% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:請問你有冇試過係各級議會中投票?
| 1號民協馮檢基 | 2號人民力量趙植東 | 3號獨立候選人鍾詠淵 | 4號工聯會/民建聯范國輝 | 合計 | |
| 有 | 53% | 5% | 1% | 40% | 100% |
| 75% | 81% | 50% | 70% | 73% | |
| 冇 | 48% | 4% | 3% | 45% | 100% |
| 24% | 19% | 50% | 28% | 26% | |
| 唔記得 | 58% | <1% | <1% | 42% | 100% |
| 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | |
| 合計 | 52% | 5% | 2% | 41% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你登記左做選民幾耐?
| 1號民協馮檢基 | 2號人民力量趙植東 | 3號獨立候選人鍾詠淵 | 4號工聯會/民建聯范國輝 | 合計 | |
| 半年內 | 63% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 100% |
| 4% | 6% | 25% | 1% | 3% | |
| 未夠一年 | 36% | 5% | 7% | 53% | 100% |
| 4% | 6% | 25% | 8% | 6% | |
| 未夠兩年 | 31% | <1% | <1% | 69% | 100% |
| 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 2% | |
| 未夠三年 | 61% | 21% | <1% | 18% | 100% |
| 3% | 13% | <1% | 1% | 3% | |
| 未夠四年 | 67% | <1% | <1% | 33% | 100% |
| 4% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 3% | |
| 四年或以上 | 53% | 5% | 1% | 41% | 100% |
| 82% | 75% | 50% | 81% | 81% | |
| 唔記得 | 40% | <1% | <1% | 60% | 100% |
| 1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 2% | |
| 合計 | 52% | 5% | 2% | 41% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你既選擇主要係基於支持個別候選人既個人背景定係佢既政黨背景呢?
| 1號民協馮檢基 | 2號人民力量趙植東 | 3號獨立候選人鍾詠淵 | 4號工聯會/民建聯范國輝 | 合計 | |
| 候選人個人背景 | 57% | <1% | 2% | 40% | 100% |
| 70% | 7% | 100% | 60% | 64% | |
| 候選人政黨背景(跳至Q7) | 41% | 16% | <1% | 43% | 100% |
| 19% | 87% | <1% | 26% | 25% | |
| 好難講(跳至Q7) | 47% | 3% | <1% | 51% | 100% |
| 10% | 7% | <1% | 14% | 11% | |
| 合計 | 52% | 5% | 2% | 42% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:(只問於Q5 答「1. 候選人個人背景」的被訪者)候選人有乜野吸引你? 請舉出最主要原因。
| 1號民協馮檢基 | 2號人民力量趙植東 | 3號獨立候選人鍾詠淵 | 4號工聯會/民建聯范國輝 | 合計 | |
| 過往表現/政績 | 60% | <1% | <1% | 40% | 100% |
| 93% | <1% | <1% | 86% | 88% | |
| 政黨/政治背景 | 100% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 政綱、政見 | 43% | 10% | <1% | 48% | 100% |
| 4% | 100% | <1% | 6% | 5% | |
| 性格、人品 | 14% | <1% | <1% | 86% | 100% |
| 1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 4% | |
| 獨立人士 | <1% | <1% | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | 50% | <1% | 1% | |
| 沒有其他更佳選擇 | 100% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 其他原因 | <1% | <1% | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | 50% | <1% | 1% | |
| 合計 | 56% | <1% | 2% | 41% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你既選擇主要係基於候選人既政治取態定係經濟民生政策?
| 1號民協馮檢基 | 2號人民力量趙植東 | 3號獨立候選人鍾詠淵 | 4號工聯會/民建聯范國輝 | 合計 | |
| 政治取態 | 44% | 16% | <1% | 40% | 100% |
| 19% | 75% | <1% | 22% | 23% | |
| 經濟民生政策 | 61% | 2% | 1% | 37% | 100% |
| 64% | 19% | 25% | 48% | 55% | |
| 唔知/難講 | 38% | 1% | 5% | 56% | 100% |
| 16% | 6% | 75% | 30% | 22% | |
| 合計 | 52% | 5% | 2% | 42% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你從乜野途徑認識呢個候選人?
| 1號民協馮檢基 | 2號人民力量趙植東 | 3號獨立候選人鍾詠淵 | 4號工聯會/民建聯范國輝 | 合計 | |
| 競選宣傳品/出席選舉論壇 | 41% | 11% | 3% | 45% | 100% |
| 20% | 56% | 50% | 27% | 25% | |
| 與候選人親自接觸 | 55% | <1% | <1% | 45% | 100% |
| 31% | <1% | <1% | 31% | 29% | |
| 與助選團接觸 | 16% | 14% | <1% | 70% | 100% |
| 1% | 6% | <1% | 4% | 2% | |
| 選舉家訪 | 18% | <1% | <1% | 82% | 100% |
| 1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 2% | |
| 報章、刊物 | 43% | 6% | 8% | 42% | 100% |
| 4% | 6% | 25% | 5% | 5% | |
| 電視 | 63% | 14% | <1% | 23% | 100% |
| 5% | 13% | <1% | 2% | 4% | |
| 互聯網 | <1% | 38% | <1% | 62% | 100% |
| <1% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 1% | |
| 工會、公司推介 | 25% | <1% | <1% | 75% | 100% |
| 1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 1% | |
| 親友介紹 | 40% | <1% | <1% | 60% | 100% |
| 1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 2% | |
| 以前做過議員 | 90% | 2% | <1% | 8% | 100% |
| 23% | 6% | <1% | 2% | 13% | |
| 其他 | 44% | 2% | 3% | 51% | 100% |
| 13% | 6% | 25% | 19% | 15% | |
| 合計 | 52% | 5% | 2% | 42% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你幾耐之前決定左選呢個候選人?
| 1號民協馮檢基 | 2號人民力量趙植東 | 3號獨立候選人鍾詠淵 | 4號工聯會/民建聯范國輝 | 合計 | |
| 今日 | 43% | 9% | 5% | 43% | 100% |
| 6% | 13% | 25% | 7% | 7% | |
| 兩日前 | 78% | 10% | 12% | <1% | 100% |
| 5% | 6% | 25% | <1% | 3% | |
| 四日前 | 36% | 5% | 7% | 53% | 100% |
| 4% | 6% | 25% | 7% | 6% | |
| 未夠一星期 | 41% | 16% | <1% | 43% | 100% |
| 5% | 19% | <1% | 6% | 6% | |
| 未夠兩星期 | 40% | <1% | <1% | 60% | 100% |
| 5% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 6% | |
| 截止提名之後,即2011年9月28日之後 | 52% | 10% | <1% | 37% | 100% |
| 18% | 38% | <1% | 16% | 18% | |
| 開始提名之後,即2011年9月15日之後 | 40% | <1% | <1% | 60% | 100% |
| 4% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 5% | |
| 候選人考慮參選開始,或更早 | 58% | 2% | 1% | 40% | 100% |
| 54% | 19% | 25% | 47% | 49% | |
| 合計 | 52% | 5% | 2% | 41% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你係2007年區議會選舉麗閣選區中選邊個?
| 1號民協馮檢基 | 2號人民力量趙植東 | 3號獨立候選人鍾詠淵 | 4號工聯會/民建聯范國輝 | 合計 | |
| 1號工聯會民建聯范國輝 | 12% | 2% | <1% | 87% | 100% |
| 4% | 6% | <1% | 39% | 18% | |
| 2號民協馮檢基 | 75% | 7% | <1% | 19% | 100% |
| 68% | 63% | <1% | 22% | 48% | |
| 上次沒有投票(包括未登記) | 41% | 4% | 4% | 51% | 100% |
| 17% | 19% | 50% | 29% | 23% | |
| 上次不是在本區投票 | 100% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | |
| 唔記得 | 41% | 7% | 8% | 44% | 100% |
| 7% | 13% | 50% | 10% | 10% | |
| 合計 | 53% | 5% | 2% | 40% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你係2008年立法會直選中選邊張名單?
| 1號民協馮檢基 | 2號人民力量趙植東 | 3號獨立候選人鍾詠淵 | 4號工聯會/民建聯范國輝 | 合計 | |
| 2號民建聯既李慧琼團隊 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 4% | |
| 3號南方民主同盟既龍緯汶團隊 | 100% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 4號民主黨既涂謹申團隊 | 74% | 19% | <1% | 6% | 100% |
| 11% | 31% | <1% | 1% | 8% | |
| 5號公民黨既毛孟靜團隊 | <1% | 38% | <1% | 62% | 100% |
| <1% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 1% | |
| 7號獨立候選人梁美芬團隊 | 40% | <1% | <1% | 60% | 100% |
| 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | |
| 8號社會民主連線既黃毓民團隊 | 35% | 31% | <1% | 34% | 100% |
| 2% | 19% | <1% | 2% | 3% | |
| 9號自由黨既田北辰團隊 | 100% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 10號民協既馮檢基團隊 | 73% | 2% | <1% | 24% | 100% |
| 35% | 13% | <1% | 15% | 25% | |
| 11號獨立候選人劉千石 | 30% | 26% | <1% | 44% | 100% |
| 1% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 1% | |
| 上次沒有投票(包括未登記) | 40% | 1% | 3% | 56% | 100% |
| 21% | 6% | 50% | 37% | 27% | |
| 上次不是在本區投票 | 82% | 18% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| 3% | 6% | <1% | <1% | 2% | |
| 唔記得 | 47% | 2% | 3% | 48% | 100% |
| 25% | 13% | 50% | 32% | 28% | |
| 合計 | 52% | 5% | 2% | 41% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:今屆當選既區議員有機會參選明年立法會新增功能組別議席 (俗稱超級區議員) 。請問呢個因素對你今日既投票取向有冇影響?
