特首選舉滾動調查的第一次數據總結 2007 First set of CE Election rolling survey wrap-up figures 2007返回
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| 調查方法 Survey method |
樣本資料 Contact information | 人口變項
Respondents' demographics
| 調查問卷 Full questionnaires | | 曾蔭權 Donald Tsang Yam-kuen ( 數表1/Table1 | 數表2/Table2 | 圖表1/Chart 1 | 圖表2/Chart 2 ) | | 梁家傑 Alan Leong Kah-kit ( 數表1/Table1 | 數表2/Table2 | 圖表1/Chart 1 | 圖表2/Chart 2 ) | |
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調查日期 Date of survey : 26/2/2007-6/3/2007 |
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[Q1] 請你對XXX是否適合出任下一屆特首作出評分，0分代表絕對不適合出任特首，100分代表絕對適合,50分代表一半半，你會比幾多分XXX呢? |
| 日期 Date |
有被訪者 All respondents |
政治取向 Political inclination | 性別 Gender | 年齡 Age | 教育程度 Education attainment | 職業 Occupation | 家庭所屬階級 Family class | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 自稱民主派 Claimed to be pro-democracy camp |
自稱親中派 Claimed to be pro-China camp |
自稱中間派 Claimed to be moderate camp |
自稱沒有政治傾向 Claimed to have no political inclination |
男 Male |
女 Female |
18-29 | 30-49 | 50或以上 50 or above |
小學或以下 Primary or below |
中學 Secondary |
大專或以上 Tertiary or above |
行政及專業人員 Executives and professionals |
文職及服務人員 Clerical and service workers |
勞動工人 Production workers |
學生 Students |
全職主婦 Housewives |
其他 Others |
自稱中層或中上層 Claimed to be middle or upper-middle levels |
自稱基層或中下層 Claimed to be lower-middle or grassroot levels |
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| 評分 Ratings |
標準誤差 Standard Error |
評分 Ratings |
標準誤差 Standard Error |
評分 Ratings |
標準誤差 Standard Error |
評分 Ratings |
標準誤差 Standard Error |
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標準誤差 Standard Error |
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標準誤差 Standard Error |
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標準誤差 Standard Error |
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標準誤差 Standard Error |
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標準誤差 Standard Error |
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標準誤差 Standard Error |
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標準誤差 Standard Error |
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標準誤差 Standard Error |
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標準誤差 Standard Error |
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標準誤差 Standard Error |
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標準誤差 Standard Error |
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標準誤差 Standard Error |
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標準誤差 Standard Error |
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標準誤差 Standard Error |
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標準誤差 Standard Error |
評分 Ratings |
標準誤差 Standard Error |
評分 Ratings |
標準誤差 Standard Error |
|
| 3 - 6/3/07 | 70.5 | +/- 1.2 | 64.8 | +/- 2.4 | 79.4 | +/- 4.2 | 70.6 | +/- 1.8 | 72.6 | +/- 2.2 | 69.6 | +/- 1.6 | 71.3 | +/- 1.6 | 68.4 | +/- 2.2 | 69.3 | +/- 1.6 | 73.2 | +/- 2.0 | 75.0 | +/- 3.0 | 70.7 | +/- 1.4 | 66.7 | +/- 2.2 | 67.7 | +/- 2.6 | 69.2 | +/- 1.8 | 69.2 | +/- 4.0 | 69.9 | +/- 3.0 | 74.2 | +/- 2.8 | 73.1 | +/- 2.8 | 70.1 | +/- 1.8 | 70.2 | +/- 1.6 |
