立法會香港島選區補選第一輪滾動調查焦點分析 2007 First set of feature analyses of Legislative Council by-election rolling survey result 2007返回



焦點分析 / Feature analyses

|  調查方法 Survey method | 樣本資料 Contact information | 人口變項 Respondents' demographics | 調查問卷 Full questionnaires |

調查日期 Date of survey : 31/10/2007-06/11/2007

[Q1] 假如聽日係立法會港島區補選，你會投以下邊一位候選人?
[Q1] If the Hong Kong Island Legislative Council by-election were to be held tomorrow, which candidate would you vote for?

日期
Date		 總樣本人數 
Total sample
葉劉淑儀
IP LAU Suk-yee Regina
陳方安生
CHAN FANG On-son Anson
未決定/唔知/難講
Not decided yet/Don't know/Hard to say
其他 (其他人士及全部都唔選)
Others (Other candidates & None of the above)
百分比
Perecetage %
^誤差
^Sampling error
百分比
Perecetage %
^誤差
^Sampling error
百分比
Perecetage %
^誤差
^Sampling error
百分比
Perecetage %
^誤差
^Sampling error
  31/10-6/11/2007  1229   35.3%   2.7%   41.7%   2.8%   16.2%   2.1%   6.7%   1.4% 
*百分比不足0.5% Percentage less than 0.5%
^ 有關誤差數字均以95%置信水平及整體樣本計算。Figures of sampling error are calculated at 95% confidence level with respect to whole sample.


[Q2] 係黎緊12月2日舉行既立法會補選，你會唔會去投票？
[Q2] Will you vote in the coming Legislative Council by-election to be held on December 2?

日期 
Date		 總樣本人數 
Total sample		 肯定會
Certainly will 		多數會
Most likely will 		多數/肯定唔會
Mostly likely / Certainly won't 		未決定／唔知／難講
Not decided yet/don't know/Hard to say
百分比
Perecetage % 		^誤差
^Sampling error		 百分比
Perecetage % 		^誤差
^Sampling error		 百分比
Perecetage % 		^誤差
^Sampling error		 百分比
Perecetage % 		^誤差
^Sampling error
  31/10-6/11/2007  1229   46.7%   2.8%   32.3%   2.7%   9.9%   1.7%   11.1%   1.8% 
^ 有關誤差數字均以95%置信水平及整體樣本計算。Figures of sampling error are calculated at 95% confidence level with respect to whole sample.


交分析 Crosstab analyses

參選人
Candidates 		日期 
Date		 總樣本人數 
Total sample		 所有被訪者
All respondents 		政治取向 Political inclination
 自稱民主派
Claimed to be pro-democracy camp		 自稱親中派
Claimed to be pro-China camp		 自稱中間派
Claimed to be moderate camp		 自稱沒有政治傾向
Claimed to have no political inclination
百分比
Perecetage % 		^誤差
^Sampling error		 百分比
Perecetage % 		^誤差
^Sampling error		 百分比
Perecetage % 		^誤差
^Sampling error		 百分比
Perecetage % 		^誤差
^Sampling error		 百分比
Perecetage % 		^誤差
^Sampling error
  葉劉淑儀
IP LAU Suk-yee Regina		  31/10-6/11/2007   1229   35.3%   2.7%   10.5%   3.5%   69.2%   10.6%   46.2%   4.8%   36.9%   5.0% 
  陳方安生
CHAN FANG On-son Anson		  31/10-6/11/2007   1229   41.7%   2.8%   76.4%   4.8%   13.8%   7.9%   36.3%   4.6%   27.7%   4.6% 
  未決定/唔知/難講
Not decided yet/Don't know/Hard to say		  31/10-6/11/2007   1229   16.2%   2.1%   8.9%   3.2%   7.7%   6.1%   12.0%   3.1%   25.9%   4.5% 
^ 有關誤差數字均以95%置信水平及整體樣本計算。Figures of sampling error are calculated at 95% confidence level with respect to whole sample.