| 1號民協馮檢基 | 2號人民力量趙植東 | 3號獨立候選人鍾詠淵 | 4號工聯會/民建聯范國輝 | 合計 | |
| 有影響 | 61% | 12% | 2% | 26% | 100% |
| 19% | 38% | 25% | 10% | 16% | |
| 冇影響 | 50% | 4% | 2% | 45% | 100% |
| 73% | 63% | 75% | 81% | 76% | |
| 唔知/難講 | 52% | <1% | <1% | 48% | 100% |
| 7% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 7% | |
| 合計 | 52% | 5% | 2% | 42% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民性別因素
| 1號民協馮檢基 | 2號人民力量趙植東 | 3號獨立候選人鍾詠淵 | 4號工聯會/民建聯范國輝 | 合計 | |
| 男 | 49% | 7% | 1% | 43% | 100% |
| 55% | 81% | 50% | 60% | 59% | |
| 女 | 56% | 2% | 2% | 40% | 100% |
| 45% | 19% | 50% | 40% | 41% | |
| 合計 | 52% | 5% | 2% | 41% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民年齡因素
| 1號民協馮檢基 | 2號人民力量趙植東 | 3號獨立候選人鍾詠淵 | 4號工聯會/民建聯范國輝 | 合計 | |
| 18 - 20 | 64% | 5% | 13% | 17% | 100% |
| 8% | 6% | 50% | 3% | 6% | |
| 21 - 29 | 40% | 11% | <1% | 50% | 100% |
| 9% | 25% | <1% | 14% | 12% | |
| 30 - 39 | 56% | <1% | <1% | 44% | 100% |
| 15% | <1% | <1% | 14% | 14% | |
| 40 - 49 | 45% | 13% | <1% | 42% | 100% |
| 12% | 31% | <1% | 13% | 13% | |
| 50 - 59 | 59% | 7% | 3% | 31% | 100% |
| 29% | 31% | 50% | 18% | 25% | |
| 60 或以上 | 46% | 1% | <1% | 53% | 100% |
| 27% | 6% | <1% | 38% | 30% | |
| 合計 | 51% | 5% | 2% | 42% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民婚姻狀況因素
| 1號民協馮檢基 | 2號人民力量趙植東 | 3號獨立候選人鍾詠淵 | 4號工聯會/民建聯范國輝 | 合計 | |
| 未婚 | 50% | 6% | 2% | 42% | 100% |
| 36% | 44% | 50% | 38% | 38% | |
| 已婚 | 53% | 4% | 1% | 42% | 100% |
| 61% | 50% | 50% | 59% | 59% | |
| 離婚 | 73% | <1% | <1% | 27% | 100% |
| 3% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | |
| 喪偶 | <1% | 38% | <1% | 62% | 100% |
| <1% | 6% | <1% | 1% | 1% | |
| 合計 | 52% | 5% | 2% | 42% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民教育背景因素
| 1號民協馮檢基 | 2號人民力量趙植東 | 3號獨立候選人鍾詠淵 | 4號工聯會/民建聯范國輝 | 合計 | |
| 小學或以下 | 36% | 3% | 3% | 58% | 100% |
| 19% | 19% | 50% | 38% | 27% | |
| 中學 | 57% | 4% | 2% | 37% | 100% |
| 49% | 38% | 50% | 40% | 44% | |
| 大專或以上 | 60% | 8% | <1% | 32% | 100% |
| 33% | 44% | <1% | 22% | 28% | |
| 合計 | 52% | 5% | 2% | 41% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民職業背景因素
| 1號民協馮檢基 | 2號人民力量趙植東 | 3號獨立候選人鍾詠淵 | 4號工聯會/民建聯范國輝 | 合計 | |
| 行政及專業人員 | 58% | 4% | <1% | 38% | 100% |
| 27% | 19% | <1% | 22% | 24% | |
| 文職及服務人員 | 47% | 5% | 2% | 46% | 100% |
| 22% | 25% | 25% | 27% | 24% | |
| 勞動工人 | 43% | 7% | 3% | 47% | 100% |
| 11% | 19% | 25% | 15% | 13% | |
| 學生 | 65% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 100% |
| 9% | 13% | 50% | 2% | 7% | |
| 家庭主婦 | 62% | <1% | <1% | 38% | 100% |
| 8% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 7% | |
| 其他 | 49% | 5% | <1% | 46% | 100% |
| 23% | 25% | <1% | 27% | 25% | |
| 合計 | 52% | 5% | 2% | 42% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民宗教信仰因素
| 1號民協馮檢基 | 2號人民力量趙植東 | 3號獨立候選人鍾詠淵 | 4號工聯會/民建聯范國輝 | 合計 | |
| 沒有 | 53% | 3% | 1% | 42% | 100% |
| 72% | 53% | 50% | 72% | 71% | |
| 基督教 | 53% | 12% | <1% | 35% | 100% |
| 13% | 33% | <1% | 11% | 13% | |
| 天主教 | 82% | 18% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| 3% | 7% | <1% | <1% | 2% | |
| 佛教 | 40% | 2% | 6% | 51% | 100% |
| 10% | 7% | 50% | 16% | 13% | |
| 道教 | 67% | <1% | <1% | 33% | 100% |
| 2% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | |
| 合計 | 52% | 5% | 2% | 42% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民有冇參加過七一遊行
| 1號民協馮檢基 | 2號人民力量趙植東 | 3號獨立候選人鍾詠淵 | 4號工聯會/民建聯范國輝 | 合計 | |
| 有 | 68% | 13% | <1% | 19% | 100% |
| 28% | 56% | <1% | 10% | 22% | |
| 冇 | 48% | 3% | 2% | 47% | 100% |
| 72% | 44% | 100% | 90% | 78% | |
| 合計 | 53% | 5% | 2% | 41% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
各票站調查之推算結果 - 發放時間: 晚上十時正
| 麗閣 |
| 候選人 | 推算結果 |
| 1號民協 - 馮檢基 | 勝算極高 |
| 2號人民力量 - 趙植東 | 沒有機會 |
| 3號獨立候選人 - 鍾詠淵 | 沒有機會 |
| 4號工聯會 / 民協 - 范國輝 | 勝算極低 |
| 各票站調查之推算結果 - 發放時間: 晚上十一時三十分 |
| 麗閣 |
| 候選人 | 推算結果 |
| 1號民協 - 馮檢基 | 應可當選 |
| 2號人民力量 - 趙植東 | 沒有機會 |
| 3號獨立候選人 - 鍾詠淵 | 沒有機會 |
| 4號工聯會 / 民協 - 范國輝 | 沒有機會 |
註: 根據過住經驗, 由於區議會選舉票站調查的取樣人數不多, 得票比率的統計數字誤差頗大, 因此, 票站調查的預測結果只會以文字描述.
| 黃埔東 - 票站調查結果 |
本部份調查由有線電視、NOW寬頻電視、亞洲電視聯合贊助,數據已經根據實際結果作出調整。 |
| 樣本資料 | ||
| 成功樣本 | 410 |
|
| 部份完成 | 4 |
|
| 拒絕訪問 | 393 |
|
| 回應比率 | 50.8% |
|
投票取向分析:請問你今次點解黎投票呢?
| 1號西九新動力梁美芬 | 2號民主黨黃碧雲 | 3號人民力量/選民力量歐陽英傑(星屑醫生) | 合計 | |
| 盡公民責任 | 53% | 38% | 9% | 100% |
| 73% | 77% | 77% | 75% | |
| 改善社會、社區、民生 | 60% | 27% | 14% | 100% |
| 7% | 5% | 10% | 7% | |
| 促進民主發展/支持直選 | <1% | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 2% | <1% | 1% | |
| 親友、鄰居、朋友呼籲 | 26% | 74% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 2% | <1% | 1% | |
| 響應政府呼籲 | 100% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 響應某些團體呼籲 | 100% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 要支持某某候選人 | 77% | 18% | 4% | 100% |
| 8% | 3% | 3% | 5% | |
| 要支持某某政治團體/派別 | 31% | 60% | 9% | 100% |
| 1% | 4% | 3% | 3% | |
| 慣性、次次都投票 | 57% | 35% | 7% | 100% |
| 7% | 6% | 5% | 6% | |
| 順應潮流、趁熱鬧、沒有其他事做 | 53% | <1% | 47% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | |
| 其他 | 68% | 32% | <1% | 100% |
| 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 合計 | 54% | 37% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:請問你有冇試過係各級議會中投票?
| 1號西九新動力梁美芬 | 2號民主黨黃碧雲 | 3號人民力量/選民力量歐陽英傑(星屑醫生) | 合計 | |
| 有 | 52% | 39% | 9% | 100% |
| 80% | 88% | 82% | 83% | |
| 冇 | 63% | 28% | 10% | 100% |
| 19% | 12% | 18% | 16% | |
| 唔記得 | 100% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 合計 | 54% | 37% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你登記左做選民幾耐?
| 1號西九新動力梁美芬 | 2號民主黨黃碧雲 | 3號人民力量/選民力量歐陽英傑(星屑醫生) | 合計 | |
| 半年內 | 65% | 35% | <1% | 100% |
| 3% | 3% | <1% | 3% | |
| 未夠一年 | 57% | 33% | 10% | 100% |
| 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | |
| 未夠兩年 | 62% | 20% | 18% | 100% |
| 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | |
| 未夠三年 | 35% | 34% | 31% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | |
| 未夠四年 | 88% | 12% | <1% | 100% |
| 3% | 1% | <1% | 2% | |
| 四年或以上 | 53% | 38% | 9% | 100% |
| 86% | 91% | 90% | 88% | |
| 唔記得 | 62% | 29% | 9% | 100% |
| 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | |
| 合計 | 54% | 37% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你既選擇主要係基於支持個別候選人既個人背景定係佢既政黨背景呢?
| 1號西九新動力梁美芬 | 2號民主黨黃碧雲 | 3號人民力量/選民力量歐陽英傑(星屑醫生) | 合計 | |
| 候選人個人背景 | 81% | 15% | 4% | 100% |
| 75% | 20% | 23% | 50% | |
| 候選人政黨背景(跳至Q7) | 18% | 66% | 16% | 100% |
| 13% | 70% | 69% | 39% | |
| 好難講(跳至Q7) | 58% | 36% | 7% | 100% |
| 11% | 10% | 8% | 11% | |
| 合計 | 54% | 37% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:(只問於Q5 答「1. 候選人個人背景」的被訪者)候選人有乜野吸引你? 請舉出最主要原因。
| 1號西九新動力梁美芬 | 2號民主黨黃碧雲 | 3號人民力量/選民力量歐陽英傑(星屑醫生) | 合計 | |
| 過往表現/政績 | 92% | 8% | <1% | 100% |
| 80% | 38% | <1% | 70% | |
| 政黨/政治背景 | 35% | 34% | 31% | 100% |
| 1% | 7% | 22% | 3% | |
| 政綱、政見 | 78% | 17% | 5% | 100% |
| 8% | 10% | 11% | 9% | |
| 性格、人品 | 62% | 20% | 18% | 100% |
| 6% | 10% | 33% | 8% | |
| 外表 | <1% | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 3% | <1% | 1% | |
| 職業/教育背景 | 21% | 61% | 18% | 100% |
| 1% | 10% | 11% | 3% | |
| 知名度 | 100% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 沒有其他更佳選擇 | 46% | 44% | 10% | 100% |
| 3% | 14% | 11% | 5% | |
| 其他原因 | 26% | 51% | 23% | 100% |
| 1% | 7% | 11% | 2% | |
| 合計 | 81% | 15% | 4% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你既選擇主要係基於候選人既政治取態定係經濟民生政策?
| 1號西九新動力梁美芬 | 2號民主黨黃碧雲 | 3號人民力量/選民力量歐陽英傑(星屑醫生) | 合計 | |
| 政治取態 | 23% | 56% | 21% | 100% |
| 13% | 47% | 74% | 31% | |
| 經濟民生政策 | 73% | 24% | 3% | 100% |
| 79% | 38% | 21% | 59% | |
| 唔知/難講 | 43% | 53% | 4% | 100% |
| 8% | 15% | 5% | 11% | |
| 合計 | 54% | 37% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你從乜野途徑認識呢個候選人?
| 1號西九新動力梁美芬 | 2號民主黨黃碧雲 | 3號人民力量/選民力量歐陽英傑(星屑醫生) | 合計 | |
| 競選宣傳品/出席選舉論壇 | 47% | 45% | 8% | 100% |
| 43% | 62% | 46% | 50% | |
| 與候選人親自接觸 | 89% | 11% | <1% | 100% |
| 20% | 3% | <1% | 12% | |
| 與助選團接觸 | 15% | 58% | 27% | 100% |
| <1% | 3% | 5% | 2% | |
| 選舉家訪 | 51% | 49% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 報章、刊物 | 47% | 45% | 8% | 100% |
| 12% | 17% | 13% | 14% | |
| 電台 | <1% | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 電視 | 37% | 36% | 27% | 100% |
| 5% | 8% | 23% | 8% | |
| 互聯網 | <1% | 52% | 48% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | |
| 互委會推介 | 100% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| 3% | <1% | <1% | 2% | |
| 工會、公司推介 | <1% | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 親友介紹 | 86% | 14% | <1% | 100% |
| 3% | 1% | <1% | 2% | |
| 以前做過議員 | 100% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| 8% | <1% | <1% | 5% | |
| 其他 | 57% | 27% | 15% | 100% |
| 5% | 3% | 8% | 5% | |
| 合計 | 54% | 37% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你幾耐之前決定左選呢個候選人?
| 1號西九新動力梁美芬 | 2號民主黨黃碧雲 | 3號人民力量/選民力量歐陽英傑(星屑醫生) | 合計 | |
| 今日 | 27% | 53% | 20% | 100% |
| 6% | 17% | 26% | 12% | |
| 兩日前 | 24% | 59% | 17% | 100% |
| 2% | 9% | 10% | 6% | |
| 四日前 | 26% | 66% | 8% | 100% |
| 1% | 6% | 3% | 3% | |
| 未夠一星期 | 45% | 36% | 20% | 100% |
| 3% | 3% | 8% | 4% | |
| 未夠兩星期 | 48% | 39% | 13% | 100% |
| 10% | 12% | 15% | 11% | |
| 截止提名之後,即2011年9月28日之後 | 50% | 45% | 5% | 100% |
| 18% | 24% | 10% | 20% | |
| 開始提名之後,即2011年9月15日之後 | 68% | 25% | 7% | 100% |
| 37% | 20% | 23% | 30% | |
| 候選人考慮參選開始,或更早 | 75% | 22% | 3% | 100% |
| 22% | 10% | 5% | 16% | |
| 合計 | 54% | 37% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你係2007年區議會選舉黃埔東選區中選邊個?
| 1號西九新動力梁美芬 | 2號民主黨黃碧雲 | 3號人民力量/選民力量歐陽英傑(星屑醫生) | 合計 | |
| 1號民主黨陳家偉 | 10% | 75% | 15% | 100% |
| 4% | 43% | 36% | 21% | |
| 2號獨立候選人梁美芬 | 81% | 15% | 4% | 100% |
| 66% | 18% | 18% | 44% | |
| 空白票 | <1% | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 2% | <1% | 1% | |
| 上次沒有投票(包括未登記) | 55% | 35% | 10% | 100% |
| 15% | 14% | 15% | 14% | |
| 上次不是在本區投票 | 33% | 50% | 17% | 100% |
| 5% | 11% | 15% | 8% | |
| 唔記得 | 49% | 39% | 12% | 100% |
| 11% | 12% | 15% | 12% | |
| 合計 | 54% | 37% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你係2008年立法會直選中選邊張名單?