| 2 - 5/3/07 | 70.5 | +/- 1.2 | 65.4 | +/- 2.4 | 78.0 | +/- 4.0 | 70.4 | +/- 1.6 | 72.3 | +/- 2.4 | 70.7 | +/- 1.6 | 70.3 | +/- 1.6 | 69.2 | +/- 2.0 | 70.2 | +/- 1.8 | 71.5 | +/- 2.2 | 74.0 | +/- 3.0 | 70.5 | +/- 1.6 | 68.0 | +/- 2.0 | 68.9 | +/- 2.4 | 68.9 | +/- 2.0 | 72.5 | +/- 3.8 | 68.2 | +/- 3.4 | 73.5 | +/- 3.2 | 71.7 | +/- 2.8 | 69.8 | +/- 1.8 | 70.4 | +/- 1.4 |
| 1 - 4/3/07 | 70.8 | +/- 1.2 | 67.1 | +/- 2.2 | 79.3 | +/- 4.0 | 70.5 | +/- 1.6 | 71.9 | +/- 2.2 | 71.3 | +/- 1.6 | 70.4 | +/- 1.6 | 69.3 | +/- 1.8 | 71.5 | +/- 1.8 | 70.8 | +/- 2.0 | 72.9 | +/- 3.0 | 70.8 | +/- 1.6 | 69.6 | +/- 2.0 | 70.3 | +/- 2.2 | 69.7 | +/- 2.0 | 72.6 | +/- 3.6 | 68.5 | +/- 3.6 | 74.3 | +/- 3.2 | 70.2 | +/- 2.8 | 70.4 | +/- 1.8 | 70.9 | +/- 1.4 |
| 28/2/07 - 3/3/07 | 70.3 | +/- 1.2 | 65.3 | +/- 2.6 | 80.1 | +/- 3.8 | 70.4 | +/- 1.6 | 71.6 | +/- 2.2 | 70.4 | +/- 1.6 | 70.2 | +/- 1.6 | 69.3 | +/- 1.8 | 70.6 | +/- 1.8 | 70.0 | +/- 2.2 | 72.5 | +/- 3.0 | 70.3 | +/- 1.6 | 69.0 | +/- 1.8 | 69.7 | +/- 2.2 | 69.2 | +/- 2.0 | 71.7 | +/- 3.8 | 68.8 | +/- 3.8 | 73.6 | +/- 3.4 | 69.0 | +/- 3.2 | 70.0 | +/- 1.8 | 70.2 | +/- 1.6 |
| 27/2/07 - 2/3/07 | 70.8 | +/- 1.2 | 66.8 | +/- 2.4 | 80.9 | +/- 4.4 | 71.7 | +/- 1.8 | 70.8 | +/- 2.0 | 70.5 | +/- 1.6 | 71.0 | +/- 1.6 | 68.9 | +/- 2.2 | 71.2 | +/- 1.6 | 70.8 | +/- 2.2 | 72.9 | +/- 3.0 | 70.5 | +/- 1.6 | 69.9 | +/- 2.0 | 69.5 | +/- 2.2 | 70.4 | +/- 2.0 | 72.7 | +/- 3.8 | 67.7 | +/- 4.2 | 72.5 | +/- 3.0 | 70.9 | +/- 3.0 | 70.7 | +/- 1.8 | 70.9 | +/- 1.4 |
| 26/2/07 - 1/3/07 | 70.1 | +/- 1.0 | 66.3 | +/- 2.2 | 80.8 | +/- 4.2 | 70.4 | +/- 1.8 | 71.1 | +/- 2.0 | 69.5 | +/- 1.6 | 70.6 | +/- 1.4 | 68.1 | +/- 2.2 | 69.7 | +/- 1.6 | 71.5 | +/- 2.0 | 72.5 | +/- 3.0 | 69.8 | +/- 1.4 | 69.1 | +/- 1.8 | 68.2 | +/- 2.2 | 69.4 | +/- 2.0 | 69.5 | +/- 3.6 | 68.2 | +/- 3.8 | 72.3 | +/- 2.8 | 72.0 | +/- 3.0 | 69.9 | +/- 1.6 | 70.0 | +/- 1.4 |
| 日期 Date |
有被訪者 All respondents |
政治取向 Political inclination | 性別 Gender | 年齡 Age | 教育程度 Education attainment | 職業 Occupation | 家庭所屬階級 Family class | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 自稱民主派 Claimed to be pro-democracy camp |
自稱親中派 Claimed to be pro-China camp |
自稱中間派 Claimed to be moderate camp |
自稱沒有政治傾向 Claimed to have no political inclination |
男 Male |
女 Female |
18-29 | 30-49 | 50或以上 50 or above |
小學或以下 Primary or below |
中學 Secondary |
大專或以上 Tertiary or above |
行政及專業人員 Executives and professionals |
文職及服務人員 Clerical and service workers |
勞動工人 Production workers |
學生 Students |
全職主婦 Housewives |
其他 Others |
自稱中層或中上層 Claimed to be middle or upper-middle levels |
自稱基層或中下層 Claimed to be lower-middle or grassroot levels |
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| 評分 Ratings |
標準誤差 Standard Error |
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標準誤差 Standard Error |
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標準誤差 Standard Error |
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標準誤差 Standard Error |
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標準誤差 Standard Error |