參選人
Candidates 		日期 
Date		 總樣本人數 
Total sample		 所有被訪者
All respondents 		投票意欲 Intention to vote
肯定會
Certainly will 		多數會
Most likely will 		多數/肯定唔會
Mostly likely / Certainly won't 		未決定／唔知／難講
Not decided yet/don't know/Hard to say
百分比
Perecetage % 		^誤差
^Sampling error		 百分比
Perecetage % 		^誤差
^Sampling error		 百分比
Perecetage % 		^誤差
^Sampling error		 百分比
Perecetage % 		^誤差
^Sampling error		 百分比
Perecetage % 		^誤差
^Sampling error
  葉劉淑儀
IP LAU Suk-yee Regina		  31/10-6/11/2007   1229   35.3%   2.7%   39.3%   4.1%   38.1%   4.9%   15.5%   6.6%   28.8%   7.8% 
  陳方安生
CHAN FANG On-son Anson		  31/10-6/11/2007   1229   41.7%   2.8%   51.9%   4.2%   39.5%   4.9%   23.3%   7.7%   22.9%   7.2% 
  未決定/唔知/難講
Not decided yet/Don't know/Hard to say		  31/10-6/11/2007   1229   16.2%   2.1%   6.5%   2.1%   19.2%   4.0%   20.4%   7.3%   43.2%   8.5% 
^ 有關誤差數字均以95%置信水平及整體樣本計算。Figures of sampling error are calculated at 95% confidence level with respect to whole sample.

參選人
Candidates 		日期 
Date		 總樣本人數 
Total sample		 所有被訪者
All respondents 		教育程度 Education attainment
  小學或以下
Primary or below		   中學
Secondary		   大專或以上
Postgraduate or above
百分比
Perecetage % 		^誤差
^Sampling error		 百分比
Perecetage % 		^誤差
^Sampling error		 百分比
Perecetage % 		^誤差
^Sampling error		 百分比
Perecetage % 		^誤差
^Sampling error
  葉劉淑儀
IP LAU Suk-yee Regina		  31/10-6/11/2007   1229   35.3%   2.7%   31.8%   5.9%   38.6%   4.1%   33.5%   4.7% 
  陳方安生
CHAN FANG On-son Anson		  31/10-6/11/2007   1229   41.7%   2.8%   35.0%   6.1%   40.7%   4.1%   48.2%   5.0% 
  未決定/唔知/難講
Not decided yet/Don't know/Hard to say		  31/10-6/11/2007   1229   16.2%   2.1%   26.2%   5.6%   14.6%   2.9%   11.2%   3.1% 
^ 有關誤差數字均以95%置信水平及整體樣本計算。Figures of sampling error are calculated at 95% confidence level with respect to whole sample.

參選人
Candidates 		日期 
Date		 總樣本人數 
Total sample		 所有被訪者
All respondents 		  職業 Occupation
行政及專業人員
Executives and professionals		 文職及服務人員
Clerical and service workers		   勞動工人
Production workers		   學生
Students		   全職主婦
Housewives		   其他
Others
百分比
Perecetage % 		^誤差
^Sampling error		 百分比
Perecetage % 		^誤差
^Sampling error		 百分比
Perecetage % 		^誤差
^Sampling error		 百分比
Perecetage % 		^誤差
^Sampling error		 百分比
Perecetage % 		^誤差
^Sampling error		 百分比
Perecetage % 		^誤差
^Sampling error		 百分比
Perecetage % 		^誤差
^Sampling error
  葉劉淑儀
IP LAU Suk-yee Regina		  31/10-6/11/2007   1229   35.3%   2.7%   35.6%   5.7%   35.4%   6.6%   35.5%   9.0%   31.6%   13.8%   33.0%   5.5%   39.1%   5.7% 
  陳方安生
CHAN FANG On-son Anson		  31/10-6/11/2007   1229   41.7%   2.8%   49.8%   6.0%   40.6%   6.8%   49.5%   9.4%   52.7%   14.9%   40.5%   5.7%   31.5%   5.5% 
  未決定/唔知/難講
Not decided yet/Don't know/Hard to say		  31/10-6/11/2007   1229   16.2%   2.1%   9.0%   3.4%   15.4%   5.0%   8.6%   5.3%   10.5%   9.1%   19.4%   4.6%   23.5%   5.0% 
^ 有關誤差數字均以95%置信水平及整體樣本計算。Figures of sampling error are calculated at 95% confidence level with respect to whole sample.