| 1號西九新動力梁美芬 | 2號民主黨黃碧雲 | 3號人民力量/選民力量歐陽英傑(星屑醫生) | 合計 | |
| 1號獨立候選人莊永燦 | <1% | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 2號民建聯既李慧琼團隊 | 93% | 7% | <1% | 100% |
| 6% | 1% | <1% | 3% | |
| 4號民主黨既涂謹申團隊 | 4% | 92% | 4% | 100% |
| 1% | 31% | 5% | 12% | |
| 5號公民黨既毛孟靜團隊 | 8% | 63% | 29% | 100% |
| <1% | 6% | 10% | 3% | |
| 7號獨立候選人梁美芬團隊 | 91% | 8% | 1% | 100% |
| 33% | 4% | 3% | 19% | |
| 8號社會民主連線既黃毓民團隊 | 12% | 49% | 39% | 100% |
| 2% | 12% | 38% | 9% | |
| 9號自由黨既田北辰團隊 | 68% | 32% | <1% | 100% |
| 2% | 1% | <1% | 2% | |
| 10號民協既馮檢基團隊 | 59% | 28% | 13% | 100% |
| 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | |
| 11號獨立候選人劉千石 | 34% | 66% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 空白票 | <1% | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 上次沒有投票(包括未登記) | 70% | 21% | 9% | 100% |
| 20% | 9% | 15% | 16% | |
| 上次不是在本區投票 | 45% | 39% | 16% | 100% |
| 5% | 6% | 10% | 6% | |
| 唔記得 | 59% | 36% | 5% | 100% |
| 29% | 26% | 15% | 27% | |
| 合計 | 54% | 37% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:今屆當選既區議員有機會參選明年立法會新增功能組別議席 (俗稱超級區議員) 。請問呢個因素對你今日既投票取向有冇影響?
| 1號西九新動力梁美芬 | 2號民主黨黃碧雲 | 3號人民力量/選民力量歐陽英傑(星屑醫生) | 合計 | |
| 有影響 | 39% | 50% | 11% | 100% |
| 18% | 34% | 31% | 25% | |
| 冇影響 | 58% | 34% | 8% | 100% |
| 75% | 66% | 62% | 70% | |
| 唔知/難講 | 80% | 5% | 15% | 100% |
| 7% | 1% | 8% | 5% | |
| 合計 | 54% | 37% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民性別因素
| 1號西九新動力梁美芬 | 2號民主黨黃碧雲 | 3號人民力量/選民力量歐陽英傑(星屑醫生) | 合計 | |
| 男 | 50% | 39% | 11% | 100% |
| 49% | 55% | 64% | 53% | |
| 女 | 59% | 35% | 7% | 100% |
| 51% | 45% | 36% | 47% | |
| 合計 | 54% | 37% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民年齡因素
| 1號西九新動力梁美芬 | 2號民主黨黃碧雲 | 3號人民力量/選民力量歐陽英傑(星屑醫生) | 合計 | |
| 18 - 20 | 49% | 31% | 19% | 100% |
| 4% | 4% | 10% | 5% | |
| 21 - 29 | 40% | 35% | 25% | 100% |
| 5% | 7% | 21% | 7% | |
| 30 - 39 | 39% | 48% | 13% | 100% |
| 9% | 16% | 18% | 12% | |
| 40 - 49 | 47% | 47% | 7% | 100% |
| 20% | 31% | 18% | 24% | |
| 50 - 59 | 59% | 33% | 8% | 100% |
| 28% | 24% | 23% | 26% | |
| 60 或以上 | 71% | 26% | 4% | 100% |
| 33% | 18% | 10% | 26% | |
| 合計 | 55% | 36% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民婚姻狀況因素
| 1號西九新動力梁美芬 | 2號民主黨黃碧雲 | 3號人民力量/選民力量歐陽英傑(星屑醫生) | 合計 | |
| 未婚 | 37% | 48% | 15% | 100% |
| 11% | 21% | 28% | 16% | |
| 已婚 | 57% | 35% | 8% | 100% |
| 88% | 79% | 72% | 83% | |
| 離婚 | 100% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 合計 | 54% | 37% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民教育背景因素
| 1號西九新動力梁美芬 | 2號民主黨黃碧雲 | 3號人民力量/選民力量歐陽英傑(星屑醫生) | 合計 | |
| 小學或以下 | 84% | 16% | <1% | 100% |
| 7% | 2% | <1% | 5% | |
| 中學 | 62% | 30% | 8% | 100% |
| 41% | 30% | 33% | 36% | |
| 大專或以上 | 47% | 43% | 10% | 100% |
| 51% | 68% | 67% | 59% | |
| 合計 | 54% | 37% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民職業背景因素
| 1號西九新動力梁美芬 | 2號民主黨黃碧雲 | 3號人民力量/選民力量歐陽英傑(星屑醫生) | 合計 | |
| 行政及專業人員 | 48% | 45% | 7% | 100% |
| 43% | 59% | 38% | 48% | |
| 文職及服務人員 | 51% | 31% | 19% | 100% |
| 9% | 8% | 21% | 10% | |
| 勞動工人 | 47% | 22% | 31% | 100% |
| 2% | 1% | 8% | 2% | |
| 學生 | 49% | 35% | 16% | 100% |
| 4% | 4% | 8% | 4% | |
| 家庭主婦 | 67% | 27% | 6% | 100% |
| 15% | 9% | 8% | 12% | |
| 其他 | 63% | 30% | 7% | 100% |
| 26% | 19% | 18% | 23% | |
| 合計 | 54% | 37% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民宗教信仰因素
| 1號西九新動力梁美芬 | 2號民主黨黃碧雲 | 3號人民力量/選民力量歐陽英傑(星屑醫生) | 合計 | |
| 沒有 | 54% | 36% | 10% | 100% |
| 61% | 60% | 69% | 61% | |
| 基督教 | 50% | 42% | 8% | 100% |
| 21% | 26% | 21% | 23% | |
| 天主教 | 50% | 44% | 7% | 100% |
| 6% | 8% | 5% | 7% | |
| 佛教 | 72% | 22% | 6% | 100% |
| 11% | 5% | 5% | 8% | |
| 道教 | 100% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 其他 | <1% | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 合計 | 54% | 37% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民有冇參加過七一遊行
| 1號西九新動力梁美芬 | 2號民主黨黃碧雲 | 3號人民力量/選民力量歐陽英傑(星屑醫生) | 合計 | |
| 有 | 14% | 68% | 18% | 100% |
| 7% | 50% | 54% | 27% | |
| 冇 | 69% | 25% | 6% | 100% |
| 93% | 50% | 46% | 73% | |
| 合計 | 54% | 37% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
各票站調查之推算結果 - 發放時間: 晚上十時正
| 黃埔東 |
| 候選人 | 推算結果 |
| 1號西九新動力 - 梁美芬 | 機會較高 |
| 2號民主黨 - 黃碧雲 | 機會較低 |
| 3號人民力量 / 選民力量 - 歐陽英傑 | 沒有機會 |
| 各票站調查之推算結果 - 發放時間: 晚上十一時三十分 |
| 黃埔東 |
| 候選人 | 推算結果 |
| 1號西九新動力 - 梁美芬 | 勝算極高 |
| 2號民主黨 - 黃碧雲 | 勝算極低 |
| 3號人民力量 / 選民力量 - 歐陽英傑 | 沒有機會 |
註: 根據過住經驗, 由於區議會選舉票站調查的取樣人數不多, 得票比率的統計數字誤差頗大, 因此, 票站調查的預測結果只會以文字描述.
| 龍上 - 票站調查結果 |
本部份調查由亞洲電視贊助,數據已經根據實際結果作出調整。 |
| 樣本資料 | ||
| 成功樣本 | 322 |
|
| 部份完成 | 0 |
|
| 拒絕訪問 | 62 |
|
| 回應比率 | 83.9% |
|
投票取向分析:請問你今次點解黎投票呢?
| 1號工聯會陳婉嫻 | 2號民主黨林偉基 | 3號人民力量任亮憲(維園阿哥) | 合計 | |
| 盡公民責任 | 68% | 23% | 10% | 100% |
| 41% | 46% | 46% | 43% | |
| 改善社會、社區、民生 | 64% | 26% | 9% | 100% |
| 26% | 35% | 30% | 28% | |
| 促進民主發展/支持直選 | 23% | 51% | 26% | 100% |
| 1% | 4% | 5% | 2% | |
| 親友、鄰居、朋友呼籲 | 85% | 15% | <1% | 100% |
| 2% | 1% | <1% | 2% | |
| 響應政府呼籲 | 100% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 響應某些團體呼籲 | <1% | 56% | 44% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | |
| 要支持某某候選人 | 85% | 4% | 10% | 100% |
| 8% | 1% | 8% | 7% | |
| 要支持某某政治團體/派別 | 61% | 22% | 17% | 100% |
| 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | |
| 慣性、次次都投票 | 88% | 9% | 3% | 100% |
| 18% | 6% | 5% | 14% | |
| 順應潮流、趁熱鬧、沒有其他事做 | 73% | 27% | <1% | 100% |
| 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 其他 | 58% | 42% | <1% | 100% |
| 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 合計 | 70% | 21% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:請問你有冇試過係各級議會中投票?
| 1號工聯會陳婉嫻 | 2號民主黨林偉基 | 3號人民力量任亮憲(維園阿哥) | 合計 | |
| 有 | 69% | 22% | 9% | 100% |
| 69% | 74% | 70% | 70% | |
| 冇 | 73% | 19% | 8% | 100% |
| 31% | 26% | 27% | 30% | |
| 唔記得 | <1% | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | |
| 合計 | 70% | 21% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你登記左做選民幾耐?
| 1號工聯會陳婉嫻 | 2號民主黨林偉基 | 3號人民力量任亮憲(維園阿哥) | 合計 | |
| 半年內 | 85% | 15% | <1% | 100% |
| 5% | 3% | <1% | 4% | |
| 未夠一年 | 55% | 32% | 13% | 100% |
| 3% | 6% | 5% | 4% | |
| 未夠兩年 | 49% | 44% | 7% | 100% |
| 2% | 7% | 3% | 3% | |
| 未夠三年 | 71% | 21% | 8% | 100% |
| 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |
| 未夠四年 | 70% | 7% | 23% | 100% |
| 4% | 1% | 11% | 4% | |
| 四年或以上 | 70% | 21% | 9% | 100% |
| 78% | 79% | 78% | 78% | |
| 唔記得 | 100% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| 4% | <1% | <1% | 3% | |
| 合計 | 70% | 21% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你既選擇主要係基於支持個別候選人既個人背景定係佢既政黨背景呢?
| 1號工聯會陳婉嫻 | 2號民主黨林偉基 | 3號人民力量任亮憲(維園阿哥) | 合計 | |
| 候選人個人背景 | 78% | 16% | 6% | 100% |
| 76% | 53% | 46% | 69% | |
| 候選人政黨背景(跳至Q7) | 42% | 38% | 20% | 100% |
| 14% | 43% | 51% | 23% | |
| 好難講(跳至Q7) | 85% | 12% | 3% | 100% |
| 10% | 4% | 3% | 8% | |
| 合計 | 70% | 21% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:(只問於Q5 答「1. 候選人個人背景」的被訪者)候選人有乜野吸引你? 請舉出最主要原因。
| 1號工聯會陳婉嫻 | 2號民主黨林偉基 | 3號人民力量任亮憲(維園阿哥) | 合計 | |
| 過往表現/政績 | 92% | 7% | 1% | 100% |
| 79% | 31% | 12% | 67% | |
| 政黨/政治背景 | 67% | 33% | <1% | 100% |
| 2% | 6% | <1% | 3% | |
| 政綱、政見 | 29% | 58% | 12% | 100% |
| 3% | 31% | 18% | 9% | |
| 性格、人品 | 57% | 21% | 22% | 100% |
| 10% | 17% | 47% | 13% | |
| 外表 | <1% | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | 6% | <1% | |
| 親戚、朋友支持 | 100% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 宣傳品吸引/競選活動表現 | <1% | 56% | 44% | 100% |
| <1% | 3% | 6% | 1% | |
| 沒有其他更佳選擇 | 70% | 30% | <1% | 100% |
| 4% | 9% | <1% | 4% | |
| 其他原因 | 52% | 19% | 29% | 100% |
| 2% | 3% | 12% | 2% | |
| 合計 | 78% | 16% | 6% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你既選擇主要係基於候選人既政治取態定係經濟民生政策?
| 1號工聯會陳婉嫻 | 2號民主黨林偉基 | 3號人民力量任亮憲(維園阿哥) | 合計 | |
| 政治取態 | 37% | 34% | 29% | 100% |
| 10% | 29% | 61% | 18% | |
| 經濟民生政策 | 78% | 18% | 4% | 100% |
| 70% | 54% | 28% | 63% | |
| 唔知/難講 | 76% | 19% | 5% | 100% |
| 20% | 16% | 11% | 18% | |
| 合計 | 70% | 21% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你從乜野途徑認識呢個候選人?