評分 Ratings |
標準誤差 Standard Error |
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| 3 - 6/3/07 | 46.2 | +/- 1.4 | 56.0 | +/- 2.6 | 31.4 | +/- 6.4 | 44.5 | +/- 2.0 | 43.9 | +/- 2.8 | 44.2 | +/- 2.0 | 47.9 | +/- 2.0 | 47.2 | +/- 2.4 | 47.1 | +/- 2.2 | 44.3 | +/- 2.8 | 45.7 | +/- 4.0 | 45.1 | +/- 1.8 | 48.5 | +/- 2.6 | 47.3 | +/- 3.2 | 46.6 | +/- 2.6 | 45.5 | +/- 4.4 | 46.1 | +/- 3.8 | 45.3 | +/- 4.0 | 45.4 | +/- 3.6 | 46.0 | +/- 2.2 | 46.0 | +/- 2.0 |
| 2 - 5/3/07 | 46.6 | +/- 1.4 | 55.6 | +/- 2.6 | 34.8 | +/- 6.0 | 45.5 | +/- 2.0 | 43.8 | +/- 2.8 | 45.1 | +/- 2.0 | 48.0 | +/- 2.0 | 46.6 | +/- 2.6 | 48.8 | +/- 2.0 | 43.8 | +/- 2.8 | 44.7 | +/- 4.0 | 46.1 | +/- 1.8 | 48.6 | +/- 2.4 | 46.7 | +/- 3.0 | 48.4 | +/- 2.6 | 44.2 | +/- 4.2 | 45.9 | +/- 4.2 | 47.2 | +/- 3.8 | 45.1 | +/- 3.8 | 46.3 | +/- 2.2 | 46.5 | +/- 2.0 |
| 1 - 4/3/07 | 47.4 | +/- 1.4 | 58.2 | +/- 2.4 | 34.5 | +/- 6.0 | 45.6 | +/- 2.0 | 44.4 | +/- 2.8 | 46.3 | +/- 2.0 | 48.3 | +/- 2.0 | 47.4 | +/- 2.6 | 49.1 | +/- 2.0 | 45.1 | +/- 2.8 | 45.3 | +/- 4.0 | 46.9 | +/- 1.8 | 49.2 | +/- 2.4 | 47.5 | +/- 3.0 | 49.0 | +/- 2.8 | 45.2 | +/- 4.0 | 45.8 | +/- 4.4 | 48.5 | +/- 3.8 | 45.9 | +/- 3.6 | 46.8 | +/- 2.2 | 47.4 | +/- 2.0 |
| 28/2/07 - 3/3/07 | 46.1 | +/- 1.4 | 57.0 | +/- 2.4 | 29.3 | +/- 6.6 | 44.7 | +/- 2.0 | 42.7 | +/- 2.8 | 44.3 | +/- 2.2 | 47.7 | +/- 2.0 | 47.9 | +/- 2.6 | 47.1 | +/- 2.2 | 44.0 | +/- 2.6 | 43.1 | +/- 4.2 | 46.0 | +/- 2.0 | 47.6 | +/- 2.4 | 46.3 | +/- 3.0 | 48.5 | +/- 2.8 | 43.7 | +/- 4.2 | 46.5 | +/- 4.4 | 46.5 | +/- 3.8 | 43.9 | +/- 3.8 | 46.5 | +/- 2.2 | 45.7 | +/- 2.0 |
| 27/2/07 - 2/3/07 | 45.3 | +/- 1.4 | 56.3 | +/- 2.2 | 29.2 | +/- 7.4 | 43.1 | +/- 2.2 | 41.9 | +/- 2.6 | 44.3 | +/- 2.2 | 46.3 | +/- 1.8 | 46.3 | +/- 2.8 | 47.1 | +/- 2.2 | 42.8 | +/- 2.6 | 41.6 | +/- 4.0 | 45.7 | +/- 2.0 | 46.8 | +/- 2.4 | 46.4 | +/- 3.2 | 47.5 | +/- 2.8 | 43.3 | +/- 4.2 | 45.0 | +/- 4.6 | 46.5 | +/- 3.4 | 42.2 | +/- 3.8 | 45.9 | +/- 2.2 | 45.0 | +/- 2.0 |
| 26/2/07 - 1/3/07 | 44.5 | +/- 1.4 | 55.4 | +/- 2.0 | 31.7 | +/- 6.8 | 41.1 | +/- 2.2 | 40.6 | +/- 2.8 | 42.7 | +/- 2.2 | 46.1 | +/- 1.8 | 46.7 | +/- 2.4 | 44.8 | +/- 2.0 | 43.0 | +/- 2.6 | 42.9 | +/- 3.8 | 44.1 | +/- 1.8 | 45.9 | +/- 2.2 | 44.9 | +/- 3.0 | 46.1 | +/- 2.6 | 41.7 | +/- 4.2 | 45.3 | +/- 4.2 | 47.0 | +/- 3.4 | 41.6 | +/- 3.6 | 45.1 | +/- 2.0 | 44.2 | +/- 1.8 |
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[Q2] 如果聽日俾你投票選特首，而參選者只有XXX同YYY，你會選邊個？ |
| 日期 Date |
有被訪者 All respondents |
政治取向 Political inclination | 性別 Gender | 年齡 Age | 教育程度 Education attainment | 職業 Occupation | 家庭所屬階級 Family class | ||||||||||||||
| 自稱民主派 Claimed to be pro-democracy camp |
自稱親中派 Claimed to be pro-China camp |
自稱中間派 Claimed to be moderate camp |
自稱沒有政治傾向 Claimed to have no political inclination |
男 Male |
女 Female |
18-29 | 30-49 | 50或以上 50 or above |
小學或以下 Primary or below |
中學 Secondary |
大專或以上 Tertiary or above |
行政及專業人員 Executives and professionals |
文職及服務人員 Clerical and service workers |
勞動工人 Production workers |
學生 Students |
全職主婦 Housewives |
其他 Others |