| 1號工聯會陳婉嫻 | 2號民主黨林偉基 | 3號人民力量任亮憲(維園阿哥) | 合計 | |
| 競選宣傳品/出席選舉論壇 | 52% | 38% | 9% | 100% |
| 25% | 62% | 35% | 34% | |
| 與候選人親自接觸 | 85% | 14% | 2% | 100% |
| 19% | 10% | 3% | 16% | |
| 與助選團接觸 | <1% | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 4% | <1% | 1% | |
| 選舉家訪 | 85% | 15% | <1% | 100% |
| 2% | 1% | <1% | 2% | |
| 報章、刊物 | 70% | <1% | 30% | 100% |
| 5% | <1% | 16% | 5% | |
| 電台 | <1% | 56% | 44% | 100% |
| <1% | 3% | 5% | 1% | |
| 電視 | 74% | 10% | 16% | 100% |
| 16% | 7% | 27% | 15% | |
| 互聯網 | <1% | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | 8% | 1% | |
| 工會、公司推介 | 91% | 9% | <1% | 100% |
| 9% | 3% | <1% | 7% | |
| 親友介紹 | 58% | 42% | <1% | 100% |
| 2% | 4% | <1% | 2% | |
| 以前做過議員 | 100% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| 19% | <1% | <1% | 13% | |
| 其他 | 55% | 30% | 16% | 100% |
| 2% | 4% | 5% | 3% | |
| 合計 | 70% | 21% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你幾耐之前決定左選呢個候選人?
| 1號工聯會陳婉嫻 | 2號民主黨林偉基 | 3號人民力量任亮憲(維園阿哥) | 合計 | |
| 今日 | 40% | 41% | 18% | 100% |
| 6% | 21% | 22% | 11% | |
| 兩日前 | 35% | 57% | 8% | 100% |
| 3% | 16% | 6% | 6% | |
| 四日前 | 74% | 12% | 14% | 100% |
| 5% | 3% | 8% | 5% | |
| 未夠一星期 | 52% | 27% | 21% | 100% |
| 4% | 7% | 14% | 6% | |
| 未夠兩星期 | 65% | 30% | 5% | 100% |
| 5% | 7% | 3% | 5% | |
| 截止提名之後,即2011年9月28日之後 | 63% | 24% | 13% | 100% |
| 12% | 15% | 19% | 13% | |
| 開始提名之後,即2011年9月15日之後 | 74% | 24% | 2% | 100% |
| 12% | 13% | 3% | 12% | |
| 候選人考慮參選開始,或更早 | 87% | 8% | 5% | 100% |
| 53% | 16% | 25% | 43% | |
| 合計 | 70% | 21% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你係2008年立法會直選中選邊張名單?
| 1號工聯會陳婉嫻 | 2號民主黨林偉基 | 3號人民力量任亮憲(維園阿哥) | 合計 | |
| 1號獨立候選人莊永燦 | <1% | 39% | 61% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | |
| 2號民建聯既李慧琼團隊 | 57% | <1% | 43% | 100% |
| 2% | <1% | 11% | 2% | |
| 3號南方民主同盟既龍緯汶團隊 | 92% | 4% | 3% | 100% |
| 10% | 1% | 3% | 7% | |
| 4號民主黨既涂謹申團隊 | 37% | 47% | 15% | 100% |
| 7% | 28% | 22% | 13% | |
| 5號公民黨既毛孟靜團隊 | 26% | 50% | 24% | 100% |
| 2% | 12% | 14% | 5% | |
| 6號獨立候選人林依麗 | 90% | 7% | 3% | 100% |
| 11% | 3% | 3% | 9% | |
| 7號獨立候選人梁美芬團隊 | 100% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 8號社會民主連線既黃毓民團隊 | 75% | 18% | 7% | 100% |
| 39% | 31% | 27% | 36% | |
| 9號自由黨既田北辰團隊 | 66% | 24% | 9% | 100% |
| 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |
| 10號民協既馮檢基團隊 | 77% | 18% | 5% | 100% |
| 27% | 21% | 14% | 24% | |
| 合計 | 70% | 21% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:今屆當選既區議員有機會參選明年立法會新增功能組別議席 (俗稱超級區議員) 。請問呢個因素對你今日既投票取向有冇影響?
| 1號工聯會陳婉嫻 | 2號民主黨林偉基 | 3號人民力量任亮憲(維園阿哥) | 合計 | |
| 有影響 | 52% | 34% | 14% | 100% |
| 16% | 35% | 35% | 22% | |
| 冇影響 | 76% | 16% | 8% | 100% |
| 84% | 60% | 65% | 77% | |
| 唔知/難講 | <1% | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 4% | <1% | 1% | |
| 合計 | 70% | 21% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民性別因素
| 1號工聯會陳婉嫻 | 2號民主黨林偉基 | 3號人民力量任亮憲(維園阿哥) | 合計 | |
| 男 | 71% | 15% | 14% | 100% |
| 48% | 34% | 76% | 48% | |
| 女 | 69% | 27% | 4% | 100% |
| 52% | 66% | 24% | 52% | |
| 合計 | 70% | 21% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民年齡因素
| 1號工聯會陳婉嫻 | 2號民主黨林偉基 | 3號人民力量任亮憲(維園阿哥) | 合計 | |
| 18 - 20 | 40% | 47% | 14% | 100% |
| 3% | 12% | 8% | 5% | |
| 21 - 29 | 73% | 15% | 12% | 100% |
| 11% | 7% | 14% | 11% | |
| 30 - 39 | 74% | 19% | 7% | 100% |
| 11% | 9% | 8% | 10% | |
| 40 - 49 | 65% | 21% | 14% | 100% |
| 14% | 15% | 25% | 15% | |
| 50 - 59 | 63% | 26% | 11% | 100% |
| 21% | 28% | 28% | 23% | |
| 60 或以上 | 78% | 18% | 4% | 100% |
| 40% | 29% | 17% | 36% | |
| 合計 | 70% | 22% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民婚姻狀況因素
| 1號工聯會陳婉嫻 | 2號民主黨林偉基 | 3號人民力量任亮憲(維園阿哥) | 合計 | |
| 未婚 | 62% | 25% | 13% | 100% |
| 26% | 35% | 41% | 29% | |
| 已婚 | 74% | 18% | 8% | 100% |
| 70% | 60% | 57% | 67% | |
| 離婚 | 58% | 42% | <1% | 100% |
| 1% | 3% | <1% | 1% | |
| 喪偶 | 79% | 12% | 9% | 100% |
| 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | |
| 合計 | 71% | 20% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民教育背景因素
| 1號工聯會陳婉嫻 | 2號民主黨林偉基 | 3號人民力量任亮憲(維園阿哥) | 合計 | |
| 小學或以下 | 75% | 20% | 5% | 100% |
| 30% | 26% | 16% | 28% | |
| 中學 | 66% | 23% | 10% | 100% |
| 48% | 56% | 59% | 51% | |
| 大專或以上 | 72% | 18% | 10% | 100% |
| 22% | 18% | 24% | 21% | |
| 合計 | 70% | 21% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民職業背景因素
| 1號工聯會陳婉嫻 | 2號民主黨林偉基 | 3號人民力量任亮憲(維園阿哥) | 合計 | |
| 行政及專業人員 | 64% | 23% | 12% | 100% |
| 15% | 18% | 22% | 16% | |
| 文職及服務人員 | 64% | 27% | 9% | 100% |
| 17% | 24% | 19% | 19% | |
| 勞動工人 | 71% | 16% | 13% | 100% |
| 15% | 12% | 22% | 15% | |
| 學生 | 60% | 26% | 14% | 100% |
| 6% | 9% | 11% | 7% | |
| 家庭主婦 | 70% | 27% | 2% | 100% |
| 10% | 13% | 3% | 10% | |
| 其他 | 77% | 16% | 7% | 100% |
| 36% | 25% | 24% | 32% | |
| 合計 | 70% | 21% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民宗教信仰因素
| 1號工聯會陳婉嫻 | 2號民主黨林偉基 | 3號人民力量任亮憲(維園阿哥) | 合計 | |
| 沒有 | 70% | 20% | 10% | 100% |
| 71% | 66% | 78% | 71% | |
| 基督教 | 57% | 35% | 8% | 100% |
| 7% | 15% | 8% | 9% | |
| 天主教 | 58% | 42% | <1% | 100% |
| 2% | 4% | <1% | 2% | |
| 佛教 | 76% | 18% | 6% | 100% |
| 17% | 13% | 11% | 16% | |
| 道教 | 80% | 20% | <1% | 100% |
| 2% | 1% | <1% | 2% | |
| 其他 | 78% | <1% | 22% | 100% |
| 1% | <1% | 3% | 1% | |
| 合計 | 70% | 21% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民有冇參加過七一遊行
| 1號工聯會陳婉嫻 | 2號民主黨林偉基 | 3號人民力量任亮憲(維園阿哥) | 合計 | |
| 有 | 44% | 41% | 15% | 100% |
| 9% | 28% | 24% | 15% | |
| 冇 | 74% | 18% | 8% | 100% |
| 91% | 72% | 76% | 85% | |
| 合計 | 70% | 21% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
各票站調查之推算結果 - 發放時間: 晚上十時正
| 龍上 |
| 候選人 | 推算結果 |
| 1號工聯會 - 陳婉嫻 | 勝算極高 |
| 2號民主黨 - 林偉基 | 勝算極低 |
| 3號人民力量 - 任亮憲 | 沒有機會 |
| 各票站調查之推算結果 - 發放時間: 晚上十一時三十分 |
| 龍上 |
| 候選人 | 推算結果 |
| 1號工聯會 - 陳婉嫻 | 應可當選 |
| 2號民主黨 - 林偉基 | 沒有機會 |
| 3號人民力量 - 任亮憲 | 沒有機會 |
註: 根據過住經驗, 由於區議會選舉票站調查的取樣人數不多, 得票比率的統計數字誤差頗大, 因此, 票站調查的預測結果只會以文字描述.
| 樂翠 - 票站調查結果 |
| 本部份調查由有線電視、NOW寬頻電視、亞洲電視聯合贊助,數據已經根據實際結果作出調整。 |
| 樣本資料 | ||
| 成功樣本 | 204 |
|
| 部份完成 | 6 |
|
| 拒絕訪問 | 236 |
|
| 回應比率 | 45.7% |
|
投票取向分析:請問你今次點解黎投票呢?
| 1號人民力量陳偉業 | 2號民主黨何俊仁 | 3號獨立候選人沈錦添 | 合計 | |
| 盡公民責任 | 10% | 53% | 37% | 100% |
| 69% | 62% | 55% | 60% | |
| 改善社會、社區、民生 | 11% | 51% | 38% | 100% |
| 13% | 9% | 9% | 9% | |
| 促進民主發展/支持直選 | <1% | 40% | 60% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | |
| 響應政府呼籲 | <1% | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | 2% | 1% | |
| 響應某些團體呼籲 | <1% | 40% | 60% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | |
| 要支持某某候選人 | 5% | 45% | 50% | 100% |
| 6% | 9% | 13% | 10% | |
| 要支持某某政治團體/派別 | <1% | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 慣性、次次都投票 | 4% | 55% | 41% | 100% |
| 6% | 13% | 13% | 13% | |
| 順應潮流、趁熱鬧、沒有其他事做 | 31% | 69% | <1% | 100% |
| 6% | 2% | <1% | 2% | |
| 其他 | <1% | 25% | 75% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | |
| 合計 | 8% | 51% | 40% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:請問你有冇試過係各級議會中投票?
| 1號人民力量陳偉業 | 2號民主黨何俊仁 | 3號獨立候選人沈錦添 | 合計 | |
| 有 | 7% | 62% | 30% | 100% |
| 50% | 69% | 43% | 57% | |
| 冇 | 10% | 35% | 55% | 100% |
| 50% | 29% | 57% | 42% | |
| 唔記得 | <1% | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 2% | <1% | 1% | |
| 合計 | 8% | 51% | 40% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你登記左做選民幾耐?
| 1號人民力量陳偉業 | 2號民主黨何俊仁 | 3號獨立候選人沈錦添 | 合計 | |
| 半年內 | 11% | 51% | 38% | 100% |
| 6% | 4% | 4% | 5% | |
| 未夠一年 | 23% | <1% | 77% | 100% |
| 6% | <1% | 4% | 2% | |
| 未夠兩年 | 31% | 17% | 52% | 100% |
| 13% | 1% | 4% | 3% | |
| 未夠三年 | <1% | 67% | 33% | 100% |
| <1% | 3% | 2% | 3% | |
| 未夠四年 | <1% | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 四年或以上 | 7% | 53% | 40% | 100% |
| 75% | 89% | 85% | 86% | |
| 唔記得 | <1% | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 合計 | 8% | 51% | 40% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你既選擇主要係基於支持個別候選人既個人背景定係佢既政黨背景呢?