自稱中層或中上層 Claimed to be middle or upper-middle levels |
自稱基層或中下層 Claimed to be lower-middle or grassroot levels |
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| 3 - 6/3/07 | 78.1% | 61.1% | 97.0% | 81.9% | 81.4% | 77.8% | 78.4% | 80.5% | 77.3% | 77.6% | 78.9% | 79.4% | 75.0% | 75.5% | 76.4% | 80.1% | 87.8% | 81.1% | 76.6% | 78.4% | 77.6% |
| 2 - 5/3/07 | 77.8% | 60.5% | 96.6% | 82.6% | 79.7% | 78.4% | 77.4% | 84.8% | 77.5% | 74.2% | 75.9% | 79.1% | 77.3% | 77.1% | 77.1% | 85.4% | 87.4% | 78.2% | 72.6% | 78.6% | 77.2% |
| 1 - 4/3/07 | 75.8% | 54.4% | 95.0% | 81.2% | 78.9% | 75.4% | 76.1% | 83.3% | 75.9% | 70.9% | 70.6% | 77.2% | 76.9% | 74.6% | 75.9% | 79.7% | 89.5% | 78.7% | 68.3% | 77.9% | 74.8% |
| 28/2/07 - 3/3/07 | 75.8% | 55.2% | 95.2% | 81.5% | 79.2% | 75.6% | 75.9% | 81.8% | 76.7% | 71.2% | 71.2% | 77.4% | 76.4% | 73.9% | 77.7% | 78.0% | 89.1% | 79.4% | 66.2% | 75.8% | 76.5% |
| 27/2/07 - 2/3/07 | 76.0% | 56.6% | 93.5% | 83.3% | 79.9% | 75.1% | 76.8% | 80.4% | 76.6% | 73.3% | 72.5% | 76.8% | 77.0% | 74.0% | 76.4% | 77.0% | 84.2% | 79.0% | 70.9% | 76.5% | 76.6% |
| 26/2/07 - 1/3/07 | 74.2% | 58.4% | 91.4% | 81.1% | 78.1% | 72.3% | 75.9% | 77.8% | 74.5% | 73.0% | 71.4% | 75.8% | 73.9% | 73.0% | 72.3% | 71.6% | 84.1% | 78.9% | 71.5% | 76.1% | 74.0% |
| 日期 Date |
有被訪者 All respondents |
政治取向 Political inclination | 性別 Gender | 年齡 Age | 教育程度 Education attainment | 職業 Occupation | 家庭所屬階級 Family class | ||||||||||||||
| 自稱民主派 Claimed to be pro-democracy camp |
自稱親中派 Claimed to be pro-China camp |
自稱中間派 Claimed to be moderate camp |
自稱沒有政治傾向 Claimed to have no political inclination |
男 Male |
女 Female |
18-29 | 30-49 | 50或以上 50 or above |
小學或以下 Primary or below |
中學 Secondary |
大專或以上 Tertiary or above |
行政及專業人員 Executives and professionals |
文職及服務人員 Clerical and service workers |
勞動工人 Production workers |
學生 Students |
全職主婦 Housewives |
其他 Others |
自稱中層或中上層 Claimed to be middle or upper-middle levels |
自稱基層或中下層 Claimed to be lower-middle or grassroot levels |
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| 3 - 6/3/07 | 14.7% | 35.0% | 2.0% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 18.6% | 19.9% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 14.8% |
| 2 - 5/3/07 | 14.2% | 33.4% | 2.3% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 15.0% |
| 1 - 4/3/07 | 15.9% | 38.7% | 3.8% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 17.3% | 20.3% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 17.5% |
| 28/2/07 - 3/3/07 | 15.8% | 36.0% | 3.7% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 19.4% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 16.7% |
| 27/2/07 - 2/3/07 | 14.8% | 33.2% | 3.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 17.5% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 19.9% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 16.0% |
| 26/2/07 - 1/3/07 | 14.9% | 32.0% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 18.0% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 19.2% | 14.1% | 19.6% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 16.1% |