| 1號人民力量陳偉業 | 2號民主黨何俊仁 | 3號獨立候選人沈錦添 | 合計 | |
| 候選人個人背景 | 7% | 44% | 49% | 100% |
| 63% | 61% | 85% | 71% | |
| 候選人政黨背景(跳至Q7) | 12% | 68% | 20% | 100% |
| 38% | 34% | 13% | 26% | |
| 好難講(跳至Q7) | <1% | 73% | 27% | 100% |
| <1% | 5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 合計 | 8% | 51% | 41% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:(只問於Q5 答「1. 候選人個人背景」的被訪者)候選人有乜野吸引你? 請舉出最主要原因。
| 1號人民力量陳偉業 | 2號民主黨何俊仁 | 3號獨立候選人沈錦添 | 合計 | |
| 過往表現/政績 | 5% | 73% | 21% | 100% |
| 30% | 67% | 18% | 41% | |
| 政黨/政治背景 | 100% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| 20% | <1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 政綱、政見 | 5% | 28% | 67% | 100% |
| 10% | 9% | 21% | 15% | |
| 性格、人品 | <1% | 61% | 39% | 100% |
| <1% | 13% | 8% | 9% | |
| 職業/教育背景 | 13% | <1% | 87% | 100% |
| 10% | <1% | 10% | 6% | |
| 親戚、朋友支持 | 100% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| 10% | <1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 獨立人士 | <1% | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | 10% | 5% | |
| 知名度 | <1% | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 2% | <1% | 1% | |
| 同住一區/街坊 | <1% | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | 10% | 5% | |
| 沒有其他更佳選擇 | 7% | 8% | 85% | 100% |
| 10% | 2% | 18% | 10% | |
| 其他原因 | 11% | 51% | 38% | 100% |
| 10% | 7% | 5% | 7% | |
| 合計 | 7% | 45% | 48% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你既選擇主要係基於候選人既政治取態定係經濟民生政策?
| 1號人民力量陳偉業 | 2號民主黨何俊仁 | 3號獨立候選人沈錦添 | 合計 | |
| 政治取態 | 15% | 67% | 18% | 100% |
| 44% | 31% | 11% | 24% | |
| 經濟民生政策 | 6% | 47% | 47% | 100% |
| 56% | 67% | 85% | 74% | |
| 唔知/難講 | <1% | 25% | 75% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | |
| 合計 | 8% | 51% | 40% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你從乜野途徑認識呢個候選人?
| 1號人民力量陳偉業 | 2號民主黨何俊仁 | 3號獨立候選人沈錦添 | 合計 | |
| 競選宣傳品/出席選舉論壇 | <1% | 30% | 70% | 100% |
| <1% | 8% | 23% | 13% | |
| 與候選人親自接觸 | <1% | 30% | 70% | 100% |
| <1% | 11% | 34% | 20% | |
| 報章、刊物 | 8% | 42% | 50% | 100% |
| 19% | 16% | 23% | 19% | |
| 電台 | 100% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| 13% | <1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 電視 | 21% | 67% | 12% | 100% |
| 56% | 29% | 6% | 22% | |
| 互聯網 | <1% | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 互委會推介 | <1% | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | 2% | 1% | |
| 工會、公司推介 | <1% | 40% | 60% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | |
| 親友介紹 | 64% | 36% | <1% | 100% |
| 13% | 1% | <1% | 2% | |
| 以前做過議員 | <1% | 95% | 5% | 100% |
| <1% | 30% | 2% | 16% | |
| 其他 | <1% | 31% | 69% | 100% |
| <1% | 2% | 6% | 4% | |
| 合計 | 8% | 51% | 40% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你幾耐之前決定左選呢個候選人?
| 1號人民力量陳偉業 | 2號民主黨何俊仁 | 3號獨立候選人沈錦添 | 合計 | |
| 今日 | 18% | 66% | 15% | 100% |
| 25% | 15% | 4% | 11% | |
| 兩日前 | <1% | 53% | 47% | 100% |
| <1% | 6% | 6% | 5% | |
| 四日前 | 13% | 44% | 43% | 100% |
| 6% | 3% | 4% | 4% | |
| 未夠一星期 | 10% | 23% | 67% | 100% |
| 6% | 2% | 9% | 5% | |
| 未夠兩星期 | 7% | 37% | 56% | 100% |
| 6% | 6% | 11% | 8% | |
| 截止提名之後,即2011年9月28日之後 | 3% | 30% | 67% | 100% |
| 6% | 9% | 26% | 15% | |
| 開始提名之後,即2011年9月15日之後 | <1% | 38% | 62% | 100% |
| <1% | 10% | 21% | 14% | |
| 候選人考慮參選開始,或更早 | 11% | 68% | 21% | 100% |
| 50% | 49% | 19% | 37% | |
| 合計 | 8% | 51% | 40% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你係2007年區議會選舉樂翠選區中選邊個?
| 1號人民力量陳偉業 | 2號民主黨何俊仁 | 3號獨立候選人沈錦添 | 合計 | |
| 1號民主黨何俊仁 | 9% | 70% | 21% | 100% |
| 56% | 71% | 28% | 53% | |
| 2號民建聯李錦文 | <1% | 25% | 75% | 100% |
| <1% | 2% | 9% | 5% | |
| 空白票 | <1% | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | 2% | 1% | |
| 上次沒有投票(包括未登記) | 8% | 32% | 60% | 100% |
| 25% | 17% | 41% | 27% | |
| 上次不是在本區投票 | 9% | 40% | 52% | 100% |
| 13% | 9% | 15% | 12% | |
| 唔記得 | 18% | 20% | 61% | 100% |
| 6% | 1% | 4% | 3% | |
| 合計 | 8% | 52% | 40% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你係2008年立法會直選中選邊張名單?
| 1號人民力量陳偉業 | 2號民主黨何俊仁 | 3號獨立候選人沈錦添 | 合計 | |
| 1號公民黨既張超雄團隊 | <1% | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 6% | <1% | 3% | |
| 2號職工盟既李卓人團隊 | 29% | 48% | 24% | 100% |
| 13% | 3% | 2% | 4% | |
| 3號民建聯既譚耀宗團隊 | <1% | 10% | 90% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | 13% | 6% | |
| 4號民主黨既何俊仁團隊 | 7% | 78% | 15% | 100% |
| 31% | 53% | 13% | 35% | |
| 7號社會民主連線既陳偉業(大舊) | 64% | 36% | <1% | 100% |
| 13% | 1% | <1% | 2% | |
| 12號自由黨既周梁淑怡團隊 | <1% | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | 2% | 1% | |
| 13號街工既梁耀忠團隊 | 47% | 53% | <1% | 100% |
| 6% | 1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 空白票 | <1% | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | 4% | 2% | |
| 上次沒有投票(包括未登記) | 6% | 28% | 67% | 100% |
| 19% | 15% | 45% | 27% | |
| 上次不是在本區投票 | 10% | 43% | 48% | 100% |
| 6% | 4% | 6% | 5% | |
| 唔記得 | 7% | 53% | 40% | 100% |
| 13% | 16% | 15% | 15% | |
| 合計 | 8% | 51% | 40% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:今屆當選既區議員有機會參選明年立法會新增功能組別議席 (俗稱超級區議員) 。請問呢個因素對你今日既投票取向有冇影響?
| 1號人民力量陳偉業 | 2號民主黨何俊仁 | 3號獨立候選人沈錦添 | 合計 | |
| 有影響 | 7% | 53% | 41% | 100% |
| 25% | 33% | 32% | 32% | |
| 冇影響 | 9% | 49% | 42% | 100% |
| 75% | 63% | 68% | 66% | |
| 唔知/難講 | <1% | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 4% | <1% | 2% | |
| 合計 | 8% | 51% | 40% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民性別因素
| 1號人民力量陳偉業 | 2號民主黨何俊仁 | 3號獨立候選人沈錦添 | 合計 | |
| 男 | 9% | 54% | 38% | 100% |
| 56% | 57% | 51% | 55% | |
| 女 | 8% | 48% | 44% | 100% |
| 44% | 43% | 49% | 45% | |
| 合計 | 8% | 51% | 40% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民年齡因素
| 1號人民力量陳偉業 | 2號民主黨何俊仁 | 3號獨立候選人沈錦添 | 合計 | |
| 18 - 20 | 7% | 57% | 36% | 100% |
| 6% | 8% | 6% | 7% | |
| 21 - 29 | 16% | 50% | 34% | 100% |
| 25% | 13% | 11% | 13% | |
| 30 - 39 | 7% | 44% | 50% | 100% |
| 19% | 19% | 28% | 23% | |
| 40 - 49 | 3% | 58% | 39% | 100% |
| 6% | 20% | 17% | 18% | |
| 50 - 59 | 9% | 57% | 34% | 100% |
| 31% | 34% | 26% | 30% | |
| 60 或以上 | 11% | 32% | 57% | 100% |
| 13% | 6% | 13% | 9% | |
| 合計 | 8% | 51% | 41% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民婚姻狀況因素
| 1號人民力量陳偉業 | 2號民主黨何俊仁 | 3號獨立候選人沈錦添 | 合計 | |
| 未婚 | 10% | 52% | 38% | 100% |
| 40% | 32% | 30% | 32% | |
| 已婚 | 7% | 50% | 43% | 100% |
| 60% | 64% | 70% | 66% | |
| 離婚 | <1% | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 3% | <1% | 2% | |
| 喪偶 | <1% | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 合計 | 8% | 52% | 40% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民教育背景因素
| 1號人民力量陳偉業 | 2號民主黨何俊仁 | 3號獨立候選人沈錦添 | 合計 | |
| 小學或以下 | <1% | 40% | 60% | 100% |
| <1% | 6% | 11% | 7% | |
| 中學 | 9% | 52% | 39% | 100% |
| 50% | 48% | 45% | 47% | |
| 大專或以上 | 9% | 51% | 40% | 100% |
| 50% | 46% | 45% | 46% | |
| 合計 | 8% | 51% | 41% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民職業背景因素
| 1號人民力量陳偉業 | 2號民主黨何俊仁 | 3號獨立候選人沈錦添 | 合計 | |
| 行政及專業人員 | 6% | 54% | 40% | 100% |
| 25% | 39% | 39% | 38% | |
| 文職及服務人員 | 13% | 57% | 30% | 100% |
| 31% | 23% | 16% | 21% | |
| 勞動工人 | 7% | 82% | 11% | 100% |
| 6% | 13% | 2% | 8% | |
| 學生 | 12% | 47% | 40% | 100% |
| 13% | 8% | 9% | 9% | |
| 家庭主婦 | 5% | 59% | 35% | 100% |
| 6% | 11% | 9% | 10% | |
| 其他 | 11% | 21% | 68% | 100% |
| 19% | 6% | 25% | 14% | |
| 合計 | 9% | 52% | 39% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民宗教信仰因素
| 1號人民力量陳偉業 | 2號民主黨何俊仁 | 3號獨立候選人沈錦添 | 合計 | |
| 沒有 | 54% | 36% | 10% | 100% |
| 61% | 60% | 69% | 61% | |
| 基督教 | 50% | 42% | 8% | 100% |
| 21% | 26% | 21% | 23% | |
| 天主教 | 50% | 44% | 7% | 100% |
| 6% | 8% | 5% | 7% | |
| 佛教 | 72% | 22% | 6% | 100% |
| 11% | 5% | 5% | 8% | |
| 摩門教 | <1% | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | |
| 合計 | 54% | 37% | 9% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民有冇參加過七一遊行
| 1號人民力量陳偉業 | 2號民主黨何俊仁 | 3號獨立候選人沈錦添 | 合計 | |
| 有 | 22% | 73% | 5% | 100% |
| 50% | 28% | 2% | 19% | |
| 冇 | 5% | 46% | 49% | 100% |
| 50% | 72% | 98% | 81% | |
| 合計 | 8% | 51% | 40% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
各票站調查之推算結果 - 發放時間: 晚上十時正
| 樂翠 |
| 候選人 | 推算結果 |
| 1號人民力量 - 陳偉業 | 沒有機會 |
| 2號民主黨 - 何俊仁 | 機會均等 |
| 3號獨立候選人 - 沈錦添 | 機會均等 |
| 各票站調查之推算結果 - 發放時間: 晚上十一時三十分 |
| 樂翠 |
| 候選人 | 推算結果 |
| 1號人民力量 - 陳偉業 | 沒有機會 |
| 2號民主黨 - 何俊仁 | 勝算極高 |
| 3號獨立候選人 - 沈錦添 | 勝算極低 |
註: 根據過住經驗, 由於區議會選舉票站調查的取樣人數不多, 得票比率的統計數字誤差頗大, 因此, 票站調查的預測結果只會以文字描述.
| 富恩 - 票站調查結果 |
本部份調查由NOW寬頻電視贊助,數據已經根據實際結果作出調整。 |
| 樣本資料 | ||
| 成功樣本 | 201 |
|
| 部份完成 | 7 |
|
| 拒絕訪問 | 30 |
|
| 回應比率 | 84.5% |
|
投票取向分析:請問你今次點解黎投票呢?
| 1號職工盟李卓人 | 2號工聯會劉桂容 | 合計 | |
| 盡公民責任 | 49% | 51% | 100% |
| 61% | 60% | 60% | |
| 改善社會、社區、民生 | 36% | 64% | 100% |
| 15% | 25% | 20% | |
| 促進民主發展/支持直選 | 47% | 53% | 100% |
| 1% | 1% | 1% | |
| 親友、鄰居、朋友呼籲 | 23% | 77% | 100% |
| 1% | 3% | 2% | |
| 響應政府呼籲 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 響應某些團體呼籲 | 64% | 36% | 100% |
| 2% | 1% | 2% | |
| 要支持某某候選人 | 53% | 47% | 100% |
| 5% | 4% | 5% | |
| 要支持某某政治團體/派別 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 慣性、次次都投票 | 68% | 32% | 100% |
| 8% | 3% | 5% | |
| 順應潮流、趁熱鬧、沒有其他事做 | 64% | 36% | 100% |
| 4% | 2% | 3% | |
| 合計 | 48% | 52% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:請問你有冇試過係各級議會中投票?
| 1號職工盟李卓人 | 2號工聯會劉桂容 | 合計 | |
| 有 | 51% | 49% | 100% |
| 85% | 75% | 80% | |
| 冇 | 36% | 64% | 100% |
| 15% | 25% | 20% | |
| 合計 | 48% | 52% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你登記左做選民幾耐?
| 1號職工盟李卓人 | 2號工聯會劉桂容 | 合計 | |
| 半年內 | 73% | 27% | 100% |
| 3% | 1% | 2% | |
| 未夠一年 | 40% | 60% | 100% |
| 3% | 4% | 4% | |
| 未夠兩年 | 40% | 60% | 100% |
| 3% | 4% | 4% | |
| 未夠三年 | 31% | 69% | 100% |
| 2% | 4% | 3% | |
| 未夠四年 | 56% | 44% | 100% |
| 8% | 6% | 7% | |
| 四年或以上 | 48% | 52% | 100% |
| 80% | 79% | 79% | |
| 唔記得 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | 1% | |
| 合計 | 48% | 52% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你既選擇主要係基於支持個別候選人既個人背景定係佢既政黨背景呢?
| 1號職工盟李卓人 | 2號工聯會劉桂容 | 合計 | |
| 候選人個人背景 | 49% | 51% | 100% |
| 52% | 48% | 50% | |
| 候選人政黨背景(跳至Q7) | 50% | 50% | 100% |
| 45% | 42% | 43% | |
| 好難講(跳至Q7) | 23% | 77% | 100% |
| 3% | 10% | 7% | |
| 合計 | 48% | 52% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:(只問於Q5 答「1. 候選人個人背景」的被訪者)候選人有乜野吸引你? 請舉出最主要原因。
| 1號職工盟李卓人 | 2號工聯會劉桂容 | 合計 | |
| 過往表現/政績 | 70% | 30% | 100% |
| 85% | 36% | 60% | |
| 政黨/政治背景 | 10% | 90% | 100% |
| 2% | 19% | 11% | |
| 政綱、政見 | 25% | 75% | 100% |
| 6% | 19% | 13% | |
| 性格、人品 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 5% | 2% | |
| 外表 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 2% | 1% | |
| 知名度 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 4% | <1% | 2% | |
| 同住一區/街坊 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 17% | 8% | |
| 其他原因 | 47% | 53% | 100% |
| 2% | 2% | 2% | |
| 合計 | 50% | 50% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你既選擇主要係基於候選人既政治取態定係經濟民生政策?
| 1號職工盟李卓人 | 2號工聯會劉桂容 | 合計 | |
| 政治取態 | 58% | 42% | 100% |
| 31% | 20% | 26% | |
| 經濟民生政策 | 44% | 56% | 100% |
| 62% | 72% | 67% | |
| 唔知/難講 | 43% | 57% | 100% |
| 7% | 8% | 7% | |
| 合計 | 48% | 52% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你從乜野途徑認識呢個候選人?
| 1號職工盟李卓人 | 2號工聯會劉桂容 | 合計 | |
| 競選宣傳品/出席選舉論壇 | 20% | 80% | 100% |
| 17% | 65% | 42% | |
| 與候選人親自接觸 | 51% | 49% | 100% |
| 8% | 7% | 7% | |
| 與助選團接觸 | 57% | 43% | 100% |
| 3% | 2% | 3% | |
| 報章、刊物 | 74% | 26% | 100% |
| 14% | 5% | 9% | |
| 電台 | 47% | 53% | 100% |
| 2% | 2% | 2% | |
| 電視 | 88% | 12% | 100% |
| 43% | 6% | 24% | |
| 互聯網 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | 1% | |
| 工會、公司推介 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 2% | 1% | |
| 親友介紹 | 40% | 60% | 100% |
| 3% | 5% | 4% | |
| 以前做過議員 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 7% | <1% | 3% | |
| 其他 | 26% | 74% | 100% |
| 2% | 6% | 4% | |
| 合計 | 48% | 52% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你幾耐之前決定左選呢個候選人?
| 1號職工盟李卓人 | 2號工聯會劉桂容 | 合計 | |
| 今日 | 43% | 57% | 100% |
| 5% | 7% | 6% | |
| 兩日前 | 47% | 53% | 100% |
| 3% | 3% | 3% | |
| 四日前 | 33% | 67% | 100% |
| 5% | 10% | 8% | |
| 未夠一星期 | 14% | 86% | 100% |
| 2% | 13% | 8% | |
| 未夠兩星期 | 49% | 51% | 100% |
| 16% | 16% | 16% | |
| 截止提名之後,即2011年9月28日之後 | 34% | 66% | 100% |
| 14% | 26% | 20% | |
| 開始提名之後,即2011年9月15日之後 | 60% | 40% | 100% |
| 32% | 19% | 25% | |
| 候選人考慮參選開始,或更早 | 78% | 22% | 100% |
| 22% | 6% | 13% | |
| 合計 | 48% | 52% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你係2007年區議會選舉富恩選區中選邊個?
| 1號職工盟李卓人 | 2號工聯會劉桂容 | 合計 | |
| 1號獨立候選人丘子明 | 36% | 64% | 100% |
| 5% | 9% | 7% | |
| 2號獨立候選人張文輝 | 49% | 51% | 100% |
| 25% | 24% | 24% | |
| 3號民主黨鄺智揚 | 73% | 27% | 100% |
| 7% | 2% | 4% | |
| 空白票 | 37% | 63% | 100% |
| 2% | 3% | 3% | |
| 上次沒有投票(包括未登記) | 37% | 63% | 100% |
| 21% | 33% | 27% | |
| 上次不是在本區投票 | 66% | 34% | 100% |
| 12% | 6% | 9% | |
| 唔記得 | 53% | 47% | 100% |
| 28% | 24% | 26% | |
| 合計 | 48% | 52% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你係2008年立法會直選中選邊張名單?
| 1號職工盟李卓人 | 2號工聯會劉桂容 | 合計 | |
| 1號公民黨既張超雄團隊 | 64% | 36% | 100% |
| 2% | 1% | 2% | |
| 2號職工盟既李卓人團隊 | 74% | 26% | 100% |
| 28% | 9% | 18% | |
| 3號民建聯既譚耀宗團隊 | 7% | 93% | 100% |
| 1% | 14% | 8% | |
| 4號民主黨既何俊仁團隊 | 64% | 36% | 100% |
| 4% | 2% | 3% | |
| 5號民協既蔣志偉團隊 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | 1% | |
| 6號獨立候選人阮偉忠 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | 1% | |
| 7號社會民主連線既陳偉業(大舊) | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 6% | <1% | 3% | |
| 9號工聯會既王國興團隊 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | 1% | |
| 12號自由黨既周梁淑怡團隊 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 2% | 1% | |
| 13號街工既梁耀忠團隊 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 空白票 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 2% | 1% | |
| 上次沒有投票(包括未登記) | 36% | 64% | 100% |
| 19% | 31% | 25% | |
| 上次不是在本區投票 | 82% | 18% | 100% |
| 6% | 1% | 3% | |
| 唔記得 | 46% | 54% | 100% |
| 33% | 34% | 33% | |
| 合計 | 48% | 52% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:今屆當選既區議員有機會參選明年立法會新增功能組別議席 (俗稱超級區議員) 。請問呢個因素對你今日既投票取向有冇影響?
| 1號職工盟李卓人 | 2號工聯會劉桂容 | 合計 | |
| 有影響 | 52% | 48% | 100% |
| 36% | 30% | 33% | |
| 冇影響 | 47% | 53% | 100% |
| 62% | 64% | 63% | |
| 唔知/難講 | 26% | 74% | 100% |
| 2% | 6% | 4% | |
| 合計 | 48% | 52% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民性別因素
| 1號職工盟李卓人 | 2號工聯會劉桂容 | 合計 | |
| 男 | 47% | 53% | 100% |
| 61% | 64% | 63% | |
| 女 | 50% | 50% | 100% |
| 39% | 36% | 37% | |
| 合計 | 48% | 52% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民年齡因素
| 1號職工盟李卓人 | 2號工聯會劉桂容 | 合計 | |
| 18 - 20 | 47% | 53% | 100% |
| 2% | 2% | 2% | |
| 21 - 29 | 59% | 41% | 100% |
| 14% | 9% | 12% | |
| 30 - 39 | 59% | 41% | 100% |
| 29% | 19% | 24% | |
| 40 - 49 | 43% | 57% | 100% |
| 30% | 37% | 34% | |
| 50 - 59 | 50% | 50% | 100% |
| 20% | 19% | 19% | |
| 60 或以上 | 23% | 77% | 100% |
| 4% | 14% | 9% | |
| 合計 | 48% | 52% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民婚姻狀況因素
| 1號職工盟李卓人 | 2號工聯會劉桂容 | 合計 | |
| 未婚 | 63% | 37% | 100% |
| 34% | 18% | 26% | |
| 已婚 | 42% | 58% | 100% |
| 64% | 79% | 72% | |
| 分居 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 離婚 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | 1% | |
| 喪偶 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 1% | 1% | |
| 合計 | 47% | 53% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民教育背景因素
| 1號職工盟李卓人 | 2號工聯會劉桂容 | 合計 | |
| 小學或以下 | 37% | 63% | 100% |
| 7% | 10% | 9% | |
| 中學 | 40% | 60% | 100% |
| 53% | 71% | 62% | |
| 大專或以上 | 66% | 34% | 100% |
| 40% | 19% | 29% | |
| 合計 | 48% | 52% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民職業背景因素
| 1號職工盟李卓人 | 2號工聯會劉桂容 | 合計 | |
| 行政及專業人員 | 43% | 57% | 100% |
| 22% | 27% | 24% | |
| 文職及服務人員 | 56% | 44% | 100% |
| 40% | 29% | 34% | |
| 勞動工人 | 57% | 43% | 100% |
| 18% | 13% | 15% | |
| 學生 | 57% | 43% | 100% |
| 7% | 5% | 6% | |
| 家庭主婦 | 39% | 61% | 100% |
| 9% | 13% | 11% | |
| 其他 | 18% | 82% | 100% |
| 3% | 14% | 9% | |
| 合計 | 48% | 52% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民宗教信仰因素
| 1號職工盟李卓人 | 2號工聯會劉桂容 | 合計 | |
| 沒有 | 47% | 53% | 100% |
| 80% | 81% | 81% | |
| 基督教 | 51% | 49% | 100% |
| 9% | 8% | 9% | |
| 天主教 | 47% | 53% | 100% |
| 1% | 1% | 1% | |
| 佛教 | 52% | 48% | 100% |
| 7% | 6% | 6% | |
| 道教 | 47% | 53% | 100% |
| 1% | 1% | 1% | |
| 其他 | 31% | 69% | 100% |
| 1% | 2% | 2% | |
| 合計 | 48% | 52% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民有冇參加過七一遊行
| 1號職工盟李卓人 | 2號工聯會劉桂容 | 合計 | |
| 有 | 75% | 25% | 100% |
| 26% | 8% | 17% | |
| 冇 | 42% | 58% | 100% |
| 74% | 92% | 83% | |
| 合計 | 48% | 52% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
各票站調查之推算結果 - 發放時間: 晚上十時正
| 富恩 |
| 候選人 | 推算結果 |
| 1號職工盟 - 李卓人 | 機會均等 |
| 2號工聯會 - 劉桂容 | 機會均等 |
各票站調查之推算結果 - 發放時間: 晚上十一時三十分
| 富恩 |
| 候選人 | 推算結果 |
| 1號職工盟 - 李卓人 | 機會均等 |
| 2號工聯會 - 劉桂容 | 機會均等 |
註: 根據過住經驗, 由於區議會選舉票站調查的取樣人數不多, 得票比率的統計數字誤差頗大, 因此, 票站調查的預測結果只會以文字描述.
| 第一城 - 票站調查結果 |
數據已經根據實際結果作出調整。 |
| 樣本資料 | ||
| 成功樣本 | 106 |
|
| 部份完成 | 1 |
|
| 拒絕訪問 | 44 |
|
| 回應比率 | 70.2% |
|
投票取向分析:請問你今次點解黎投票呢?
| 1號公民黨湯家驊 | 2號獨立候選人黃嘉榮 | 合計 | |
| 盡公民責任 | 37% | 63% | 100% |
| 96% | 86% | 90% | |
| 改善社會、社區、民生 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 5% | 3% | |
| 促進民主發展/支持直選 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 2% | 1% | |
| 慣性、次次都投票 | 21% | 79% | 100% |
| 4% | 8% | 6% | |
| 合計 | 34% | 66% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:請問你有冇試過係各級議會中投票?
| 1號公民黨湯家驊 | 2號獨立候選人黃嘉榮 | 合計 | |
| 有 | 34% | 66% | 100% |
| 85% | 85% | 85% | |
| 冇 | 34% | 66% | 100% |
| 15% | 15% | 15% | |
| 合計 | 34% | 66% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你登記左做選民幾耐?
| 1號公民黨湯家驊 | 2號獨立候選人黃嘉榮 | 合計 | |
| 半年內 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 3% | 2% | |
| 未夠一年 | 25% | 75% | 100% |
| 4% | 6% | 5% | |
| 未夠兩年 | 57% | 43% | 100% |
| 4% | 2% | 2% | |
| 未夠三年 | 25% | 75% | 100% |
| 4% | 6% | 5% | |
| 未夠四年 | 57% | 43% | 100% |
| 4% | 2% | 2% | |
| 四年或以上 | 36% | 64% | 100% |
| 85% | 77% | 80% | |
| 唔記得 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 5% | 3% | |
| 合計 | 34% | 66% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你既選擇主要係基於支持個別候選人既個人背景定係佢既政黨背景呢?
| 1號公民黨湯家驊 | 2號獨立候選人黃嘉榮 | 合計 | |
| 候選人個人背景 | 17% | 83% | 100% |
| 35% | 86% | 69% | |
| 候選人政黨背景(跳至Q7) | 80% | 20% | 100% |
| 58% | 8% | 25% | |
| 好難講(跳至Q7) | 40% | 60% | 100% |
| 8% | 6% | 7% | |
| 合計 | 34% | 66% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:(只問於Q5 答「1. 候選人個人背景」的被訪者)候選人有乜野吸引你? 請舉出最主要原因。
| 1號公民黨湯家驊 | 2號獨立候選人黃嘉榮 | 合計 | |
| 過往表現/政績 | 8% | 92% | 100% |
| 38% | 87% | 79% | |
| 政黨/政治背景 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 25% | <1% | 4% | |
| 政綱、政見 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 25% | <1% | 4% | |
| 性格、人品 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 4% | 3% | |
| 職業/教育背景 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 13% | <1% | 2% | |
| 獨立人士 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 2% | 2% | |
| 宣傳品吸引/競選活動表現 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 4% | 3% | |
| 沒有其他更佳選擇 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 4% | 3% | |
| 合計 | 17% | 83% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你既選擇主要係基於候選人既政治取態定係經濟民生政策?
| 1號公民黨湯家驊 | 2號獨立候選人黃嘉榮 | 合計 | |
| 政治取態 | 80% | 20% | 100% |
| 69% | 9% | 30% | |
| 經濟民生政策 | 15% | 85% | 100% |
| 27% | 79% | 61% | |
| 唔知/難講 | 14% | 86% | 100% |
| 4% | 12% | 9% | |
| 合計 | 34% | 66% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你從乜野途徑認識呢個候選人?
| 1號公民黨湯家驊 | 2號獨立候選人黃嘉榮 | 合計 | |
| 競選宣傳品/出席選舉論壇 | 36% | 64% | 100% |
| 35% | 32% | 33% | |
| 與候選人親自接觸 | 19% | 81% | 100% |
| 19% | 42% | 35% | |
| 報章、刊物 | 66% | 34% | 100% |
| 12% | 3% | 6% | |
| 電台 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 12% | <1% | 4% | |
| 電視 | 80% | 20% | 100% |
| 12% | 2% | 5% | |
| 互委會推介 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 2% | 1% | |
| 以前做過議員 | 57% | 43% | 100% |
| 8% | 3% | 5% | |
| 其他 | 11% | 89% | 100% |
| 4% | 17% | 12% | |
| 合計 | 34% | 66% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你幾耐之前決定左選呢個候選人?
| 1號公民黨湯家驊 | 2號獨立候選人黃嘉榮 | 合計 | |
| 今日 | 80% | 20% | 100% |
| 12% | 2% | 5% | |
| 兩日前 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 4% | <1% | 1% | |
| 四日前 | 30% | 70% | 100% |
| 4% | 5% | 4% | |
| 未夠一星期 | 80% | 20% | 100% |
| 12% | 2% | 5% | |
| 未夠兩星期 | 30% | 70% | 100% |
| 8% | 9% | 9% | |
| 截止提名之後,即2011年9月28日之後 | 28% | 72% | 100% |
| 23% | 30% | 28% | |
| 開始提名之後,即2011年9月15日之後 | 18% | 82% | 100% |
| 4% | 9% | 7% | |
| 候選人考慮參選開始,或更早 | 29% | 71% | 100% |
| 35% | 44% | 41% | |
| 合計 | 34% | 66% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你係2007年區議會選舉第一城選區中選邊個?
| 1號公民黨湯家驊 | 2號獨立候選人黃嘉榮 | 合計 | |
| 1號獨立候選人黃嘉榮 | 15% | 85% | 100% |
| 19% | 58% | 45% | |
| 2號前綫李永成 | 72% | 28% | 100% |
| 8% | 2% | 4% | |
| 空白票 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 2% | 1% | |
| 上次沒有投票(包括未登記) | 25% | 75% | 100% |
| 12% | 18% | 16% | |
| 上次不是在本區投票 | 57% | 43% | 100% |
| 23% | 9% | 14% | |
| 唔記得 | 62% | 38% | 100% |
| 38% | 12% | 21% | |
| 合計 | 34% | 66% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你係2008年立法會直選中選邊張名單?
| 1號公民黨湯家驊 | 2號獨立候選人黃嘉榮 | 合計 | |
| 1號自由黨既田北俊團隊 | 16% | 84% | 100% |
| 4% | 11% | 8% | |
| 3號前綫既劉慧卿團隊 | 57% | 43% | 100% |
| 8% | 3% | 5% | |
| 4號民主黨既黃成智團隊 | 44% | 56% | 100% |
| 12% | 8% | 9% | |
| 5號四五行動/社會民主連線既梁國雄 | 30% | 70% | 100% |
| 4% | 5% | 4% | |
| 7號民主黨既鄭家富團隊 | 34% | 66% | 100% |
| 8% | 8% | 8% | |
| 8號公民黨既湯家驊團隊 | 72% | 28% | 100% |
| 15% | 3% | 7% | |
| 9號獨立候選人龐愛蘭 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 3% | 2% | |
| 10號民建聯既劉江華團隊 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 11% | 7% | |
| 上次沒有投票(包括未登記) | 20% | 80% | 100% |
| 15% | 32% | 26% | |
| 上次不是在本區投票 | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| 8% | <1% | 3% | |
| 唔記得 | 46% | 54% | 100% |
| 27% | 17% | 20% | |
| 合計 | 34% | 66% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:今屆當選既區議員有機會參選明年立法會新增功能組別議席 (俗稱超級區議員) 。請問呢個因素對你今日既投票取向有冇影響?
| 1號公民黨湯家驊 | 2號獨立候選人黃嘉榮 | 合計 | |
| 有影響 | 68% | 32% | 100% |
| 62% | 15% | 31% | |
| 冇影響 | 20% | 80% | 100% |
| 38% | 80% | 66% | |
| 唔知/難講 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 5% | 3% | |
| 合計 | 34% | 66% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民性別因素
| 1號公民黨湯家驊 | 2號獨立候選人黃嘉榮 | 合計 | |
| 男 | 33% | 67% | 100% |
| 54% | 57% | 56% | |
| 女 | 36% | 64% | 100% |
| 46% | 43% | 44% | |
| 合計 | 34% | 66% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民年齡因素
| 1號公民黨湯家驊 | 2號獨立候選人黃嘉榮 | 合計 | |
| 18 - 20 | 30% | 70% | 100% |
| 4% | 5% | 5% | |
| 21 - 29 | 23% | 77% | 100% |
| 8% | 15% | 12% | |
| 30 - 39 | 37% | 63% | 100% |
| 16% | 15% | 15% | |
| 40 - 49 | 46% | 54% | 100% |
| 36% | 23% | 27% | |
| 50 - 59 | 27% | 73% | 100% |
| 20% | 29% | 26% | |
| 60 或以上 | 37% | 63% | 100% |
| 16% | 15% | 15% | |
| 合計 | 35% | 65% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民婚姻狀況因素
| 1號公民黨湯家驊 | 2號獨立候選人黃嘉榮 | 合計 | |
| 未婚 | 22% | 78% | 100% |
| 12% | 21% | 18% | |
| 已婚 | 38% | 62% | 100% |
| 88% | 76% | 80% | |
| 離婚 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 2% | 1% | |
| 喪偶 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 2% | 1% | |
| 合計 | 34% | 66% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民教育背景因素
| 1號公民黨湯家驊 | 2號獨立候選人黃嘉榮 | 合計 | |
| 小學或以下 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 3% | 2% | |
| 中學 | 34% | 66% | 100% |
| 38% | 39% | 39% | |
| 大專或以上 | 36% | 64% | 100% |
| 62% | 58% | 59% | |
| 合計 | 34% | 66% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民職業背景因素
| 1號公民黨湯家驊 | 2號獨立候選人黃嘉榮 | 合計 | |
| 行政及專業人員 | 33% | 67% | 100% |
| 46% | 49% | 48% | |
| 文職及服務人員 | 37% | 63% | 100% |
| 15% | 14% | 14% | |
| 勞動工人 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 3% | 2% | |
| 學生 | 34% | 66% | 100% |
| 8% | 8% | 8% | |
| 家庭主婦 | 11% | 89% | 100% |
| 4% | 17% | 12% | |
| 其他 | 60% | 40% | 100% |
| 27% | 9% | 15% | |
| 合計 | 34% | 66% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民宗教信仰因素
| 1號公民黨湯家驊 | 2號獨立候選人黃嘉榮 | 合計 | |
| 沒有 | 29% | 71% | 100% |
| 54% | 67% | 62% | |
| 基督教 | 46% | 54% | 100% |
| 42% | 26% | 31% | |
| 天主教 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 3% | 2% | |
| 佛教 | 40% | 60% | 100% |
| 4% | 3% | 3% | |
| 道教 | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | 2% | 1% | |
| 合計 | 34% | 66% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民有冇參加過七一遊行
| 1號公民黨湯家驊 | 2號獨立候選人黃嘉榮 | 合計 | |
| 有 | 60% | 40% | 100% |
| 56% | 18% | 31% | |
| 冇 | 21% | 79% | 100% |
| 44% | 82% | 69% | |
| 合計 | 34% | 66% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 荔華 - 票站調查結果 |
數據已經根據實際結果作出調整。 |
| 樣本資料 | ||
| 成功樣本 | 95 |
|
| 部份完成 | 1 |
|
| 拒絕訪問 | 3 |
|
| 回應比率 | 96.0% |
|
投票取向分析:請問你今次點解黎投票呢?
| | 1號人民力量/選民力量陳志全(慢必) | 2號民主黨李永達 | 3 號民建聯朱麗玲 | 合計 |
| 盡公民責任 | 14% | 40% | 46% | 100% |
| 86% | 50% | 48% | 52% | |
| 改善社會、社區、民生 | <1% | 39% | 61% | 100% |
| <1% | 17% | 22% | 18% | |
| 親友、鄰居、朋友呼籲 | <1% | 61% | 39% | 100% |
| <1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | |
| 要支持某某候選人 | <1% | 34% | 66% | 100% |
| <1% | 8% | 13% | 10% | |
| 慣性、次次都投票 | 9% | 61% | 31% | 100% |
| 14% | 21% | 9% | 14% | |
| 順應潮流、趁熱鬧、沒有其他事做 | <1% | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | 7% | 3% | |
| 合計 | 9% | 41% | 50% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:請問你有冇試過係各級議會中投票?
| 1號人民力量/選民力量陳志全(慢必) | 2號民主黨李永達 | 3 號民建聯朱麗玲 | 合計 | |
| 有 | 9% | 50% | 41% | 100% |
| 86% | 100% | 67% | 82% | |
| 冇 | 8% | <1% | 92% | 100% |
| 14% | <1% | 30% | 16% | |
| 唔記得 | <1% | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | 2% | 1% | |
| 合計 | 9% | 41% | 50% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你登記左做選民幾耐?
| 1號人民力量/選民力量陳志全(慢必) | 2號民主黨李永達 | 3 號民建聯朱麗玲 | 合計 | |
| 半年內 | <1% | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | 2% | 1% | |
| 未夠一年 | <1% | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | 11% | 6% | |
| 未夠兩年 | <1% | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | 4% | 2% | |
| 未夠三年 | <1% | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 4% | <1% | 2% | |
| 未夠四年 | <1% | 44% | 56% | 100% |
| <1% | 8% | 9% | 8% | |
| 四年或以上 | 11% | 44% | 45% | 100% |
| 100% | 83% | 71% | 79% | |
| 唔記得 | <1% | 61% | 39% | 100% |
| <1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | |
| 合計 | 9% | 42% | 50% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你既選擇主要係基於支持個別候選人既個人背景定係佢既政黨背景呢?
| 1號人民力量/選民力量陳志全(慢必) | 2號民主黨李永達 | 3 號民建聯朱麗玲 | 合計 | |
| 候選人個人背景 | 10% | 40% | 50% | 100% |
| 71% | 58% | 62% | 61% | |
| 候選人政黨背景(跳至Q7) | 8% | 50% | 42% | 100% |
| 29% | 38% | 27% | 31% | |
| 好難講(跳至Q7) | <1% | 24% | 76% | 100% |
| <1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | |
| 合計 | 9% | 42% | 50% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:(只問於Q5 答「1. 候選人個人背景」的被訪者)候選人有乜野吸引你? 請舉出最主要原因。
| 1號人民力量/選民力量陳志全(慢必) | 2號民主黨李永達 | 3 號民建聯朱麗玲 | 合計 | |
| 過往表現/政績 | 3% | 46% | 51% | 100% |
| 20% | 79% | 63% | 65% | |
| 政黨/政治背景 | <1% | 44% | 56% | 100% |
| <1% | 7% | 7% | 6% | |
| 政綱、政見 | 43% | 20% | 38% | 100% |
| 60% | 7% | 10% | 14% | |
| 性格、人品 | 53% | <1% | 47% | 100% |
| 20% | <1% | 3% | 4% | |
| 外表 | <1% | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | 3% | 2% | |
| 知名度 | <1% | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 7% | <1% | 3% | |
| 沒有其他更佳選擇 | <1% | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | 13% | 7% | |
| 合計 | 10% | 38% | 52% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你既選擇主要係基於候選人既政治取態定係經濟民生政策?
| 1號人民力量/選民力量陳志全(慢必) | 2號民主黨李永達 | 3 號民建聯朱麗玲 | 合計 | |
| 政治取態 | 17% | 58% | 26% | 100% |
| 57% | 42% | 16% | 30% | |
| 經濟民生政策 | 6% | 38% | 56% | 100% |
| 43% | 58% | 73% | 64% | |
| 唔知/難講 | <1% | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | 11% | 6% | |
| 合計 | 9% | 42% | 50% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你從乜野途徑認識呢個候選人?
| 1號人民力量/選民力量陳志全(慢必) | 2號民主黨李永達 | 3 號民建聯朱麗玲 | 合計 | |
| 競選宣傳品/出席選舉論壇 | 25% | 9% | 66% | 100% |
| 57% | 4% | 27% | 20% | |
| 與候選人親自接觸 | <1% | 18% | 82% | 100% |
| <1% | 8% | 31% | 19% | |
| 報章、刊物 | <1% | 51% | 49% | 100% |
| <1% | 8% | 7% | 7% | |
| 電台 | 19% | 81% | <1% | 100% |
| 14% | 13% | <1% | 6% | |
| 電視 | 13% | 75% | 12% | 100% |
| 14% | 17% | 2% | 9% | |
| 互聯網 | 100% | <1% | <1% | 100% |
| 14% | <1% | <1% | 1% | |
| 親友介紹 | <1% | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | 9% | 4% | |
| 以前做過議員 | <1% | 63% | 37% | 100% |
| <1% | 46% | 22% | 30% | |
| 其他 | <1% | 61% | 39% | 100% |
| <1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | |
| 合計 | 9% | 42% | 50% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你幾耐之前決定左選呢個候選人?
| 1號人民力量/選民力量陳志全(慢必) | 2號民主黨李永達 | 3 號民建聯朱麗玲 | 合計 | |
| 今日 | 16% | 43% | 41% | 100% |
| 14% | 8% | 7% | 8% | |
| 兩日前 | 36% | <1% | 64% | 100% |
| 29% | <1% | 9% | 7% | |
| 四日前 | 16% | <1% | 84% | 100% |
| 14% | <1% | 13% | 8% | |
| 未夠一星期 | <1% | 44% | 56% | 100% |
| <1% | 4% | 4% | 4% | |
| 未夠兩星期 | 14% | 38% | 48% | 100% |
| 14% | 8% | 9% | 9% | |
| 截止提名之後,即2011年9月28日之後 | 17% | 23% | 60% | 100% |
| 29% | 8% | 18% | 15% | |
| 開始提名之後,即2011年9月15日之後 | <1% | 39% | 61% | 100% |
| <1% | 8% | 11% | 9% | |
| 候選人考慮參選開始,或更早 | <1% | 65% | 35% | 100% |
| <1% | 63% | 29% | 40% | |
| 合計 | 9% | 42% | 50% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你係2007年區議會選舉荔華選區中選邊個?
| 1號人民力量/選民力量陳志全(慢必) | 2號民主黨李永達 | 3 號民建聯朱麗玲 | 合計 | |
| 1號民主黨李永達 | 10% | 60% | 29% | 100% |
| 71% | 88% | 35% | 60% | |
| 2號民建聯楊文達 | <1% | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | 9% | 4% | |
| 上次沒有投票(包括未登記) | 5% | 22% | 73% | 100% |
| 14% | 13% | 35% | 24% | |
| 上次不是在本區投票 | 16% | <1% | 84% | 100% |
| 14% | <1% | 13% | 8% | |
| 唔記得 | <1% | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | 9% | 4% | |
| 合計 | 9% | 41% | 50% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:你係2008年立法會直選中選邊張名單?
| 1號人民力量/選民力量陳志全(慢必) | 2號民主黨李永達 | 3 號民建聯朱麗玲 | 合計 | |
| 1號公民黨既張超雄團隊 | <1% | 61% | 39% | 100% |
| <1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | |
| 3號民建聯既譚耀宗團隊 | <1% | 34% | 66% | 100% |
| <1% | 4% | 7% | 5% | |
| 4號民主黨既何俊仁團隊 | <1% | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 4% | <1% | 2% | |
| 12號自由黨既周梁淑怡團隊 | <1% | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | 2% | 1% | |
| 13號街工既梁耀忠團隊 | <1% | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | 4% | 2% | |
| 14號民主黨既李永達團隊 | 10% | 57% | 33% | 100% |
| 43% | 54% | 26% | 39% | |
| 上次沒有投票(包括未登記) | 10% | 21% | 70% | 100% |
| 29% | 13% | 35% | 25% | |
| 上次不是在本區投票 | 17% | 23% | 60% | 100% |
| 14% | 4% | 9% | 7% | |
| 唔記得 | 8% | 44% | 48% | 100% |
| 14% | 17% | 15% | 16% | |
| 合計 | 9% | 41% | 50% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:今屆當選既區議員有機會參選明年立法會新增功能組別議席 (俗稱超級區議員) 。請問呢個因素對你今日既投票取向有冇影響?
| 1號人民力量/選民力量陳志全(慢必) | 2號民主黨李永達 | 3 號民建聯朱麗玲 | 合計 | |
| 有影響 | 11% | 46% | 43% | 100% |
| 29% | 25% | 20% | 23% | |
| 冇影響 | 8% | 37% | 54% | 100% |
| 71% | 67% | 80% | 74% | |
| 唔知/難講 | <1% | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 8% | <1% | 3% | |
| 合計 | 9% | 41% | 50% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民性別因素
| 1號人民力量/選民力量陳志全(慢必) | 2號民主黨李永達 | 3 號民建聯朱麗玲 | 合計 | |
| 男 | 5% | 32% | 64% | 100% |
| 29% | 42% | 70% | 55% | |
| 女 | 14% | 53% | 34% | 100% |
| 71% | 58% | 30% | 45% | |
| 合計 | 9% | 41% | 50% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民年齡因素
| 1號人民力量/選民力量陳志全(慢必) | 2號民主黨李永達 | 3 號民建聯朱麗玲 | 合計 | |
| 18 - 20 | <1% | 61% | 39% | 100% |
| <1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | |
| 21 - 29 | 10% | 13% | 77% | 100% |
| 14% | 4% | 20% | 13% | |
| 30 - 39 | 14% | 52% | 33% | 100% |
| 43% | 33% | 17% | 26% | |
| 40 - 49 | 7% | 49% | 44% | 100% |
| 14% | 21% | 15% | 17% | |
| 50 - 59 | 13% | 43% | 44% | 100% |
| 29% | 21% | 17% | 20% | |
| 60 或以上 | <1% | 33% | 67% | 100% |
| <1% | 17% | 28% | 21% | |
| 合計 | 9% | 41% | 50% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民婚姻狀況因素
| 1號人民力量/選民力量陳志全(慢必) | 2號民主黨李永達 | 3 號民建聯朱麗玲 | 合計 | |
| 未婚 | 4% | 41% | 55% | 100% |
| 14% | 29% | 33% | 30% | |
| 已婚 | 11% | 41% | 48% | 100% |
| 86% | 67% | 65% | 68% | |
| 離婚 | <1% | 100% | <1% | 100% |
| <1% | 4% | <1% | 2% | |
| 喪偶 | <1% | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | 2% | 1% | |
| 合計 | 9% | 41% | 50% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民教育背景因素
| 1號人民力量/選民力量陳志全(慢必) | 2號民主黨李永達 | 3 號民建聯朱麗玲 | 合計 | |
| 小學或以下 | <1% | 37% | 63% | 100% |
| <1% | 13% | 17% | 14% | |
| 中學 | 7% | 42% | 51% | 100% |
| 43% | 54% | 54% | 53% | |
| 大專或以上 | 15% | 42% | 43% | 100% |
| 57% | 33% | 28% | 33% | |
| 合計 | 9% | 41% | 50% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民職業背景因素
| 1號人民力量/選民力量陳志全(慢必) | 2號民主黨李永達 | 3 號民建聯朱麗玲 | 合計 | |
| 行政及專業人員 | 9% | 38% | 53% | 100% |
| 29% | 25% | 28% | 27% | |
| 文職及服務人員 | 16% | 37% | 47% | 100% |
| 43% | 21% | 22% | 23% | |
| 勞動工人 | <1% | 53% | 47% | 100% |
| <1% | 21% | 15% | 16% | |
| 學生 | <1% | 61% | 39% | 100% |
| <1% | 8% | 4% | 6% | |
| 家庭主婦 | 13% | 53% | 34% | 100% |
| 14% | 13% | 7% | 10% | |
| 其他 | 7% | 28% | 65% | 100% |
| 14% | 13% | 24% | 18% | |
| 合計 | 9% | 41% | 50% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民宗教信仰因素
| 1號人民力量/選民力量陳志全(慢必) | 2號民主黨李永達 | 3 號民建聯朱麗玲 | 合計 | |
| 沒有 | 10% | 38% | 52% | 100% |
| 86% | 67% | 78% | 74% | |
| 基督教 | 8% | 70% | 22% | 100% |
| 14% | 25% | 7% | 15% | |
| 天主教 | <1% | 51% | 49% | 100% |
| <1% | 8% | 7% | 7% | |
| 佛教 | <1% | <1% | 100% | 100% |
| <1% | <1% | 9% | 4% | |
| 合計 | 9% | 42% | 50% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
投票取向分析:選民有冇參加過七一遊行
| 1號人民力量/選民力量陳志全(慢必) | 2號民主黨李永達 | 3 號民建聯朱麗玲 | 合計 | |
| 有 | 22% | 54% | 24% | 100% |
| 57% | 29% | 11% | 22% | |
| 冇 | 5% | 38% | 58% | 100% |
| 43% | 71% | 89% | 78% | |
| 合計 | 9% | 41% | 50% | 100% |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |







